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5:15 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 4

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
20.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

WHO LOVES A HARLEY (8) improving gelding ready to peak fourth up. Gripped on late with the 130lbs with a sound second over 5 ?f at this track. Should relish the extra ground and not without top three claims. INSAIN CHAOS (6) slashing return first-up, then shuffled back from the inside draw with a below-par seventh over 6f at Lismore in A Super Maiden. Finds an easier race and placed at the trip from a wide draw on August 1. Leading contender. MISS FIC (12) improved at her second career start with a fast finishing third over 5 ?f at this track on the soft (6) surface. Looking for this trip and further now and gets her chance from the rails draw. DEEP AFFECTION (11) first up she raced keenly in the early and middle stages with a tiring last over 6f at this track. Blinkers come off and gets weight relief from the awkward gate. Place only.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Who Loves A Harley silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at this track on September 29 over 5f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Scrambling with 130lbs at $9. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at Coffs Harbour on September 13 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Raguel carrying 130lbs at $3.40. At his top for this and shapes as a major player.

1st Pick
8

Who Loves A Harley

Jockey: Raymond Spokes

Trainer: David Matts

J: Raymond Spokes

T: David Matts

91---19%9/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at this track on September 29 over 5f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Scrambling with 130lbs at $9. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at Coffs Harbour on September 13 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Raguel carrying 130lbs at $3.40. At his top for this and shapes as a major player.

6
Insain Chaos silk

Third-up today. Resuming 2nd of 8 in a Mdn at Coffs Harbour on September 3 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Pearl Pendant with 122lbs at $3.90. Second-up 7th of 11 in a Super Mdn-Sw at Lismore on September 25 over 6f, slow going 5.5 len behind Aurora Blaze with 127lbs at $13. Finds an easier race and proven at the trip.

2nd Pick
6

Insain Chaos

Jockey: Grady Spokes

Trainer: Brett Dodson

J: Grady Spokes

T: Brett Dodson

173---34%2/1

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 2nd of 8 in a Mdn at Coffs Harbour on September 3 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Pearl Pendant with 122lbs at $3.90. Second-up 7th of 11 in a Super Mdn-Sw at Lismore on September 25 over 6f, slow going 5.5 len behind Aurora Blaze with 127lbs at $13. Finds an easier race and proven at the trip.

12
Miss Fic silk

Had two starts to date. When well in the market at debut, 4th of 7 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at Coffs Harbour on September 13 over 6f, 3 len behind Raguel carrying 126lbs at $4.20. Last start 3rd of 10 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at this track on September 29 over 5f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Scrambling carrying 126lbs at $17. Promising type who gets her chance in this suitable contest.

3rd Pick
12

Miss Fic

Jockey: Andrew Mallyon

Trainer: Matthew Dunn

J: Andrew Mallyon

T: Matthew Dunn

132---37%7/4

Analysis

Had two starts to date. When well in the market at debut, 4th of 7 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at Coffs Harbour on September 13 over 6f, 3 len behind Raguel carrying 126lbs at $4.20. Last start 3rd of 10 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at this track on September 29 over 5f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Scrambling carrying 126lbs at $17. Promising type who gets her chance in this suitable contest.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.