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4:00 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 3

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
5.2f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 6
18.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ROYAL COMMODORE (7) returns from a 23-week spell. Opened the last campaign with a comfortable win in a BM64 over 5f at Wyong then struggled in a couple of runs over longer trips in town. Finds the perfect set-up to launch this prep. LIFE COACH (6) was appearing for the first time in 13 months when a close sixth over 6f at Gosford last start. Not a noted first-up performer so that was an encouraging effort. Open to plenty of improvement and poses a serious threat. LADY WARDELL (4) ran her usual honest race last time out, racing handy but finding one better in a similar race to this at Ballina. Draws the fence so another top three finish looks on the cards. Last start Bowraville winner PIXIE HALLOW (10) might find this a bit tougher but his record over many seasons at this trip is difficult to fault. RIVKIN (5) has been in the top three at ten of 12 runs over today's journey. Returned in good order at Muswellbrook last start and is sure to give a good account again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Royal Commodore silk

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign second last of 10 at Doomben Cg&E Cl3-Sw August 16 over 6f, 7 len behind Spywire carrying 129lbs at $61. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.2 len Wyong Mid Bm64 July 5 over 5f slow track defeating Sunday Tycoon with 130lbs at $4.20. Everything points to a positive return.

1st Pick
7

Royal Commodore

Jockey: Andrew Mallyon

Trainer: Matthew Dunn

J: Andrew Mallyon

T: Matthew Dunn

149---43%11/8

Analysis

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign second last of 10 at Doomben Cg&E Cl3-Sw August 16 over 6f, 7 len behind Spywire carrying 129lbs at $61. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.2 len Wyong Mid Bm64 July 5 over 5f slow track defeating Sunday Tycoon with 130lbs at $4.20. Everything points to a positive return.

6
Life Coach silk

Second-up. First-up after 13 months sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 8 at Gosford Cg&E Bm64 on January 9 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Octa De Lago carrying 129lbs at $26. Previously second-up 2nd of 14 at Taree Kram Sprnt Bm85 on October 18 2024 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Gold Card carrying 122lbs at $5. Is a definite threat in this line-up despite a bad draw.

2nd Pick
6

Life Coach

Jockey: Kacie Adams

Trainer: B M Lazzarini

J: Kacie Adams

T: B M Lazzarini

92---8%13/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after 13 months sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 8 at Gosford Cg&E Bm64 on January 9 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Octa De Lago carrying 129lbs at $26. Previously second-up 2nd of 14 at Taree Kram Sprnt Bm85 on October 18 2024 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Gold Card carrying 122lbs at $5. Is a definite threat in this line-up despite a bad draw.

4
Lady Wardell silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd in a small field at Ballina Bm82 on January 16 over 5f, 1.4 len behind Tiger Tie carrying 126lbs at $6. The start before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.8 len at Lismore Bm82 December 19 over 5 ½f defeating Bravely carrying 121lbs at $5.50. Honest mare who looks set for another big run.

3rd Pick
4

Lady Wardell

Jockey: Bella Youngberry

Trainer: Stephen Lee

J: Bella Youngberry

T: Stephen Lee

177---25%3/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd in a small field at Ballina Bm82 on January 16 over 5f, 1.4 len behind Tiger Tie carrying 126lbs at $6. The start before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.8 len at Lismore Bm82 December 19 over 5 ½f defeating Bravely carrying 121lbs at $5.50. Honest mare who looks set for another big run.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).