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2:15 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 1

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
5f
OPEN
Turf
HEAVY 9
19.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Tricky little contest to start the day. WITHOUT SURRENDER (2) excellent debut when he sat on the speed for a narrow second over 5f at this track from the outside gate. Has plenty of upside and will prove tough to beat. EVER SO READY (1) deep into the campaign and will find this more to his liking. Raced on the speed with the 130lbs before he faded to finish seventh over 5 ½f at Doomben. Assess on his good placing at Eagle Farm three-back. Leading player. ACRODANCE (3) resumes. Won on debut last December, then thrown in the deep end when last in the G3 Bruce McLachlan over 6f at Eagle Farm last December. Placed in a recent trial at the Gold Coast and stays in the mix. LE STARCELL (5) chipped away late on debut to secure third over 5f at this track. Can sneak into the minor money.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Without Surrender silk

Dual acceptor. Jumped at long odds at debut, rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 7 at this track 2yo Hcp on April 19 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Vantorix with 126lbs at $26. Has plenty of upside and expected to go one better.

1st Pick
2

Without Surrender

Jockey: Violet Soulsby

Trainer: Peter Robl

J: Violet Soulsby

T: Peter Robl

142---40%6/4

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Jumped at long odds at debut, rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 7 at this track 2yo Hcp on April 19 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Vantorix with 126lbs at $26. Has plenty of upside and expected to go one better.

1
Ever So Ready silk

At the latest run sat on the pace before fading 7th of 9 at Doomben 2yo Hcp on April 22 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Berzelius carrying 130lbs at $8.50. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Doomben 2yo Hcp on April 11 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Fearless Win carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Rates highly and can bounce back in this easier contest.

2nd Pick
1

Ever So Ready

Jockey: Luke Rolls

Trainer: Bevan Laming

J: Luke Rolls

T: Bevan Laming

203---39%13/8

Analysis

At the latest run sat on the pace before fading 7th of 9 at Doomben 2yo Hcp on April 22 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Berzelius carrying 130lbs at $8.50. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Doomben 2yo Hcp on April 11 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Fearless Win carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Rates highly and can bounce back in this easier contest.

3
Acrodance silk

Resuming after a four-and-a-half months break. Not seen since she finished last of 8 at Eagle Farm in the G3 Bj Mclachlan December 27 over 6f, soft track, 15 len behind Zip Lock carrying 121lbs at $201. On debut won by head Sunshine Coast 2yo Mdn-Sw November 30 over 5f slow track defeating Maganista carrying 125lbs at $1.55. Looks set for a bright return in this grade.

3rd Pick
3

Acrodance

Jockey: Danny Peisley

Trainer: Paul Shailer

J: Danny Peisley

T: Paul Shailer

85---17%5/1

Analysis

Resuming after a four-and-a-half months break. Not seen since she finished last of 8 at Eagle Farm in the G3 Bj Mclachlan December 27 over 6f, soft track, 15 len behind Zip Lock carrying 121lbs at $201. On debut won by head Sunshine Coast 2yo Mdn-Sw November 30 over 5f slow track defeating Maganista carrying 125lbs at $1.55. Looks set for a bright return in this grade.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.