AU - Grafton - Race 8

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

19.4K

VIEW

Verdict

GAMING (4) has gone to a new level this campaign and is chasing his third-straight win today. Allowed to take control early in the small field when a game winner with the 127lbs over 6 ½f at Lismore. Goes just as well over this trip and gets map favours with the claim. Hard to stop in this rich vein of form. LADY ALABAMA (8) continues to race well since stretching out in trip. Strong through the line when an unlucky second over 6 ½f at Lismore. Can sit off them from the draw and pounce late. MONARCH EXPRESS (6) two runs back have had merit and looks ready to peak third-up. Knocked up late with the 132lbs when fifth over 6 ½f at Lismore. Expected to bounce back to his best form. NEVER ISLAND (3) in need of the run first-up when a battling seventh over 6 ½f at Lismore. Will appreciate the claim and close off strongly.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Form hard to fault. Most recently won by a nose at Lismore Ctry Bm58 November 10 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Lady Alabama carrying 127lbs at $3.40. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a nose at this track Bm58 November 5 over 7f defeating Hypothermia with 122lbs at $8.50. In great form and can go on with it. 1st Pick 4 Gaming Jockey: Jett Newman Trainer: Stephen Bennett J: Jett Newman T: Stephen Bennett	113	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently won by a nose at Lismore Ctry Bm58 November 10 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Lady Alabama carrying 127lbs at $3.40. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a nose at this track Bm58 November 5 over 7f defeating Hypothermia with 122lbs at $8.50. In great form and can go on with it.
8	Recent form sound. Last start 2nd in a small field at Lismore Ctry Bm58 on November 10 over 6 ½f, slow going nose behind Gaming with 126lbs at $3.20. The start before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.7 len at Lismore F&M Bm58 October 19 over 6 ½f defeating Deep Stealth with 123lbs at $13. Big chance with a repeat of the latest effort. 2nd Pick 8 Lady Alabama Jockey: Bella Youngberry Trainer: Leo Clapham J: Bella Youngberry T: Leo Clapham	123	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 2nd in a small field at Lismore Ctry Bm58 on November 10 over 6 ½f, slow going nose behind Gaming with 126lbs at $3.20. The start before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.7 len at Lismore F&M Bm58 October 19 over 6 ½f defeating Deep Stealth with 123lbs at $13. Big chance with a repeat of the latest effort.
6	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 2nd of 10 at this track Cl1 on October 21 over 5 ½f, 0.6 len behind Solidude carrying 128lbs at $4.40. Second run from a spell second last in a small field at Lismore Ctry Bm58 on November 10 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Gaming with 132lbs at $4.20. Making headway and is right in the mix. 3rd Pick 6 Monarch Express Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Jordan Lee J: Non Runner T: Jordan Lee	128	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 2nd of 10 at this track Cl1 on October 21 over 5 ½f, 0.6 len behind Solidude carrying 128lbs at $4.40. Second run from a spell second last in a small field at Lismore Ctry Bm58 on November 10 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Gaming with 132lbs at $4.20. Making headway and is right in the mix.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.