AU - Grafton - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

5.6f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

18.9K

VIEW

Verdict

KINGDOM UNDERSIEGE (2) came from nowhere to just miss in open company two back at Lismore. Tackled a good BM78 in town a few Saturdays back and struggled at that level although not disgraced. Andrew Mallyon has won three times in four rides on the gelding and he returns. In the right race to bounce back to winning ways. LADY WARDELL (1) chimed in late and was just edged out of second by Kingdom Undersiege when they clashed at Lismore over 6f six weeks ago. Kept fresh and gets a soft run from gate one - might just need luck as some stage extracting. RICH STAR (7) made it three minor placings from as many runs this prep when beaten under a length over a shorter trip at Taree recently. Saves his best for Grafton and gets in with 52.5kgs so plenty to like. GREY EFFECTS (3) added to a long run of fine results when a barnstorming second in an $80k quality at Port Macquarie last time. Going well enough to win this. GRASSBURN (6) is low flying and is a chance at the hat trick.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	At the latest run raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 8 in a Bm78 at Eagle Farm on October 10 over 7f, slow going 8 len behind Bat Out Of Hell with 122lbs at $10. The start before that 2nd of 11 in a Untamed Bm91 at Lismore on September 25 over 6f, slow going head behind At Witz End carrying 121lbs at $6.50. Watch for sharp improvement back in this company. 1st Pick 2 Kingdom Undersiege Jockey: Andrew Mallyon Trainer: Matthew Dunn J: Andrew Mallyon T: Matthew Dunn	135	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis At the latest run raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 8 in a Bm78 at Eagle Farm on October 10 over 7f, slow going 8 len behind Bat Out Of Hell with 122lbs at $10. The start before that 2nd of 11 in a Untamed Bm91 at Lismore on September 25 over 6f, slow going head behind At Witz End carrying 121lbs at $6.50. Watch for sharp improvement back in this company.
1	Returns from a 40-day let-up. Last start 3rd of 11 in a Untamed Bm91 at Lismore on September 25 over 6f, slow going long-neck behind At Witz End with 122lbs at $8. The run before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.7 len in a Prel-Bm82 at Lismore on September 10 over 5 ½f on a soft track defeating Dance Gavin Dance carrying 128lbs at $9. Will get back in the run but watch out late. 2nd Pick 1 Lady Wardell Jockey: Siabh Rigley Trainer: Stephen & Jordan Lee J: Siabh Rigley T: Stephen & Jordan Lee	106	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Returns from a 40-day let-up. Last start 3rd of 11 in a Untamed Bm91 at Lismore on September 25 over 6f, slow going long-neck behind At Witz End with 122lbs at $8. The run before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.7 len in a Prel-Bm82 at Lismore on September 10 over 5 ½f on a soft track defeating Dance Gavin Dance carrying 128lbs at $9. Will get back in the run but watch out late.
7	Racing well recently. Comes off a 43 day let-up. Most recently 3rd of 10 in a Ctry Cl3 at Taree on September 22 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Pratt with 131lbs at $2.50. The start before that 2nd of 9 in a Cl3 at Coffs Harbour on September 3 over 5f, 0.9 len behind The Lupercal with 133lbs at $2.60. Track specialist with undeniable claims. 3rd Pick 7 Rich Star Jockey: Grace Palmer Trainer: Chris Manson J: Grace Palmer T: Chris Manson	82	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Comes off a 43 day let-up. Most recently 3rd of 10 in a Ctry Cl3 at Taree on September 22 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Pratt with 131lbs at $2.50. The start before that 2nd of 9 in a Cl3 at Coffs Harbour on September 3 over 5f, 0.9 len behind The Lupercal with 133lbs at $2.60. Track specialist with undeniable claims.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.