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Resulted

AU - Grafton - Race 7

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

17.6K

VIEW

Verdict

BREAK FREE (13) couldn't have been more impressive in a debut win at the Sunshine Coast as an odds-on favourite. Drawn ideally and has to be respected. EXOREALM (8) didn't have the best of luck second-up from a spell and look for him to be competitive here. KEY LEGEND (16) is fitter for two runs back from a break and was narrowly beaten last time out. Good chance in the small field. WEST GERMANY (4) and ROCKY ROGUE (10) have some claims.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
13	Getting off the mark on debut, favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2 len at Sunshine Coast 3yo Mdn-Sw November 10 over 5f defeating Oohlalouvre with 123lbs at $1.50. Impressed at debut and expect her to take beating again. 1st Pick 13 Break Free Jockey: Ms Nikita Beriman Trainer: Matthew Hoysted J: Ms Nikita Beriman T: Matthew Hoysted	220	-	-	-	90%
Analysis Getting off the mark on debut, favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2 len at Sunshine Coast 3yo Mdn-Sw November 10 over 5f defeating Oohlalouvre with 123lbs at $1.50. Impressed at debut and expect her to take beating again.
8	Third-up and won third-up in the past. Resuming 5th of 7 at Port Macquarie Cl1 on October 27 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Kaiyu carrying 128lbs at $8.50. Second run from a spell got back early 5th of 9 at Port Macquarie Cl1 on November 14 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Jo Jo Sun carrying 121lbs at $6. Ready to peak and is a top chance. 2nd Pick 8 Exorealm Jockey: Taylor Marshall Trainer: Kristen Buchanan J: Taylor Marshall T: Kristen Buchanan	81	-	-	-	5%
Analysis Third-up and won third-up in the past. Resuming 5th of 7 at Port Macquarie Cl1 on October 27 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Kaiyu carrying 128lbs at $8.50. Second run from a spell got back early 5th of 9 at Port Macquarie Cl1 on November 14 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Jo Jo Sun carrying 121lbs at $6. Ready to peak and is a top chance.
11	Most recently won by 1.5 len at Ballina Mdn November 4 over 5f on a soft track defeating Confederate Lady with 125lbs at $3. The run before that sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 12 at Gold Coast Cg&E Mdn on October 19 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 9 len behind Laridae with 125lbs at $8. Smart winner last time and is a big threat. 3rd Pick 11 Discotheque Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Brett Mallyon J: Non Runner T: Brett Mallyon	87	-	-	-	6%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently won by 1.5 len at Ballina Mdn November 4 over 5f on a soft track defeating Confederate Lady with 125lbs at $3. The run before that sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 12 at Gold Coast Cg&E Mdn on October 19 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 9 len behind Laridae with 125lbs at $8. Smart winner last time and is a big threat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.