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5:55 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 6

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
5.9f
Class 2
Turf
GOOD 4
19.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HARD AS BROK (4) handy gelding resuming. Came to the end of his prep with a tiring last over 1m at Eagle Farm on July 29. Fitted with the 5f trial win and gets a senior jockey from the good barrier. Top three contender. WHY WAIT (6) won well first up, then sent to town when never on the track from the outside barrier to run last over 5 ½f at Doomben. Winning rider hops back aboard in a weaker contest. COPENHAGEN CAT (8) has her hoof on the till after the three sound runs and will relish the 9lbs claim again. Was a month between runs when nailed late to run second over 6f here. Similar set-up today and sure to be thereabouts. CITY OF TEARS (3) fourth up for this and finally drawn a decent barrier. Shouldered the 128lbs for a gritty fifth over 5f at Coffs Harbour. Senior rider goes on for this and no surprise to see her take this out.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Hard As Brok silk

Returns from a 62-day let-up. At the latest run raced on the speed throughout before fading to run last of 11 in a Cl1 at Eagle Farm on July 29 over 1m, 8 len behind Dust Cloud with 121lbs at $10. The race before that rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 11 in a Cl1-Sw at Ipswich on July 8 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Riez Souvent carrying 127lbs at $10. Resumes with the sharp trial win under the belt, go close.

1st Pick
4

Hard As Brok

Jockey: Ben Looker

Trainer: Ridge Wilson

J: Ben Looker

T: Ridge Wilson

152---23%7/2

Analysis

Returns from a 62-day let-up. At the latest run raced on the speed throughout before fading to run last of 11 in a Cl1 at Eagle Farm on July 29 over 1m, 8 len behind Dust Cloud with 121lbs at $10. The race before that rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 11 in a Cl1-Sw at Ipswich on July 8 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Riez Souvent carrying 127lbs at $10. Resumes with the sharp trial win under the belt, go close.

6
Why Wait silk

Third-up today. Resuming tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.6 len in a Ctry Bm58 at Murwillumbah on August 21 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Hayley's Rocket carrying 122lbs at $5. Second-up ran last of 11 in a 3yo Hcp at Doomben on September 12 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind High Prophet with 110lbs at $19. Nicely placed and expected to go well.

2nd Pick
6

Why Wait

Jockey: Andrew Mallyon

Trainer: Matthew Dunn

J: Andrew Mallyon

T: Matthew Dunn

161---39%13/8

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.6 len in a Ctry Bm58 at Murwillumbah on August 21 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Hayley's Rocket carrying 122lbs at $5. Second-up ran last of 11 in a 3yo Hcp at Doomben on September 12 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind High Prophet with 110lbs at $19. Nicely placed and expected to go well.

8
Copenhagen Cat silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 8 in a Bm58 at this track on September 7 over 6f, nose behind Vendemmia with 114lbs at $8.50. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 in a Bm50 at Casino on August 8 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Whiskey Miss with 122lbs at $6. Top three chance again with the claim.

3rd Pick
8

Copenhagen Cat

Jockey: Siabh Rigley

Trainer: Stephen & Jordan Lee

J: Siabh Rigley

T: Stephen & Jordan Lee

71---19%9/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 8 in a Bm58 at this track on September 7 over 6f, nose behind Vendemmia with 114lbs at $8.50. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 in a Bm50 at Casino on August 8 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Whiskey Miss with 122lbs at $6. Top three chance again with the claim.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.