AU - Grafton - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

19.1K

VIEW

Verdict

ALABAMA GIRL (9) won well here three back and struggled since. Drifted back further than expected with a plugging eighth over 1m at Taree in the soft going. Maps well again and expect to see her race a little closer on the improving surface. Leading chance. PIEDI VELOCI (13) just over a month between runs from the awkward barrier with a battling ninth over 1m at Taree. Blinkers go on from the low draw and shapes as the main danger. MAMMOTH MOUNTAIN (2) improved sharply in the heavy going with a slick victory over 1m at Coffs Harbour four weeks ago. Back in grade and can keep the winning momentum going. ZOU BIG BOY (1) talented gelding on the ten-day back-up who shouldered the 137lbs with a fighting third over 7f at this track. Is more effective over this trip and the claim will help again. BEEARETEE (8) rewarded for his consistency at start eleven with a tough Maiden victory over 1 ¹/16m here. Tricky map today but hard to ignore winning form.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	At the latest run 8th of 13 at Taree Ctry Bm58 on March 3 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Shutter with 127lbs at $26. The race before that 6th of 13 at this track Bm58 on February 19 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Spills with 127lbs at $9. Fitter now and can return to winning form. 1st Pick 9 Alabama Girl Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Shane Everson J: Non Runner T: Shane Everson	100	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis At the latest run 8th of 13 at Taree Ctry Bm58 on March 3 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Shutter with 127lbs at $26. The race before that 6th of 13 at this track Bm58 on February 19 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Spills with 127lbs at $9. Fitter now and can return to winning form.
6	At the latest run 2nd of 13 at this track Bm58 on February 19 over 7f, 0.7 len behind Spills with 131lbs at $4. The start before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 11 at this track Ctry Bm58 on January 25 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Poseidon's Son with 131lbs at $13. Has ability but needs to lift. 2nd Pick 6 Pressalong Jockey: Luke Rolls Trainer: Stephen Lee J: Luke Rolls T: Stephen Lee	127	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 13 at this track Bm58 on February 19 over 7f, 0.7 len behind Spills with 131lbs at $4. The start before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 11 at this track Ctry Bm58 on January 25 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Poseidon's Son with 131lbs at $13. Has ability but needs to lift.
13	Last start got back early 9th of 13 at Taree Ctry Bm58 on March 3 over 1m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Shutter with 126lbs at $6.50. The race before that 4th of 12 at Taree Ctry Bm58 on January 30 over 1m, slow going 1.1 len behind Never Island with 127lbs at $8.50. Terrific chance to return to form with the blinkers going on. 3rd Pick 13 Piedi Veloci Jockey: Jon Grisedale Trainer: Donna Grisedale J: Jon Grisedale T: Donna Grisedale	78	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Last start got back early 9th of 13 at Taree Ctry Bm58 on March 3 over 1m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Shutter with 126lbs at $6.50. The race before that 4th of 12 at Taree Ctry Bm58 on January 30 over 1m, slow going 1.1 len behind Never Island with 127lbs at $8.50. Terrific chance to return to form with the blinkers going on.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.