AU - Grafton - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Unknown

Turf

GOOD 4

55.7K

VIEW

Verdict

RUSTEMO (3) opened this prep with three straight victories then ran the race of his life last start when a close third in the Group 3 Winx Guineas at the Sunshine Coast. Seems well treated under today's conditions so expect him to be fighting out the finish again. BLITZBURG (2) has been racing extra well in open company of late, finishing runner-up most recently over 6f at the Gold Coast. On trial at this distance which is the only query. HILLIER (1) is the class runner of the field. Made a late surge to be beaten under two lengths in the Guineas at the Sunshine Coast last time out. A whopping 62 kg may be a stopper but he is too good to leave out. GLASTONBURY GIRL (6) stalked the pace then let down a little too well in a BM68 over this distance at Kembla recently. Unbeaten at the mile and deserves her chance at this level. SWAG (9) stormed home to salute over 7f here last time. Looks ready for another crack at this trip.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Dual acceptor. Second-up. First-up after two months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 12 at Warwick Farm Cg&E Bm72 on June 24 over 6 ½f, 1.2 len behind High Blue Sea carrying 129lbs at $15. Previously second-up ran second last of 9 at Randwick in the G1 Rand Gneas on March 7 over 1m, 17 len behind Sheza Alibi carrying 125lbs at $201. Recent trial winner who can improve enough to take this out. 1st Pick 5 Dusty Bay Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Tracey Bartley J: Non Runner T: Tracey Bartley	116	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. Second-up. First-up after two months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 12 at Warwick Farm Cg&E Bm72 on June 24 over 6 ½f, 1.2 len behind High Blue Sea carrying 129lbs at $15. Previously second-up ran second last of 9 at Randwick in the G1 Rand Gneas on March 7 over 1m, 17 len behind Sheza Alibi carrying 125lbs at $201. Recent trial winner who can improve enough to take this out.
3	Recent form sound. At the latest run 3rd of 14 at Sunshine Coast in the G3 Winx Guineas on July 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Cellarmaster carrying 126lbs at $8.50. The start before that came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Sunshine Coast Bm65 June 21 over 7f in soft going defeating Aliquam carrying 128lbs at $2.40. Finds an easier race this time and can bounce straight back. 2nd Pick 3 Rustemo Jockey: Aaron Bullock Trainer: Kris Lees J: Aaron Bullock T: Kris Lees	195	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 3rd of 14 at Sunshine Coast in the G3 Winx Guineas on July 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Cellarmaster carrying 126lbs at $8.50. The start before that came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Sunshine Coast Bm65 June 21 over 7f in soft going defeating Aliquam carrying 128lbs at $2.40. Finds an easier race this time and can bounce straight back.
2	Racing well recently. Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at Gold Coast Hcp on June 27 over 6f, slow going 1.5 len behind Muschialli carrying 121lbs at $3.80. The race before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd in a small field at Gold Coast Hcp on June 13 over 7f, in the wet, 0.5 len behind High Dandy with 118lbs at $3.40. In great form and is expected to go well again. 3rd Pick 2 Blitzburg Jockey: Karl Zechner Trainer: Allan Chau J: Karl Zechner T: Allan Chau	99	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at Gold Coast Hcp on June 27 over 6f, slow going 1.5 len behind Muschialli carrying 121lbs at $3.80. The race before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd in a small field at Gold Coast Hcp on June 13 over 7f, in the wet, 0.5 len behind High Dandy with 118lbs at $3.40. In great form and is expected to go well again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.