AU - Grafton - Race 4

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

11.1f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

18.9K

VIEW

Verdict

CHAMPAGNE ROUGE (5) comes here deep into the prep in a fairly average contest. Faded quickly in the straight to run seventh behind Tajawal over 1 ¼m at Gold Coast in BM65 class. Well placed for this and can bounce back quickly. REDADEL (6) massive jump in class and trip with a game on-pace Maiden winner over 1 ?m at this track in C1 company. Will relish Spokes' claim again and can keep the winning momentum going. VERMEER (3) thereabouts of late and doesn't have to improve much to win this. Covered ground from back in the field with a battling fifth over 1 5/16m at Ipswich. Placed to advantage from the inside draw and represents good each way value. HURRICANE ROSIE (4) in a good staying yard and strips fitter for this. Was a month between runs with a fading ninth over 1 ¼m at the Gold Coast. Finds a weaker contest and no shock to see her take a hand in the finish.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Most recently 7th of 10 at Gold Coast Bm65 on February 21 over 1 ¼m, 3.5 len behind Tajawal carrying 123lbs at $14. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 at Gold Coast Poly Bm58 on February 7 over 1 ¼m, 12 len behind Flying Rothe with 132lbs at $4.80. Capable on her day and is among the leading chances. 1st Pick 5 Champagne Rouge Jockey: Dylan Turner Trainer: Paula Barron J: Dylan Turner T: Paula Barron	134	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Most recently 7th of 10 at Gold Coast Bm65 on February 21 over 1 ¼m, 3.5 len behind Tajawal carrying 123lbs at $14. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 at Gold Coast Poly Bm58 on February 7 over 1 ¼m, 12 len behind Flying Rothe with 132lbs at $4.80. Capable on her day and is among the leading chances.
6	Form hard to fault. Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a long-neck at this track Cl1-Sw February 19 over 1m defeating Sonder with 120lbs at $61. The run before that eased back early on second last in a small field at Coffs Harbour Ctry Mdn on February 15 over 7f, on rain affected going, 3 len behind Tawfiq Tom with 122lbs at $2.35. Holding form and open to further improvement. 2nd Pick 6 Redadel Jockey: Grady Spokes Trainer: Brett Bellamy J: Grady Spokes T: Brett Bellamy	84	-	-	-	6%	16/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a long-neck at this track Cl1-Sw February 19 over 1m defeating Sonder with 120lbs at $61. The run before that eased back early on second last in a small field at Coffs Harbour Ctry Mdn on February 15 over 7f, on rain affected going, 3 len behind Tawfiq Tom with 122lbs at $2.35. Holding form and open to further improvement.
3	Last start 5th of 13 at Ipswich Bm58 on February 20 over 1 5/16m, 4.5 len behind Whatjeudoin' carrying 131lbs at $8. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 13 at this track Bm58 on January 25 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Tewkesbury carrying 132lbs at $5. Can fight out the finish from the low draw. 3rd Pick 3 Vermeer Jockey: Cassey Williams Trainer: Stephen Lee J: Cassey Williams T: Stephen Lee	121	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Last start 5th of 13 at Ipswich Bm58 on February 20 over 1 5/16m, 4.5 len behind Whatjeudoin' carrying 131lbs at $8. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 13 at this track Bm58 on January 25 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Tewkesbury carrying 132lbs at $5. Can fight out the finish from the low draw.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.