AU - Grafton - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Class 2

Turf

SOFT 5

17.4K

VIEW

Verdict

KEEP IT LOKI (4) sharp form reversal when he rounded them up effortlessly from back in the pack for a sound win over 7 ?f at Lismore. Finds a fairly average C2 and winning apprentice sticks. Goes close. TIETAR (1) tough mare who shouldered the 136lbs at her third run back when a gritty on-pace winner over this track and trip. Doesn't get the same map favours but sure to be thereabouts again. RAMPANT LION (2) up in trip and grade when a dismal eleventh over 1m at Eagle Farm in C3 class. Anticipating sharp improvement at this level. HIGH CLASS ROLLER (6) unsuited first-up over 6 ¼f when a plugging seventh over 6 ¼f at Ballina. Comes to hand quickly and can show rapid improvement over this trip.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Last start won by a neck at Lismore Bm58 November 10 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Warrior Bae with 126lbs at $9.50. Before that 7th of 9 at Ipswich Cg&E 0 - 58 on October 27 over 6 ¾f, slow going 4 len behind Clubhouse carrying 127lbs at $13. Can keep the winning momentum going. 1st Pick 4 Keep It Loki Jockey: Bella Youngberry Trainer: Tony & Maddysen Sears J: Bella Youngberry T: Tony & Maddysen Sears	135	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start won by a neck at Lismore Bm58 November 10 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Warrior Bae with 126lbs at $9.50. Before that 7th of 9 at Ipswich Cg&E 0 - 58 on October 27 over 6 ¾f, slow going 4 len behind Clubhouse carrying 127lbs at $13. Can keep the winning momentum going.
1	Racing well recently. At the latest run favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a long-neck at this track F&M Bm58 November 5 over 1m defeating Highwire Girl carrying 136lbs at $3.80. The run before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 at this track Ctry Cl2 on October 21 over 7f, 2 len behind Next Pay Run carrying 128lbs at $16. Starting to hit her straps and can win again. 2nd Pick 1 Tietar Jockey: Jett Newman Trainer: Matthew Dunn J: Jett Newman T: Matthew Dunn	158	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a long-neck at this track F&M Bm58 November 5 over 1m defeating Highwire Girl carrying 136lbs at $3.80. The run before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 at this track Ctry Cl2 on October 21 over 7f, 2 len behind Next Pay Run carrying 128lbs at $16. Starting to hit her straps and can win again.
2	Most recently ran last of 11 at Eagle Farm Cl3-Sw on November 8 over 1m, 6 len behind Margot's Deel carrying 129lbs at $31. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 7 at Ipswich Cl2 on October 31 over 6 ¾f, slow going 1.1 len behind Gelatin with 127lbs at $21. Can turn things around at this level. 3rd Pick 2 Rampant Lion Jockey: Leah Martyn Trainer: Corey & Kylie Geran J: Leah Martyn T: Corey & Kylie Geran	143	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Most recently ran last of 11 at Eagle Farm Cl3-Sw on November 8 over 1m, 6 len behind Margot's Deel carrying 129lbs at $31. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 7 at Ipswich Cl2 on October 31 over 6 ¾f, slow going 1.1 len behind Gelatin with 127lbs at $21. Can turn things around at this level.

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