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3:14 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 4

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
18.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TOO DARN FINESSE (7) progressive filly who drifted back in the heavy going before warming up late with an encouraging fourth over 6 ¼f at Taree. At her top now and can finish over the top of these. MEADOWBROOK (2) has her hoof on the till and comes out of a very strong race after finishing second to Red Spector over 6f at this track. Claim helps again and shapes as the main danger. SPIRITS BURN DEEP (5) back sharply in grade on the quick backup. Finished third two-back here, then outclassed when eighth over 7f at this track in BM90 class. No surprise to see her figure prominently. MISS ZERMATT (4) is in career-best form but faces a few hurdles from the wide gate today. Place preferred.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Too Darn Finesse silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run 4th of 9 at Taree Bm58 on June 30 over 6 ¼f, in the wet, 1.4 len behind I'm Super with 130lbs at $4.40. Before that 2nd in a small field at Scone Cl1 on June 9 over 5 ½f, slow going long-neck behind Copperline carrying 125lbs at $3.70. Sure to measure up in this weaker race.

1st Pick
7

Too Darn Finesse

Jockey: Benjamin Osmond

Trainer: Kris Lees

J: Benjamin Osmond

T: Kris Lees

136---27%11/4

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run 4th of 9 at Taree Bm58 on June 30 over 6 ¼f, in the wet, 1.4 len behind I'm Super with 130lbs at $4.40. Before that 2nd in a small field at Scone Cl1 on June 9 over 5 ½f, slow going long-neck behind Copperline carrying 125lbs at $3.70. Sure to measure up in this weaker race.

2
Meadowbrook silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run raced on the pace when 2nd of 11 at this track Cl1 on July 5 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Red Spector carrying 122lbs at $6.50. Before that rolled along in front before being edged out 2nd of 7 at Ballina Bm58 on June 21 over 6 ¼f, in the wet, 1.4 len behind Warrior Bae carrying 132lbs at $11. Rates highly and will be hard to stop with the claim.

2nd Pick
2

Meadowbrook

Jockey: Archie Mccolm

Trainer: Daiki Chujo

J: Archie Mccolm

T: Daiki Chujo

129---19%9/2

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run raced on the pace when 2nd of 11 at this track Cl1 on July 5 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Red Spector carrying 122lbs at $6.50. Before that rolled along in front before being edged out 2nd of 7 at Ballina Bm58 on June 21 over 6 ¼f, in the wet, 1.4 len behind Warrior Bae carrying 132lbs at $11. Rates highly and will be hard to stop with the claim.

5
Spirits Burn Deep silk

Last start 8th of 11 at this track Mothergift Bm90 on July 16 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Lady Lucifer with 121lbs at $31. Before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 15 at this track John Carlton on July 5 over 6f, slow going 1.0 len behind My Mum's Toyboy with 121lbs at $151. Hard to beat on her best form in this weaker contest.

3rd Pick
5

Spirits Burn Deep

Jockey: Nick Heywood

Trainer: Neil Osborne

J: Nick Heywood

T: Neil Osborne

167---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start 8th of 11 at this track Mothergift Bm90 on July 16 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Lady Lucifer with 121lbs at $31. Before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 15 at this track John Carlton on July 5 over 6f, slow going 1.0 len behind My Mum's Toyboy with 121lbs at $151. Hard to beat on her best form in this weaker contest.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.