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Resulted

AU - Grafton - Race 4

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
11.9f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 10
18.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

QUESTIONABLE (5) brings the most reliable recent profile, winning as an odds-on favourite at Dubbo after another sound placing there, and her season record gives her the right platform to handle the rise to this staying test. The first look at this track and around 1 7/16m is the small reservation, but she is racing with purpose and gets useful claim assistance. SUN TOPAZE (1) is the proven local staying yardstick, having won at this venue two back before missing by a nose last week, and his wet-track record makes him a major threat. CALIFORNIA GRASS (2) was only just behind that same line last week and has enough distance background to press again, though she has to turn the tables on Sun Topaze. WOODLAND WONDER (8) had genuine excuses when wide last start and had been beaten only a long neck by Sun Topaze the run prior, profiles as a sound place hope with a case if the longer trip brings him on.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Questionable silk

Arrives in strong form after winning over 1m at Dubbo by a length and a half, having been sent out an odds-on favourite and driving through the line late. She had also placed as favourite there five days earlier, so the consistency is clear. The new trip is a small query, but her form makes her the one to beat.

1st Pick
5

Questionable

Jockey: Anna Weatherlake

Trainer: Rodney Northam

J: Anna Weatherlake

T: Rodney Northam

123---20%

Analysis

Arrives in strong form after winning over 1m at Dubbo by a length and a half, having been sent out an odds-on favourite and driving through the line late. She had also placed as favourite there five days earlier, so the consistency is clear. The new trip is a small query, but her form makes her the one to beat.

1
Sun Topaze silk

Missed by only a nose at this track last week over 1m, starting at generous odds and again showing he is holding his form deep into the campaign. That followed a soft-ground win at this venue when he beat Bolero by a long neck despite beginning slowly. Proven around this trip and handles wet ground, rates a strong danger.

2nd Pick
1

Sun Topaze

Jockey: Jett Newman

Trainer: Shane Everson

J: Jett Newman

T: Shane Everson

143---12%

Analysis

Missed by only a nose at this track last week over 1m, starting at generous odds and again showing he is holding his form deep into the campaign. That followed a soft-ground win at this venue when he beat Bolero by a long neck despite beginning slowly. Proven around this trip and handles wet ground, rates a strong danger.

2
California Grass silk

Ran third at this track last week, beaten just over a length behind Sound And Vision after being slow to begin. The Gatton run prior was better than seventh reads, with solid late inroads from well back when near the top of an open market. Must turn the tables on Sun Topaze, but she is a genuine winning hope.

3rd Pick
2

California Grass

Jockey: Danny Peisley

Trainer: Chris Zintilis

J: Danny Peisley

T: Chris Zintilis

123---19%

Analysis

Ran third at this track last week, beaten just over a length behind Sound And Vision after being slow to begin. The Gatton run prior was better than seventh reads, with solid late inroads from well back when near the top of an open market. Must turn the tables on Sun Topaze, but she is a genuine winning hope.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.