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4:14 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 4

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
5.5f
Class 2
Turf
GOOD 4
20.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

YOUWROTEUPONIT (2) scored impressively first-up over 5f at Port Macquarie then stepped up to 6f at the same circuit last time and didn't run on as hoped. Freshened up and gets a bit of weight relief today. Can bounce back. IMMORTAL STORM (4) made it two wins from three starts this prep when he drove hard late to just get the cash over 5f at Taree three weeks ago. Races well here and an extra ½f doesn't hurt his chances. STORM MERCHANT (1) bolted in over 6f at Murwillumbah two back but struggled most recently in a Randwick Highway. Lightly raced three-year-old who deserves another chance back in this company. ALLEZE (3) is back from a nine-week lay-off and has been gelded. Scored over 5f here to kick off last prep. Sure to be fully wound up for this. DEEP STEALTH (8) goes up in grade but is in terrific form this prep. Must be included.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Youwroteuponit silk

Third-up today. Resuming came home strongly from last on the turn and won by 1.2 len at Port Macquarie Cl1 May 27 over 5f in the wet defeating Exceed Me with 130lbs at $4.20. Second run from a spell 5th of 10 at Port Macquarie Ctry Bm58 on June 14 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Sirsa Nuwa carrying 134lbs at $3.70. Terrific chance to return to form while fresh.

1st Pick
2

Youwroteuponit

Jockey: Ben Looker

Trainer: Cassandra Schmidt

J: Ben Looker

T: Cassandra Schmidt

122---12%15/2

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming came home strongly from last on the turn and won by 1.2 len at Port Macquarie Cl1 May 27 over 5f in the wet defeating Exceed Me with 130lbs at $4.20. Second run from a spell 5th of 10 at Port Macquarie Ctry Bm58 on June 14 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Sirsa Nuwa carrying 134lbs at $3.70. Terrific chance to return to form while fresh.

4
Immortal Storm silk

Most recently won by a neck at Taree Cl1 June 23 over 5f on a heavy track defeating Dirty Does It with 129lbs at $11. The start before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 12 at Coffs Harbour Ctry Bm58 on June 3 over 5f, on heavy track, 8 len behind Their Finest Hour with 133lbs at $4. Leading contender despite a tricky gate.

2nd Pick
4

Immortal Storm

Jockey: Aaron Bullock

Trainer: Scott Henley

J: Aaron Bullock

T: Scott Henley

145---16%11/2

Analysis

Most recently won by a neck at Taree Cl1 June 23 over 5f on a heavy track defeating Dirty Does It with 129lbs at $11. The start before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 12 at Coffs Harbour Ctry Bm58 on June 3 over 5f, on heavy track, 8 len behind Their Finest Hour with 133lbs at $4. Leading contender despite a tricky gate.

1
Storm Merchant silk

At the latest run failed to make an impression, ran second last of 15 at Randwick Highway-C3 on June 20 over 6f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Chains Of Love carrying 120lbs at $12. The race before that won by 6 len at Murwillumbah Cl1 June 8 over 6f in heavy going defeating Decadad carrying 132lbs at $1.80. Right in the mix.

3rd Pick
1

Storm Merchant

Jockey: Nash Rawiller

Trainer: Matthew Dunn

J: Nash Rawiller

T: Matthew Dunn

173---39%13/8

Analysis

At the latest run failed to make an impression, ran second last of 15 at Randwick Highway-C3 on June 20 over 6f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Chains Of Love carrying 120lbs at $12. The race before that won by 6 len at Murwillumbah Cl1 June 8 over 6f in heavy going defeating Decadad carrying 132lbs at $1.80. Right in the mix.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.