AU - Grafton - Race 4

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

11.1f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

19.7K

VIEW

Verdict

FULL OF SINCERITY (1) tough on pace stayer who maps to get the right run. Nailed late with the 132lbs when a close second over 1 ¼m in the Murwillumbah Cup Preview. Senior rider booked and doesn't have to improve much to win this. NATURE BOY (3) pulled up with a poor post recovery rate after working hard early from the outside gate when a fading eighth over 1 ?/16m at Ipswich. Gets a much better run today and saves his best for this track. SHERRIFF CODY (4) nearing his peak after catching the eye late when a solid fourth over 1 ¼m at Murwillumbah. Has the figures to take this out. STYLEBENDER (5) racing in career best form and deserves his chance in this harder race. Has won over the 1 5/16m and adept in all conditions. CASCADE MOUNTAIN (6) looks the pick of the rest on the quick back-up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 8 at Murwillumbah Cup Preview on June 22 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 0.6 len behind Feathertop carrying 132lbs at $2.70. The run before that 5th of 9 at Sunshine Coast Bm78 on June 8 over 1m, on a slow track, 3 len behind The Right Way carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Ready to find winning form. 1st Pick 1 Full Of Sincerity Jockey: Damien Thornton Trainer: Matthew Dunn J: Damien Thornton T: Matthew Dunn	209	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 8 at Murwillumbah Cup Preview on June 22 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 0.6 len behind Feathertop carrying 132lbs at $2.70. The run before that 5th of 9 at Sunshine Coast Bm78 on June 8 over 1m, on a slow track, 3 len behind The Right Way carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Ready to find winning form.
3	Most recently couldn't go on with it, 8th of 16 at Ipswich Prov Stay Bm78 on June 21 over 1/16m, 6 len behind The Right Way with 122lbs at $41. The race before that gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 7 at this track Bm74 on June 9 over 1m, on a slow track, neck behind Texas Fireball carrying 126lbs at $7. Has excellent figures over this track and trip. 2nd Pick 3 Nature Boy Jockey: Siena Grima Trainer: Lea Selby J: Siena Grima T: Lea Selby	102	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Most recently couldn't go on with it, 8th of 16 at Ipswich Prov Stay Bm78 on June 21 over 1/16m, 6 len behind The Right Way with 122lbs at $41. The race before that gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 7 at this track Bm74 on June 9 over 1m, on a slow track, neck behind Texas Fireball carrying 126lbs at $7. Has excellent figures over this track and trip.
4	Last start eased back early on 4th of 8 at Murwillumbah Cup Preview on June 22 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 2.5 len behind Feathertop carrying 123lbs at $12. The run before that 7th of 14 at Gold Coast Bm70 on June 7 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Twyford carrying 130lbs at $26. Not far away last time. Has further improvement to come. 3rd Pick 4 Sherriff Cody Jockey: Cejay Graham Trainer: Owen Glue J: Cejay Graham T: Owen Glue	94	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Last start eased back early on 4th of 8 at Murwillumbah Cup Preview on June 22 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 2.5 len behind Feathertop carrying 123lbs at $12. The run before that 7th of 14 at Gold Coast Bm70 on June 7 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Twyford carrying 130lbs at $26. Not far away last time. Has further improvement to come.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.