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4:30 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 4

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
5f
Class 1
Turf
SOFT 5
18.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ALLEZE (2) talented colt resuming. Gave them a galloping lesson on debut when he led throughout as favourite over 5f at Murwillumbah last October. Primed for this with the two trials and expected to remain unbeaten from the good gate. HIGHLAND FORCE (4) ploughed through the heavy (10) going on debut with a slick victory over 4f at Coffs Harbour. Kept fresh for this and expected to go close. AMORUSO (3) sat on the hot tempo with a game fifth over 5f at Port Macquarie. Much better effort last start and stays in the mix. DEEBEE'S GIRL (7) consistent mare resuming. Showed a stack of improvement last time in and can go on with it this prep. Jumped in trip with a courageous on-pace second over 6 ¼f at Kempsey. Has found a suitable race to kick off from the good gate. Respect.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Alleze silk

Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when favourite, won by 1.0 len at Murwillumbah Ctry Mdn-Sw October 14 over 5f defeating Prestige Pak carrying 125lbs at $1.95. Nice colt who can remain undefeated first-up.

1st Pick
2

Alleze

Jockey: Andrew Mallyon

Trainer: Matthew Dunn

J: Andrew Mallyon

T: Matthew Dunn

122---40%6/4

Analysis

Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when favourite, won by 1.0 len at Murwillumbah Ctry Mdn-Sw October 14 over 5f defeating Prestige Pak carrying 125lbs at $1.95. Nice colt who can remain undefeated first-up.

4
Highland Force silk

Freshened since claiming her maiden victory on debut, won by 2.25 len at Coffs Harbour Mdn-Sw February 15 over 4f in the wet defeating Miss Como with 125lbs at $6. Speedy filly with the upside to remain unbeaten.

2nd Pick
4

Highland Force

Jockey: Brandon Lerena

Trainer: John Shelton

J: Brandon Lerena

T: John Shelton

110---23%7/2

Analysis

Freshened since claiming her maiden victory on debut, won by 2.25 len at Coffs Harbour Mdn-Sw February 15 over 4f in the wet defeating Miss Como with 125lbs at $6. Speedy filly with the upside to remain unbeaten.

10
Barron silk

Second run back. First-up after three months 3rd of 7 at Ballina Bm66 on March 23 over 5f, in the wet, 4 len behind Kyogle Kid with 121lbs at $20. Previously second-up 2nd in a small field at Murwillumbah Ctry Mdn on June 22 over 6f, in the wet, 1.0 len behind Gavin carrying 121lbs at $3.80. Prepared to risk in this line-up.

3rd Pick
10

Barron

Jockey: Unknown Jockey

Trainer: Sharon Pepper

J: Unknown Jockey

T: Sharon Pepper

102---5%20/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after three months 3rd of 7 at Ballina Bm66 on March 23 over 5f, in the wet, 4 len behind Kyogle Kid with 121lbs at $20. Previously second-up 2nd in a small field at Murwillumbah Ctry Mdn on June 22 over 6f, in the wet, 1.0 len behind Gavin carrying 121lbs at $3.80. Prepared to risk in this line-up.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.