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5:00 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 4

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
21.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LADY ALABAMA (4) underrated mare who appreciated the firmer surface with a tough on-pace win over 1m at this track. Senior rider goes on today and gets map favours. Sure to be thereabouts. FIVE RINGS (3) deep into the prep and like the way he closed off with a tidy fifth over 7f at the Gold Coast. Among the chances and will be strong late. LOVE 'N' ROCKETS (8) drops sharply in weight with the claim and in career best form. Strong through the line with a narrow third over 1m at this track. Hard fit and capable of taking this out. FICTION SOCIETY (10) relished the jump in trip with a sound victory over 7f at Grafton. All three wins have come at this track and looks up to this.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Talana silk

Most recently won by a head at Port Macquarie Ctry Bm58 March 24 over 7 ½f in soft going defeating Super Jaie carrying 130lbs at $10. The race before that struggled in the run home, ran last of 9 at Coffs Harbour Bm82 on March 9 over 1m, on a wet track, 12 len behind Supreme Command carrying 121lbs at $7. Impressed last start in weaker grade and can go on with it now.

1st Pick
2

Talana

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Sally Taylor

J: Non Runner

T: Sally Taylor

129---1%1000/1

Analysis

Most recently won by a head at Port Macquarie Ctry Bm58 March 24 over 7 ½f in soft going defeating Super Jaie carrying 130lbs at $10. The race before that struggled in the run home, ran last of 9 at Coffs Harbour Bm82 on March 9 over 1m, on a wet track, 12 len behind Supreme Command carrying 121lbs at $7. Impressed last start in weaker grade and can go on with it now.

4
Lady Alabama silk

Recent form sound. Most recently won by a neck at this track Ctry Bm58 April 7 over 1m defeating Amarone with 128lbs at $8. The start before that 4th of 9 at Ballina Bm82 (81) on March 23 over 1m, on rain affected going, 12 len behind Resurrected carrying 121lbs at $16. Going well and has excellent credentials here.

2nd Pick
4

Lady Alabama

Jockey: Luke Rolls

Trainer: Leo Clapham

J: Luke Rolls

T: Leo Clapham

108---11%17/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. Most recently won by a neck at this track Ctry Bm58 April 7 over 1m defeating Amarone with 128lbs at $8. The start before that 4th of 9 at Ballina Bm82 (81) on March 23 over 1m, on rain affected going, 12 len behind Resurrected carrying 121lbs at $16. Going well and has excellent credentials here.

3
Five Rings silk

Most recently eased back early on 5th of 10 at Gold Coast Cl3 on April 4 over 7f, 3 len behind Heavenly Impact with 123lbs at $31. Before that came from midfield and won by a nose at Port Macquarie Cl2 March 16 over 7 ½f defeating Deep Drive carrying 128lbs at $12. In a suitable race after catching the eye last start.

3rd Pick
3

Five Rings

Jockey: Danny Peisley

Trainer: Fleur Henley

J: Danny Peisley

T: Fleur Henley

122---8%12/1

Analysis

Most recently eased back early on 5th of 10 at Gold Coast Cl3 on April 4 over 7f, 3 len behind Heavenly Impact with 123lbs at $31. Before that came from midfield and won by a nose at Port Macquarie Cl2 March 16 over 7 ½f defeating Deep Drive carrying 128lbs at $12. In a suitable race after catching the eye last start.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.