AU - Grafton - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

21.2K

VIEW

Verdict

HUMPHREE BEAR (7) comes here deep into the prep and is due for a change of luck. Sat three-wide on the fast tempo with a tiring seventh over 6f here. Senior rider hops on for this and no excuses from the good gate. HIGHLAND FORCE (5) progressive mare undefeated in her two starts back this time in. Won with plenty up her sleeve from the wide to demolish her rivals with the 126lbs when saluting over 5f at Coffs Harbour. Gets an even better set-up for this and can keep the winning momentum going. PATRIOTICINTENTION (3) improved on the firmer surface when taken to the front for a fighting nose second over 6f at Coffs Harbour. Gets a similar run today and has genuine top three claims. DIZZY DEE (4) made good use of the rails draw when taken to the front for a slick victory over 5f at this track. Awkward map here and can run into the minor money.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	At the latest run raced on the pace before fading to run last of 7 in a Bm66 at this track on September 21 over 6f, 9 len behind Custo with 129lbs at $4.60. The race before that 4th of 9 in a Cl3 at Coffs Harbour on September 3 over 5f, 2.25 len behind The Lupercal carrying 128lbs at $3.10. Capable of sharp improvement. 1st Pick 7 Humphree Bear Jockey: Ben Looker Trainer: Shane Everson J: Ben Looker T: Shane Everson	118	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis At the latest run raced on the pace before fading to run last of 7 in a Bm66 at this track on September 21 over 6f, 9 len behind Custo with 129lbs at $4.60. The race before that 4th of 9 in a Cl3 at Coffs Harbour on September 3 over 5f, 2.25 len behind The Lupercal carrying 128lbs at $3.10. Capable of sharp improvement.
5	Third-up today. First-up favourite, won by 1.75 len in a Bm58 at Coffs Harbour on September 3 over 4f defeating Cool Fizz carrying 122lbs at $16. Last start favourite, won by 1.75 len in a Ctry Bm58 at Coffs Harbour on September 13 over 5f defeating Miss Mercy carrying 126lbs at $3.60. Talented type who is expected to run well again. 2nd Pick 5 Highland Force Jockey: Archie Mccolm Trainer: John Shelton J: Archie Mccolm T: John Shelton	125	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Third-up today. First-up favourite, won by 1.75 len in a Bm58 at Coffs Harbour on September 3 over 4f defeating Cool Fizz carrying 122lbs at $16. Last start favourite, won by 1.75 len in a Ctry Bm58 at Coffs Harbour on September 13 over 5f defeating Miss Mercy carrying 126lbs at $3.60. Talented type who is expected to run well again.
3	At the latest run tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 8 in a Bm66 at Coffs Harbour on September 3 over 6f, nose behind Wanjina Rose with 128lbs at $7.50. Before that raced on the pace before fading 10th of 12 in a Bm66 at this track on August 18 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Jewels Statement carrying 129lbs at $16. Expected to be very competitive. 3rd Pick 3 Patrioticintention Jockey: Grace Palmer Trainer: Samantha Mcguren J: Grace Palmer T: Samantha Mcguren	85	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis At the latest run tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 8 in a Bm66 at Coffs Harbour on September 3 over 6f, nose behind Wanjina Rose with 128lbs at $7.50. Before that raced on the pace before fading 10th of 12 in a Bm66 at this track on August 18 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Jewels Statement carrying 129lbs at $16. Expected to be very competitive.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.