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3:00 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 3

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
7.1f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 6
18.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SWAG (1) has returned from a spell in good order, battling on well for third at his latest outing over 6 ¾f at Doomben. Honest three-year-old who should find this a shade easier and will be ready to peak at the third run back. NEED FOR SPIETH (3) impressed first-up over 6 ½f at Toowoomba three weeks ago, making a sustained run from last at one stage to win by a whisker. Sparingly raced gelding who can take this next step. RUSSIANTOTHEPOST (5) returns for a second campaign off a 20-week break. Progressed nicely in the maiden prep including a close third over the mile in a Class 1 at the Sunshine Coast most recently. Capable of going to a new level this time in work. CLIVE'S GLORY (2) has been freshened up since missing the placings over 1 ¼m at the Sunshine Coast poly seven weeks ago. Bolted in at the Sunny Coast in a recent trial. Should sprint well while fresh. PERMISSION DENIED (4) has won two races, both at or around today's trip. In the mix.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Swag silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up ran second last in a small field at Ipswich Cg&E Cl2-Sw on June 4 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Fire Bomber with 128lbs at $10. Second-up held ground to the line 3rd of 10 at Doomben Cl1-Sw on June 24 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Automne Tree with 131lbs at $12. Racing well. Cherry ripe after two runs back and will take plenty of beating.

1st Pick
1

Swag

Jockey: Robbie Dolan

Trainer: Michael Freedman

J: Robbie Dolan

T: Michael Freedman

230---48%11/10

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up ran second last in a small field at Ipswich Cg&E Cl2-Sw on June 4 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Fire Bomber with 128lbs at $10. Second-up held ground to the line 3rd of 10 at Doomben Cl1-Sw on June 24 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Automne Tree with 131lbs at $12. Racing well. Cherry ripe after two runs back and will take plenty of beating.

3
Need For Spieth silk

Second-up. First-up after eight months won by a nose at Toowoomba Bm55 June 13 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Miss Dramatic with 132lbs at $11. Previously second-up ran last of 11 at Ballina Cl1 on October 5 over 6 ¼f, 10 len behind National Interest with 122lbs at $5.50. Back in fine order and is sure to prove hard to beat.

2nd Pick
3

Need For Spieth

Jockey: Brandon Lerena

Trainer: Indiana Turner

J: Brandon Lerena

T: Indiana Turner

101---16%11/2

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after eight months won by a nose at Toowoomba Bm55 June 13 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Miss Dramatic with 132lbs at $11. Previously second-up ran last of 11 at Ballina Cl1 on October 5 over 6 ¼f, 10 len behind National Interest with 122lbs at $5.50. Back in fine order and is sure to prove hard to beat.

5
Russiantothepost silk

Resuming. Finished off last campaign third of 8 at Sunshine Coast Cl1 February 13 over 1m, in the wet, 0.8 len behind Cool Running carrying 127lbs at $8.50. On debut sixth of 12 at Sunshine Coast 3yo Mdn January 16 over 6f, soft track, 2.25 len behind Silver Smash carrying 128lbs at $14. Expecting improvement this time in work.

3rd Pick
5

Russiantothepost

Jockey: Tiffani Brooker

Trainer: James Healy

J: Tiffani Brooker

T: James Healy

112---8%12/1

Analysis

Resuming. Finished off last campaign third of 8 at Sunshine Coast Cl1 February 13 over 1m, in the wet, 0.8 len behind Cool Running carrying 127lbs at $8.50. On debut sixth of 12 at Sunshine Coast 3yo Mdn January 16 over 6f, soft track, 2.25 len behind Silver Smash carrying 128lbs at $14. Expecting improvement this time in work.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.