AU - Grafton - Race 3

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

5.8f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

19.1K

VIEW

Verdict

POSEIDON'S SON (3) starting to hit his straps this campaign with the three impressive on-pace wins in weaker company. Will relish Smyth's 7lbs claim from the good gate and undefeated in two starts at this course. Looks too strong again. COUNT NICHOLAS (6) in good order after winning two back at the Gold Coast Poly. Meets Poseidon's Son better at the weights after closing well for a narrow third over 6f here. Shapes as the main danger. STARZAM (1) proven at this level and strips fitter after he chipped away late on resumption with a plugging fourth over 5 ¼f at this track. No surprise to see closing strongly. PEONY (2) fourth-up for this and finally drawn a decent barrier. Snagged back from the outside gate with a battling eighth over 6f at this track. Will race closer to the speed and can add value to the exotics. GAYLORD (5) never comfortable first-up in the heavy going at the Gold Coast and remains unbeaten at this course. Improver.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	On a three run winning streak. Last start favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a nose at this track Bm74 March 5 over 6f defeating Immortality carrying 121lbs at $2.15. The race before that favourite, won by 2 len at Lismore Bm66 February 10 over 6f on a soft track defeating Cabsav with 133lbs at $1.50. Talented gelding going quickly through his grades, hard to stop in this vein of form. 1st Pick 3 Poseidon's Son Jockey: Liberty Smyth Trainer: Matthew Dunn J: Liberty Smyth T: Matthew Dunn	211	-	-	-	48%	11/10
Analysis On a three run winning streak. Last start favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a nose at this track Bm74 March 5 over 6f defeating Immortality carrying 121lbs at $2.15. The race before that favourite, won by 2 len at Lismore Bm66 February 10 over 6f on a soft track defeating Cabsav with 133lbs at $1.50. Talented gelding going quickly through his grades, hard to stop in this vein of form.
6	Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 10 at this track Bm74 on March 5 over 6f, neck behind Poseidon's Son with 121lbs at $14. The run before that was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by a neck at Gold Coast Poly Bm55 February 14 over 5 ¼f defeating Bee Exact carrying 133lbs at $8. Thereabouts at his last three runs, top-three contender. 2nd Pick 6 Count Nicholas Jockey: Bella Youngberry Trainer: Adam Campton J: Bella Youngberry T: Adam Campton	145	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 10 at this track Bm74 on March 5 over 6f, neck behind Poseidon's Son with 121lbs at $14. The run before that was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by a neck at Gold Coast Poly Bm55 February 14 over 5 ¼f defeating Bee Exact carrying 133lbs at $8. Thereabouts at his last three runs, top-three contender.
1	Second run back. Comes off a 49-day let-up. First-up after four months 4th of 8 at this track Return Bm82 on January 25 over 5 ¼f, 3.5 len behind Royal Commodore with 131lbs at $26. Previously second-up 9th of 11 at Inverell Bm82 on May 23 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Rhythm Is A Dancer carrying 121lbs at $8.50. Comes to hand quickly and expected to do much better. 3rd Pick 1 Starzam Jockey: Dylan Turner Trainer: Fleur Henley J: Dylan Turner T: Fleur Henley	147	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Second run back. Comes off a 49-day let-up. First-up after four months 4th of 8 at this track Return Bm82 on January 25 over 5 ¼f, 3.5 len behind Royal Commodore with 131lbs at $26. Previously second-up 9th of 11 at Inverell Bm82 on May 23 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Rhythm Is A Dancer carrying 121lbs at $8.50. Comes to hand quickly and expected to do much better.

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