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3:25 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 2

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
8.6f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 7
21.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Some of these are a risk at the trip but that is not the case with BRAVO SIX (3) who improved sharply last time out at the third run of the prep, beaten just over a length here at a similar distance. Cherry ripe now after three runs back from a spell and won't spend a dime from the inside alley. ATADCHEEKY (6) is rarely far away. Made some late ground but didn't threaten when fourth last time out in a Class 1 over the mile at Taree. Nicely placed over a bit more ground back in maiden company. INSAIN CHAOS (4) has been working home okay but lacks a turn of foot to be a chance in shorter races. Jumps from 6 ¾f to 1 ¹/16m today which is a big ask but it may be the key to his success. PRINCE OF WANTS (5) turned in the best run of his six to date when beaten under a length over 7 ½f at Port Macquarie recently. New to today's distance but it looks the right option. SARMAT (2) produced a real eye-catcher in that same race at Port Macquarie last time and should relish today's journey.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Bravo Six silk

Racing well recently. Most recently 2nd in a small field in a Mdn-Sw at this track on October 13 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 1.1 len behind So Fortunate with 126lbs at $8. The race before that got back early 4th of 8 in a Cl1-Sw at Griffith on September 12 over 1m, 9 len behind Vasala with 125lbs at $2.05. Can improve again. Gradually putting it together and a win looks imminent.

1st Pick
3

Bravo Six

Jockey: Cassey Williams

Trainer: Robert Knight

J: Cassey Williams

T: Robert Knight

114---23%7/2

Analysis

Racing well recently. Most recently 2nd in a small field in a Mdn-Sw at this track on October 13 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 1.1 len behind So Fortunate with 126lbs at $8. The race before that got back early 4th of 8 in a Cl1-Sw at Griffith on September 12 over 1m, 9 len behind Vasala with 125lbs at $2.05. Can improve again. Gradually putting it together and a win looks imminent.

6
Atadcheeky silk

Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 9 in a Cl1-Sw at Taree on October 16 over 1m, slow going 2.25 len behind Purple Haze with 125lbs at $7. The race before that 2nd of 14 in a Ctry Mdn at Port Macquarie on October 10 over 7 ½f, nose behind Birdy Girl with 121lbs at $5.50. Racing well without winning - his numbers say he is up to this.

2nd Pick
6

Atadcheeky

Jockey: Zac Wadick

Trainer: Glen Milligan

J: Zac Wadick

T: Glen Milligan

153---13%7/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 9 in a Cl1-Sw at Taree on October 16 over 1m, slow going 2.25 len behind Purple Haze with 125lbs at $7. The race before that 2nd of 14 in a Ctry Mdn at Port Macquarie on October 10 over 7 ½f, nose behind Birdy Girl with 121lbs at $5.50. Racing well without winning - his numbers say he is up to this.

4
Insain Chaos silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 11 in a Mdn at Beaumont (Newcastle) on October 26 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Stunning Future with 123lbs at $8.50. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at this track on October 13 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Who Loves A Harley carrying 127lbs at $2.80. Rates highly. Big step up in trip the main question mark.

3rd Pick
4

Insain Chaos

Jockey: Kyle Wilson-Taylor

Trainer: Brett Dodson

J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor

T: Brett Dodson

135---23%7/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 11 in a Mdn at Beaumont (Newcastle) on October 26 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Stunning Future with 123lbs at $8.50. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at this track on October 13 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Who Loves A Harley carrying 127lbs at $2.80. Rates highly. Big step up in trip the main question mark.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.