AU - Grafton - Race 1

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

18.7K

VIEW

Verdict

CASCADING (8) has not appeared since finishing fourth in the $500k Magic Millions debutants race over 5f at the Gold Coast in January. Coasted home in a recent Sunshine Coast trial. Finds the ideal race to launch this campaign. PROFIT IN PARADISE (3) as two months between runs when a tiring sixth over this distance at the Gold Coast last start. Sure to take a lot from that outing and from a nice draw should be prominent for a long way. PRESTIGE AUSTRIA (11) finished a distant third on debut to back at Murwillumbah then knocked up most recently at the Gold Coast after showing pace to the bend in a 5f maiden. May not have handled the heavy going last time so worth another chance. MAGIC ALL AROUND (10) is a first starter from the Sally Taylor yard. Went well in a recent trial at Taree. Keep an eye on the betting. FLYING SCARLETT (16) can improve after a modest debut at the Gold Coast 15 days ago.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Resumes racing after a long spell. Only one run when 4th of 11 at Gold Coast Mm Debut 2yo SW on January 17 over 5f, slow going 5 len behind Toorak Jewel with 121lbs at $26. Expected to come back bigger and better this prep. 1st Pick 8 Cascading Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Billy Healey J: Non Runner T: Billy Healey	147	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Resumes racing after a long spell. Only one run when 4th of 11 at Gold Coast Mm Debut 2yo SW on January 17 over 5f, slow going 5 len behind Toorak Jewel with 121lbs at $26. Expected to come back bigger and better this prep.
3	Third-up today. First-up ran second last of 7 at Ipswich 2yo Hcp on April 23 over 4f, slow going 9 len behind Lucky Pat with 127lbs at $6. Second-up raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Gold Coast 2yo Mdn-Sw on June 20 over 5f, slow going 4 len behind Trev with 128lbs at $4.80. Racing well. Should be cherry ripe third-up and looks very hard to beat. 2nd Pick 3 Profit In Paradise Jockey: Danny Peisley Trainer: Paul Shailer J: Danny Peisley T: Paul Shailer	119	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up ran second last of 7 at Ipswich 2yo Hcp on April 23 over 4f, slow going 9 len behind Lucky Pat with 127lbs at $6. Second-up raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Gold Coast 2yo Mdn-Sw on June 20 over 5f, slow going 4 len behind Trev with 128lbs at $4.80. Racing well. Should be cherry ripe third-up and looks very hard to beat.
11	Lining up for just third start. When well in the market at debut, 3rd in a small field at Murwillumbah Ctry Mdn-Sw on June 8 over 5f, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Land Speed carrying 121lbs at $2.40. Second-up raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 11 at Gold Coast 2yo Mdn-Sw on June 20 over 5f, on a slow track, 12 len behind My Utopia carrying 120lbs at $71. Can do much better this time. 3rd Pick 11 Prestige Austria Jockey: Dylan Turner Trainer: Stephen & Jordan Lee J: Dylan Turner T: Stephen & Jordan Lee	75	-	-	-	6%	18/1
Analysis Lining up for just third start. When well in the market at debut, 3rd in a small field at Murwillumbah Ctry Mdn-Sw on June 8 over 5f, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Land Speed carrying 121lbs at $2.40. Second-up raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 11 at Gold Coast 2yo Mdn-Sw on June 20 over 5f, on a slow track, 12 len behind My Utopia carrying 120lbs at $71. Can do much better this time.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.