AU - Goulburn - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

21.4K

VIEW

Verdict

OCTOBER STAR (7) closed off well second up with a tidy third over 6f at Wyong in BM64 class. Two subsequent runs have been below par and comes back a few grades here. Maps well and no shock to see him find form. WINNING EMOTIONS (6) struggled in Highway grade at his last two outings and can return to form on his home track. Eye catching run three back when second over 5f at Moruya. Hard fit for this and keep safe. ONE RUN WON (8) blinkers go on for this after he faded late from the wide gate to finish fourth over 7 ¼f at Illawarra Grange. Can overcome the wide draw and take a hand in the finish. MONTE MAXIMUS (1) won well at Moruya four back and has struggled at the provincials at his last two outings. Claim helps from the low draw and not without each way prospects. JAZZ ALL KNIGHT (10) gets in light with the 9lbs claimer and further improved third up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	At the latest run raced on the pace before fading 7th of 9 in a Cg&E Bm64 at Kembla Grange on August 8 over 7f, 6 len behind Everido carrying 126lbs at $14. The run before that ran second last of 7 in a Cg&E Cl1 at Gosford on July 18 over 6f, on a wet track, 9 len behind Stability carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Comes here deep into the prep and sure to be in the finish. 1st Pick 7 October Star Jockey: Mitchell Bell Trainer: Richard Litt J: Mitchell Bell T: Richard Litt	140	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis At the latest run raced on the pace before fading 7th of 9 in a Cg&E Bm64 at Kembla Grange on August 8 over 7f, 6 len behind Everido carrying 126lbs at $14. The run before that ran second last of 7 in a Cg&E Cl1 at Gosford on July 18 over 6f, on a wet track, 9 len behind Stability carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Comes here deep into the prep and sure to be in the finish.
6	Last start 14th of 16 in a Highway-C3 at Rosehill on August 15 over 6 ½f, slow going 5 len behind Lyon with 116lbs at $19. Before that eased back early on 10th of 15 in a Highway-C3 at Rosehill on August 1 over 6f, slow going 5 len behind Wayburn carrying 123lbs at $51. Can turn things around in this grade. 2nd Pick 6 Winning Emotions Jockey: Chad Schofield Trainer: Danny Williams J: Chad Schofield T: Danny Williams	155	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Last start 14th of 16 in a Highway-C3 at Rosehill on August 15 over 6 ½f, slow going 5 len behind Lyon with 116lbs at $19. Before that eased back early on 10th of 15 in a Highway-C3 at Rosehill on August 1 over 6f, slow going 5 len behind Wayburn carrying 123lbs at $51. Can turn things around in this grade.
8	Form hard to fault. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 in a Cl1 at Illawarra Grange on July 30 over 7 ¼f, 3.5 len behind Cobra Club carrying 127lbs at $13. The run before that sat on the pace when 3rd of 9 in a Mid Cl1 at Newcastle on July 14 over 6 ¼f, slow going 2 len behind Nuns Chorus carrying 127lbs at $8. Blinkers go on and deserves another chance. 3rd Pick 8 One Run Won Jockey: Molly Bourke Trainer: John Sargent J: Molly Bourke T: John Sargent	81	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 in a Cl1 at Illawarra Grange on July 30 over 7 ¼f, 3.5 len behind Cobra Club carrying 127lbs at $13. The run before that sat on the pace when 3rd of 9 in a Mid Cl1 at Newcastle on July 14 over 6 ¼f, slow going 2 len behind Nuns Chorus carrying 127lbs at $8. Blinkers go on and deserves another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.