AU - Gosford - Race 7

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Class 1

Turf

HEAVY 10

31.2K

VIEW

Verdict

I AM BRAVE (4) slow into stride on resumption and returned excellent closing splits for a respectable sixth over 6f at Kembla Grange. Key jockey change and she should get the right speed from the wide gate. Hard to hold out. GAELIC GEM (6) blinkers go on third-up and will find this more to her liking after disappointing behind Escargoes over 5 ½f at Hawkesbury. Lone win came at this trip and no surprise to see her in the finish today. IRON FURY (1) is experiencing a long win drought and gets another chance third-up over the 6f. Given the gun run from the gate but failed to close off when fourth over 5 ½f at Hawkesbury. Placed twice at this course and stays in the mix. LUMA LIGHT (3) progressive filly resuming from a lengthy spell. Fitted with the two trials and should handle the conditions with the 7lbs claimer aboard.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Second-up. First-up after seven months from last on the turn 6th of 8 at Kembla Grange Cl1 on June 20 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Diacon carrying 123lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up from last on the turn 5th of 8 at Kembla Grange Bm64 on October 25 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Madrina carrying 125lbs at $14. Fitter now and can improve sharply despite drawing out. 1st Pick 4 I Am Brave Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: Richard & Will Freedman J: Zac Lloyd T: Richard & Will Freedman	124	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after seven months from last on the turn 6th of 8 at Kembla Grange Cl1 on June 20 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Diacon carrying 123lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up from last on the turn 5th of 8 at Kembla Grange Bm64 on October 25 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Madrina carrying 125lbs at $14. Fitter now and can improve sharply despite drawing out.
2	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming won by 2.25 len at Illawarra Grange F&M Mdn-Sw May 30 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Peace Bird carrying 128lbs at $4. Second run from a spell rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 10 at Kembla Grange Prov Cl1 on June 20 over 7f, on a slow track, 5 len behind All Star carrying 128lbs at $4. Back to her right trip and sure to be thereabouts. 2nd Pick 2 Rose Of Fenway Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter J: Non Runner T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter	184	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming won by 2.25 len at Illawarra Grange F&M Mdn-Sw May 30 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Peace Bird carrying 128lbs at $4. Second run from a spell rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 10 at Kembla Grange Prov Cl1 on June 20 over 7f, on a slow track, 5 len behind All Star carrying 128lbs at $4. Back to her right trip and sure to be thereabouts.
6	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Wyong Mid Cl1 on June 7 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Indecisive with 121lbs at $9.50. Last start 9th of 12 at Hawkesbury Prov Bm64 on June 23 over 5 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Escargoes carrying 121lbs at $26. Well placed. Blinkers go on and expected to measure up. 3rd Pick 6 Gaelic Gem Jockey: Alysha Collett Trainer: Tracey Bartley J: Alysha Collett T: Tracey Bartley	155	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Wyong Mid Cl1 on June 7 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Indecisive with 121lbs at $9.50. Last start 9th of 12 at Hawkesbury Prov Bm64 on June 23 over 5 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Escargoes carrying 121lbs at $26. Well placed. Blinkers go on and expected to measure up.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.