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5:50 AM

AU - Gosford - Race 7

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
5.5f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
29.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SCURO STAR (9) lightly raced filly with upside resuming. Won on debut at Hawkesbury, then finished second to Pin Up Sheila over 5 ½f at Warwick Farm last June. Fitted with the one trial and has the class to get the better of these. BALLYHOO (10) earned respect by beating Shaft Attack at Canberra as favourite, and the weight relief gives her a fair platform despite rising from BM60 company. Can go on with it now. NAVY STEEL (2) returns from a let up and the visors go on. Improved performance when back in trip to run fourth in an Open at Muswellbrook. Will go back from the gate and be ridden for luck. ZOUKERINO (12) last three runs had merit and looks close to a win. Stalked the speed with the 134lbs when second over 6f at Nowra. Anywhere near his best would see him go close.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Chemtrail silk

Has built a strong winning case through his past two runs, scoring in a BM58 at Goulburn as a short favourite before running second to Miss Emma at Kembla Grange, beaten just under two lengths after travelling well. The wide draw asks for some luck, but he is race fit, proven around 5 ½f and comes through consistent recent form. Wide draw is the query, but his 5 ½f profile makes him the one to beat.

1st Pick
3

Chemtrail

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Danny Williams

J: Non Runner

T: Danny Williams

162---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Has built a strong winning case through his past two runs, scoring in a BM58 at Goulburn as a short favourite before running second to Miss Emma at Kembla Grange, beaten just under two lengths after travelling well. The wide draw asks for some luck, but he is race fit, proven around 5 ½f and comes through consistent recent form. Wide draw is the query, but his 5 ½f profile makes him the one to beat.

5
Portico silk

Went very close in a Class 1 at Kembla Grange, finishing third and beaten half a length after covering ground and being tightened near the ¼f. That followed another sound third at Hawkesbury behind Flight Of Power, so the form is holding together. Fourth-up now and ready to win if the draw does not hurt.

2nd Pick
5

Portico

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Michael Freedman

J: Non Runner

T: Michael Freedman

135---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Went very close in a Class 1 at Kembla Grange, finishing third and beaten half a length after covering ground and being tightened near the ¼f. That followed another sound third at Hawkesbury behind Flight Of Power, so the form is holding together. Fourth-up now and ready to win if the draw does not hurt.

8
Sapling silk

Returns from a lengthy spell after ending last preparation with a heavy-track failure at Randwick-Kensington, where she was beaten over 19 lengths and no abnormality was reported. That is the clear caution, but she has since won a Gosford trial and is two from two at the trials since racing. Last campaign ended poorly, but her fresh profile keeps her right in this.

3rd Pick
8

Sapling

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Nacim Dilmi

J: Non Runner

T: Nacim Dilmi

108---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Returns from a lengthy spell after ending last preparation with a heavy-track failure at Randwick-Kensington, where she was beaten over 19 lengths and no abnormality was reported. That is the clear caution, but she has since won a Gosford trial and is two from two at the trials since racing. Last campaign ended poorly, but her fresh profile keeps her right in this.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).