AU - Gosford - Race 6

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

10.1f

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

29.5K

VIEW

Verdict

LIYAH'S GIRL (3) is the horse to beat after two solid Canberra runs, the latest a fifth beaten just under two lengths after being checked late, and her record of four placings from five starts at the distance gives her the right grounding for 1 ¼m. FREDDIE BASSETT (2) brings the strongest class reference, dropping out of a BM72 at Newcastle where he was only beaten a length and a half after being bumped and covering ground, with the first try at this trip the main query. SCOISH MALOISH (11) is still a maiden but was checked when fourth, beaten just under a length, at Hawkesbury and looks ready to improve third-up. Ready for this trip. DON'S PARTY (1) one paced type who gets the tongue-tie going on after he dropped in trip with a battling sixth over 1m at Kembla Grange. Capable of better in the small field.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Rises from a country Canberra run to stronger company, but that fifth behind Pure Melody was better than it reads after she was checked late and beaten just under two lengths. She had been a well-supported favourite when second by a neck to Star Turn Dancer the start prior, and her four placings from five starts at this distance are a key asset. Drawn low and expected to go close. 1st Pick 3 Liyah's Girl Jockey: Chad Schofield Trainer: Matthew Smith J: Chad Schofield T: Matthew Smith	160	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Rises from a country Canberra run to stronger company, but that fifth behind Pure Melody was better than it reads after she was checked late and beaten just under two lengths. She had been a well-supported favourite when second by a neck to Star Turn Dancer the start prior, and her four placings from five starts at this distance are a key asset. Drawn low and expected to go close.
2	Drops sharply out of BM72 grade after a sound Newcastle fifth over 1 ³/16m, beaten a length and a half by Sumac at generous odds after being bumped early and racing wide through the middle stages. He was fitter for that second-up run after fading over 7 ½f first-up, and he should race handy from barrier five. Third-up, he looks a major winning chance. 2nd Pick 2 Freddie Bassett Jockey: Tom Sherry Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Tom Sherry T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	144	-	-	-	53%	10/11
Analysis Drops sharply out of BM72 grade after a sound Newcastle fifth over 1 ³/16m, beaten a length and a half by Sumac at generous odds after being bumped early and racing wide through the middle stages. He was fitter for that second-up run after fading over 7 ½f first-up, and he should race handy from barrier five. Third-up, he looks a major winning chance.
11	Closed to fourth in a Mdn at Hawkesbury, beaten just under a length by My Cartouche despite racing keenly and being checked at the 1f, so the run has more substance than the market expected. His Goulburn fourth prior on soft ground was also sound after racing keenly throughout. The 1 ¼m is new, but he has a live winning chance. 3rd Pick 11 Scoish Maloish Jockey: Keagan Latham Trainer: Marc & Mitchell Conners J: Keagan Latham T: Marc & Mitchell Conners	100	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Closed to fourth in a Mdn at Hawkesbury, beaten just under a length by My Cartouche despite racing keenly and being checked at the 1f, so the run has more substance than the market expected. His Goulburn fourth prior on soft ground was also sound after racing keenly throughout. The 1 ¼m is new, but he has a live winning chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.