AU - Gosford - Race 5

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

29.5K

VIEW

Verdict

UNBRIDLED STORM (5) sets the standard after a Warwick Farm third in CG BM72 metro company, beaten a length and a half by Fierceness on soft ground. He now finds an easier race, draws barrier one and has Jason Collett taking over for Chris Waller. The profile is clean and progressive. SHOWMARA (4) brings the strongest winning record, having scored in BM68 grade at Hawkesbury after a narrow Nowra BM58 second, and Siena Grima's 3lbs claim keeps him well placed at the weights. OKAMI STAR (8) has mixed recent figures, but the return to 1m is significant given his two wins and four placings from 15 starts around the trip, along with a previous win at this track and distance. KINGSTON CHARM (3) at her top now fifth up and finds an easier contest. Never handled the soft (7) conditions when sixth over 7 ½f at Hawkesbury. Improver.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Returns from a one-month freshening after a strong Warwick Farm third in CG BM72 metro company, beaten a length and a half by Fierceness on soft ground. He had raced keenly there yet still held the minor money, and his Illawarra Grange fourth prior had merit after jumping awkwardly. Easier company, barrier one and Jason Collett make him the one to beat. 1st Pick 5 Unbridled Storm Jockey: Jason Collett Trainer: Chris Waller J: Jason Collett T: Chris Waller	142	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Returns from a one-month freshening after a strong Warwick Farm third in CG BM72 metro company, beaten a length and a half by Fierceness on soft ground. He had raced keenly there yet still held the minor money, and his Illawarra Grange fourth prior had merit after jumping awkwardly. Easier company, barrier one and Jason Collett make him the one to beat.
4	Built a strong campaign and comes off a Hawkesbury BM68 win, leading and finding enough to beat Malbork Castle by a head on soft ground. That followed a narrow Nowra BM58 second as favourite, so his recent pattern is reliable. Siena Grima stays aboard with a 3lbs claim, and he has already won at this distance. Grima's claim and the mile record make him a major winning hope. 2nd Pick 4 Showmara Jockey: Siena Grima Trainer: Alexandre Lemarie J: Siena Grima T: Alexandre Lemarie	127	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Built a strong campaign and comes off a Hawkesbury BM68 win, leading and finding enough to beat Malbork Castle by a head on soft ground. That followed a narrow Nowra BM58 second as favourite, so his recent pattern is reliable. Siena Grima stays aboard with a 3lbs claim, and he has already won at this distance. Grima's claim and the mile record make him a major winning hope.
8	Shaped better at Canberra last start, finishing fourth in a Class 2 over 7f, beaten three and a half lengths after tracking the speed. This is a harder meeting, but he gets weight relief and returns to a distance where he has two wins and four placings from 15 starts. Has place claims if he brings his best mile form. 3rd Pick 8 Okami Star Jockey: Andrew Adkins Trainer: Clarry Conners J: Andrew Adkins T: Clarry Conners	118	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Shaped better at Canberra last start, finishing fourth in a Class 2 over 7f, beaten three and a half lengths after tracking the speed. This is a harder meeting, but he gets weight relief and returns to a distance where he has two wins and four placings from 15 starts. Has place claims if he brings his best mile form.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.