AU - Gosford - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

31.6K

VIEW

Verdict

SAPLING (3) is the one to beat fresh, with two trial wins since last racing and the latest at Gosford two weeks ago giving her a genuine readiness pointer. Her last-start Randwick-Kensington failure on heavy ground was plain, but she had been tackling FM BM64 company and brings the best established profile. Hard to stop. PRINCE DE VEGA (7) has been around the mark all campaign and his record at around 6f, with five placings from seven starts, keeps him right in the contest despite the absence of a win at the trip. SUN TO ME (1) has come back in good order, winning a Maiden at Tuncurry before closing strongly for second at Newcastle after being held up. FIREWORK (6) resumes with mixed recent form, but his one win and one place from two starts at this track make him a genuine place threat if he is forward enough.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Returns from a lengthy spell after five months off and has won two trials since last racing, including one at Gosford two weeks ago. She ended last campaign with a heavy-ground Randwick-Kensington failure in FM BM64 company, beaten over 19 lengths, after an earlier favourite defeat at Hawkesbury. Class-exposed and profiles as the one to beat from the rails draw. 1st Pick 3 Sapling Jockey: Winona Costin Trainer: Nacim Dilmi J: Winona Costin T: Nacim Dilmi	160	-	-	-	63%
Analysis Returns from a lengthy spell after five months off and has won two trials since last racing, including one at Gosford two weeks ago. She ended last campaign with a heavy-ground Randwick-Kensington failure in FM BM64 company, beaten over 19 lengths, after an earlier favourite defeat at Hawkesbury. Class-exposed and profiles as the one to beat from the rails draw.
7	Has been consistent without quite putting a race away, finishing fourth at Hawkesbury last start after being close enough on the turn but unable to improve. His Newcastle third prior came in a small field, again with market respect. The win edge is the knock, but he rates strongly. 2nd Pick 7 Prince De Vega Jockey: Shannen Llewellyn Trainer: Jason Deamer J: Shannen Llewellyn T: Jason Deamer	128	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Has been consistent without quite putting a race away, finishing fourth at Hawkesbury last start after being close enough on the turn but unable to improve. His Newcastle third prior came in a small field, again with market respect. The win edge is the knock, but he rates strongly.
1	Closed strongly for second at Newcastle last start, beaten a length and a half by Zouboy after being held up passing the 1 ½f. That followed a determined Mdn win at Tuncurry, where he beat Wan Lost by just over half a length. He is third-up, proven around 6f and holding form well, though barrier 8 means he may need things to unfold cleanly. Draw is the query, but his current form reads well enough to be right in this. 3rd Pick 1 Sun To Me Jockey: Regan Bayliss Trainer: Paul Perry J: Regan Bayliss T: Paul Perry	171	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Closed strongly for second at Newcastle last start, beaten a length and a half by Zouboy after being held up passing the 1 ½f. That followed a determined Mdn win at Tuncurry, where he beat Wan Lost by just over half a length. He is third-up, proven around 6f and holding form well, though barrier 8 means he may need things to unfold cleanly. Draw is the query, but his current form reads well enough to be right in this.

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