AU - Gold Coast - Race 4

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

15.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

24.6K

VIEW

Verdict

SAMURAI WARRIOR (1) has built nicely into this campaign and while it's his first look at this sort of trip the way he's been finishing off suggests he will relish it. MISS DYNAMO (5) is another obvious danger after putting away his rivals with ease at the Sunny Coast as favourite. Tougher now but is a live chance if she holds her form under the light weight. AYASAKI (3) was no match for his rivals last time when below his best, though his Doomben nose second to Whatjeudoin' keeps him in the mix if he rebounds. PELEVECCHIO (4) rises from a Taree BM66 placing into stronger company but has always hinted she's better over a staying trip.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Backs up quickly after being beaten eight and a half lengths by Cigar Man at Eagle Farm, but the return to easier company and Brandon Lerena going back on are strong positives. He beat Cigar Man over 1 ½m the run prior after being held up on the home turn, and Lerena has won three from seven on him. The 2m is new, yet his recent winning form makes him the one to beat. 1st Pick 2 Trusty Bandit Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: William Kropp J: Non Runner T: William Kropp	134	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Backs up quickly after being beaten eight and a half lengths by Cigar Man at Eagle Farm, but the return to easier company and Brandon Lerena going back on are strong positives. He beat Cigar Man over 1 ½m the run prior after being held up on the home turn, and Lerena has won three from seven on him. The 2m is new, yet his recent winning form makes him the one to beat.
5	Produced a decisive Sunshine Coast BM60 win last start, beating Ormond Road by two and a half lengths as favourite after looming up and putting the race away. That followed a solid fifth in BM65 grade when she made ground from well back. This is a class rise and her first attempt at 2m, but she is fit, has placed at this venue and handles wet tracks, so she rates a genuine danger. 2nd Pick 5 Miss Dynamo Jockey: Georgina Cartwright Trainer: Billy Healey J: Georgina Cartwright T: Billy Healey	95	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Produced a decisive Sunshine Coast BM60 win last start, beating Ormond Road by two and a half lengths as favourite after looming up and putting the race away. That followed a solid fifth in BM65 grade when she made ground from well back. This is a class rise and her first attempt at 2m, but she is fit, has placed at this venue and handles wet tracks, so she rates a genuine danger.
3	Was unable to quicken when fifth to Trusty Bandit at Eagle Farm last start, beaten seven lengths in a small mid-week field. His previous Doomben second to Whatjeudoin' was far stronger, beaten only a nose at 1m after travelling well. This is his first try around 2m and he has already lost to the top pick recently, so he profiles as a place hope rather than the main winning threat. 3rd Pick 3 Ayasaki Jockey: Benjamin Osmond Trainer: Ethan Ensby J: Benjamin Osmond T: Ethan Ensby	109	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Was unable to quicken when fifth to Trusty Bandit at Eagle Farm last start, beaten seven lengths in a small mid-week field. His previous Doomben second to Whatjeudoin' was far stronger, beaten only a nose at 1m after travelling well. This is his first try around 2m and he has already lost to the top pick recently, so he profiles as a place hope rather than the main winning threat.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.