AU - Gold Coast - Race 2

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

21.1K

VIEW

Verdict

THE GREY ONE (6) has clear upside after charging home for second on debut at this track despite racing wide throughout, and that race experience can take him forward. GRANDSTANDER (11) is the immediate danger after missing by a nose at Gatton and has the benefit of race fitness, weight relief and another soft-ground placing two back. WORTHY STUNNAH (1) is also in the mix third-up after consecutive placings, with his Ipswich third better than the margin suggests after being held up passing the 1 ¼f. LAWES ROAD (4) stuck on gamely into a midfield finish on debut at Doomben. Is sure to have come on from that and has plenty of upside.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Returns from a lengthy spell after a consistent run of placings, including a third at Moe on heavy ground when a prohibitive odds-on favourite but never a real threat. He also placed at Pakenham Synthetic the start prior and has since trialled second at Sunshine Coast Inner Track. The 7f record is the key query, and blinkers come off, but his broader profile still reads as the one to beat. 1st Pick 5 Poor Ol' Johny Ray Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Kristie Clark-Peoples J: Non Runner T: Kristie Clark-Peoples	145	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Returns from a lengthy spell after a consistent run of placings, including a third at Moe on heavy ground when a prohibitive odds-on favourite but never a real threat. He also placed at Pakenham Synthetic the start prior and has since trialled second at Sunshine Coast Inner Track. The 7f record is the key query, and blinkers come off, but his broader profile still reads as the one to beat.
11	Narrowly missed at Gatton last start, finishing second and beaten a nose after settling back and finishing strongly on soft ground. That followed a third over 1m at the same venue, and he now gets weight relief while staying race fit. The maiden record is not ideal and the 7f record is only fair, but his current form makes him a major player. 2nd Pick 11 Grandstander Jockey: Georgina Cartwright Trainer: Ken Jones J: Georgina Cartwright T: Ken Jones	136	-	-	-	9%
Analysis Narrowly missed at Gatton last start, finishing second and beaten a nose after settling back and finishing strongly on soft ground. That followed a third over 1m at the same venue, and he now gets weight relief while staying race fit. The maiden record is not ideal and the 7f record is only fair, but his current form makes him a major player.
6	Made an encouraging debut at this track, coming from well back to finish second to Wainai on soft ground after racing wide throughout. That was a strong first race experience from a $120,000 yearling purchase, and the market had him near the top of an open betting race. The step to 7f is new, but his closing work gives him a genuine winning chance. 3rd Pick 6 The Grey One Jockey: Jasper Franklin Trainer: Michael Freedman J: Jasper Franklin T: Michael Freedman	159	-	-	-	80%
Analysis Made an encouraging debut at this track, coming from well back to finish second to Wainai on soft ground after racing wide throughout. That was a strong first race experience from a $120,000 yearling purchase, and the market had him near the top of an open betting race. The step to 7f is new, but his closing work gives him a genuine winning chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.