AU - Geraldton - Race 8

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

10.4f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 3

67.1K

VIEW

Verdict

TWILIGHT TALE (4) is a consistent mare who tried hard in her last start when closing strongly to finish third and just a length off the winner over 1 ?m at Ascot 3 weeks ago. She is nicely placed here, and from a good gate, she will be hard to hold out. GINGER GREEN (1) is a durable veteran who backs up quickly after a solid third at Ascot a week ago. He may not have won for some time, and is having his first run on this track, but he cannot be taken lightly. LONG GENES (5) was fourth in town last outing, when finishing under 3 lengths away from the winner. He won his penultimate start there before that, and he is spot on for this assignment. Can win. NOAHQUINTILLY (12) may not win often, but is usually thereabouts. She ran well last time, finishing fourth and just over a length from the winner over 1 5/16m at Ascot a week ago. Stick with him. TRUEVINSKY (14) hasn't hit top form this prep, but has the pole position, and can spice up some top 4 combos here.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 12 at Ascot Rtg 66+ on December 6 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Grand Reserve carrying 122lbs at $5. The race before that 4th of 13 at Ascot Rtg 66+ on November 22 over 1 5/16m, 1.5 len behind Major Mario carrying 122lbs at $5. Has ability and is sure to run well. 1st Pick 4 Twilight Tale Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Clint Johnston-Porter T: Michael Grantham	169	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 12 at Ascot Rtg 66+ on December 6 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Grand Reserve carrying 122lbs at $5. The race before that 4th of 13 at Ascot Rtg 66+ on November 22 over 1 5/16m, 1.5 len behind Major Mario carrying 122lbs at $5. Has ability and is sure to run well.
1	Racing well recently. Last start raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 11 at Ascot W/Speed Cup on December 20 over 1 5/16m, 1.2 len behind Rock In Wonder with 126lbs at $6.50. The start before that 4th of 11 at Ascot Rtg 72+ on November 29 over 1m, 3 len behind Forever Boy with 127lbs at $21. Nice effort last time. Capable of taking this out. 2nd Pick 1 Ginger Green Jockey: Simone Altieri Trainer: Steele Casey J: Simone Altieri T: Steele Casey	137	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 11 at Ascot W/Speed Cup on December 20 over 1 5/16m, 1.2 len behind Rock In Wonder with 126lbs at $6.50. The start before that 4th of 11 at Ascot Rtg 72+ on November 29 over 1m, 3 len behind Forever Boy with 127lbs at $21. Nice effort last time. Capable of taking this out.
5	Form hard to fault. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 8 at Ascot Rtg 65+ on December 13 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Hoba West carrying 125lbs at $12. The start before that won by 1.75 len at Ascot Grad Hcp 58+ November 1 over 1m defeating Twilight Tale carrying 128lbs at $4.60. Nicely placed and expected to go well. 3rd Pick 5 Long Genes Jockey: Brayden Gaerth Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Brayden Gaerth T: Michael Grantham	97	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 8 at Ascot Rtg 65+ on December 13 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Hoba West carrying 125lbs at $12. The start before that won by 1.75 len at Ascot Grad Hcp 58+ November 1 over 1m defeating Twilight Tale carrying 128lbs at $4.60. Nicely placed and expected to go well.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.