AU - Geraldton - Race 6

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 3

16.1K

VIEW

Verdict

SWEET SURRENDER (5) will be peaking third up, and she improved last start, finishing just a head behind the winner over 1 ?m at Ascot 10 days ago. This looks like a softer assignment, and she's capable of going one better. TRULY GALLANT (3) was a dominant winner by more than 3 lengths over 1m here last time out 12 days ago. He is in great form this prep with two wins from five runs and should be hard to hold out. MASTER ALEX (2) may not win often, but he has been consistent and is knocking on the door, last time finishing a solid third over 1m at this track. Each way claims again. GET OUT MICK (4) missed the placings in his last two runs, most recently finishing fourth over 7f here 12 days ago. He has a superior gate this time, and is well worth including in all top 4 combos. MOMBASA (1) is much better than his form suggests, and he hasn't hit his straps this campaign. He might need some luck from a wide gate, but if the tempo is genuine, then he is not out of this at odds.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Third-up today. First-up 6th of 11 at Ascot Cl3 on December 10 over 7f, 2.5 len behind True Blue Bondi carrying 123lbs at $21. Second run from a spell made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Ascot Cl1 on December 17 over 1m, head behind Bird On A Wire carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Fitter now and making headway. Leading hope this time. 1st Pick 5 Sweet Surrender Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Clint Johnston-Porter T: Michael Grantham	164	-	-	-	42%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 6th of 11 at Ascot Cl3 on December 10 over 7f, 2.5 len behind True Blue Bondi carrying 123lbs at $21. Second run from a spell made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Ascot Cl1 on December 17 over 1m, head behind Bird On A Wire carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Fitter now and making headway. Leading hope this time.
3	Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, scored a big 3 len win at this track Cl2 December 15 over 1m defeating Be My Belle with 128lbs at $2.80. The run before that 6th of 12 at this track Cl1 on December 6 over 6f, 4 len behind In Situ carrying 134lbs at $8. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish. 2nd Pick 3 Truly Gallant Jockey: Holly Nottle Trainer: Ron Cowl (Jnr) J: Holly Nottle T: Ron Cowl (Jnr)	174	-	-	-	42%
Analysis Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, scored a big 3 len win at this track Cl2 December 15 over 1m defeating Be My Belle with 128lbs at $2.80. The run before that 6th of 12 at this track Cl1 on December 6 over 6f, 4 len behind In Situ carrying 134lbs at $8. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.
2	Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 10 at this track Rtg 58+ on December 6 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Sanabeau with 127lbs at $2.40. The start before that 3rd of 14 at this track Rtg 57+ on November 26 over 7f, 2 len behind Snippety Legend with 130lbs at $8. Well placed and gets his chance to break through. 3rd Pick 2 Master Alex Jockey: Laqdar Ramoly Trainer: Matt Nash J: Laqdar Ramoly T: Matt Nash	117	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 10 at this track Rtg 58+ on December 6 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Sanabeau with 127lbs at $2.40. The start before that 3rd of 14 at this track Rtg 57+ on November 26 over 7f, 2 len behind Snippety Legend with 130lbs at $8. Well placed and gets his chance to break through.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.