AU - Geraldton - Race 2

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 3

16.1K

VIEW

Verdict

INVINCIBLE THIEF (2) made it back-to-back wins last start, scoring by more than a length over 1 ?m at Ascot. She looks perfectly placed in this, and she should make it a hat-trick of wins. BELVEDERE ROCK (1) got back from a wide draw last time but finished strongly for fourth over 1 ³/16m here. He is unbeaten here over a mile, so keep an eye out for a late run. BOUSSAC (4) has been in the market recently without breaking through, finishing fifth here as the favourite over 7f last time out, but he has the pole position this time, and is worth another chance. SANABEAU (3) was fourth over 1 ³/16m here last start, beaten by just over 3 lengths after looming on the turn. She has a better record over a mile and will be hard to hold out again. DARK MIST (5) could add value if she is in the right mood. Include to be safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently won by 1.75 len at Ascot Rtg 54+ December 10 over 1m defeating Dandy's Gem with 117lbs at $15. The start before that won by 1.4 len at Bunbury Mdn November 23 over 1 m defeating Rocking In Broome carrying 117lbs at $1.75. Going well and should prove hard to beat. 1st Pick 2 Invincible Thief Jockey: Patrick Carbery Trainer: David Harrison J: Patrick Carbery T: David Harrison	206	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently won by 1.75 len at Ascot Rtg 54+ December 10 over 1m defeating Dandy's Gem with 117lbs at $15. The start before that won by 1.4 len at Bunbury Mdn November 23 over 1 m defeating Rocking In Broome carrying 117lbs at $1.75. Going well and should prove hard to beat.
1	Recent form sound. Comes off a 41 day let-up. Last start 4th of 14 at this track Rtg 58+ on November 16 over 1 ³/16m, 2.25 len behind Bentley Beau with 130lbs at $1.45. The run before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.5 len at this track Rtg 58+ November 4 over 1m defeating Never Sober with 126lbs at $1.20. Worth including. 2nd Pick 1 Belvedere Rock Jockey: Joseph See Trainer: Barry Newnham J: Joseph See T: Barry Newnham	143	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Recent form sound. Comes off a 41 day let-up. Last start 4th of 14 at this track Rtg 58+ on November 16 over 1 ³/16m, 2.25 len behind Bentley Beau with 130lbs at $1.45. The run before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.5 len at this track Rtg 58+ November 4 over 1m defeating Never Sober with 126lbs at $1.20. Worth including.
4	Most recently 5th of 12 at this track Cl2 on December 6 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Scurgeofthewest carrying 131lbs at $2.10. The start before that 8th of 14 at Belmont Park Cl1 on November 19 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Shazair carrying 132lbs at $4. Tough to beat if near his best. 3rd Pick 4 Boussac Jockey: Laqdar Ramoly Trainer: Matt Nash J: Laqdar Ramoly T: Matt Nash	138	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Most recently 5th of 12 at this track Cl2 on December 6 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Scurgeofthewest carrying 131lbs at $2.10. The start before that 8th of 14 at Belmont Park Cl1 on November 19 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Shazair carrying 132lbs at $4. Tough to beat if near his best.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.