AU - Gatton - Race 3

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

14.5K

VIEW

Verdict

WILDSPITZE (12) improved last start, finding a couple better over 7 ½f at Kilcoy. Mixes the form but maps well, and he gets his chance in a moderate lineup. VICTORY MELODY (6) will be better for his two runs this preparation and should be ready to test his best over the longer sprint. Has a wide gate to contend with, so he will need some luck in the run. PRIVET (5) made good improvement, beaten 2L at Inverell. Keeps a 4lbs claim and can get into the finish again. WESTERN AIR (8) debuts for the Kropp yard and jumps from an inside gate. He's trialled and the blinkers are on signalling intent. Wary, and keep a close eye on the betting moves in a winnable race.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
12	Last start 3rd of 9 at Kilcoy 3yo Mdn on November 19 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Far Cry with 128lbs at $12. The start before that ran last of 9 at Ipswich 3yo Mdn on October 27 over 1 m, slow going 22 len behind Whata Sort carrying 127lbs at $5. Leading chance. 1st Pick 12 Wildspitze Jockey: Dylan Turner Trainer: Tony & Maddysen Sears J: Dylan Turner T: Tony & Maddysen Sears	176	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Last start 3rd of 9 at Kilcoy 3yo Mdn on November 19 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Far Cry with 128lbs at $12. The start before that ran last of 9 at Ipswich 3yo Mdn on October 27 over 1 m, slow going 22 len behind Whata Sort carrying 127lbs at $5. Leading chance.
6	Third-up today. First-up 5th of 7 at Ipswich Mdn on November 6 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Funky Zebra carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Second-up raced on the pace when 3rd of 13 at Toowoomba Mdn on November 22 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Upstart Lover carrying 121lbs at $8. Top-three contender. 2nd Pick 6 Victory Melody Jockey: Karl Zechner Trainer: Corey & Kylie Geran J: Karl Zechner T: Corey & Kylie Geran	168	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 5th of 7 at Ipswich Mdn on November 6 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Funky Zebra carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Second-up raced on the pace when 3rd of 13 at Toowoomba Mdn on November 22 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Upstart Lover carrying 121lbs at $8. Top-three contender.
5	Form hard to fault. Last start 3rd of 8 at Inverell Mdn-Sw on November 22 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Speed Of Swallows carrying 126lbs at $14. The run before that got back early 3rd in a small field at Lismore Mdn-Sw on November 10 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind On Point Pixie carrying 130lbs at $91. Worth plenty of thought. 3rd Pick 5 Privet Jockey: Erin Molloy Trainer: Stephanie Sixtus J: Erin Molloy T: Stephanie Sixtus	70	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 3rd of 8 at Inverell Mdn-Sw on November 22 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Speed Of Swallows carrying 126lbs at $14. The run before that got back early 3rd in a small field at Lismore Mdn-Sw on November 10 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind On Point Pixie carrying 130lbs at $91. Worth plenty of thought.

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