AU - Forbes - Race 2

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

21.0K

VIEW

Verdict

GREY BELIEF (11) settled just off the lead but couldn't pick up when it mattered last start over 1 ¹/16m at Grafton. Cherry ripe after three runs back from a spell and this is a far easier maiden than the other three she has contested this prep. C'MON WICKSY (2) is new to this trip but found the line well at the Canberra Acton last time out so it should suit. BELLA PIAZZA (1) comes right into calculations now after some key scratchings. Has shown glimpses of ability without fully putting a full race together. Will find this easier and is in the mix. LITLFELA (3) has been knocking on the door and is another to consider.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
14	Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 10 at Wagga Mdn on July 20 over 7f, on heavy track, neck behind Seguro with 127lbs at $1.65. The run before that 2nd of 12 at Wagga Mdn on July 6 over 7f, on rain affected going, 2.25 len behind My Mate Elvis with 127lbs at $3.80. Shouldn't be a maiden for much longer. 1st Pick 14 Rockabye Roxy Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Keith Dryden & Libby Snowden J: Non Runner T: Keith Dryden & Libby Snowden	132	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 10 at Wagga Mdn on July 20 over 7f, on heavy track, neck behind Seguro with 127lbs at $1.65. The run before that 2nd of 12 at Wagga Mdn on July 6 over 7f, on rain affected going, 2.25 len behind My Mate Elvis with 127lbs at $3.80. Shouldn't be a maiden for much longer.
4	Dual acceptor. Most recently 2nd of 9 at Warren Mdn-Sw on July 21 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Nothing Finer with 127lbs at $3.60. Before that 7th of 12 at Dubbo Mdn on July 13 over 6 ½f, slow going 5 len behind Panelli with 123lbs at $5.50. Making headway. Has upside and expected to run very well. 2nd Pick 4 Regalade Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Brett Robb J: Non Runner T: Brett Robb	121	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Dual acceptor. Most recently 2nd of 9 at Warren Mdn-Sw on July 21 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Nothing Finer with 127lbs at $3.60. Before that 7th of 12 at Dubbo Mdn on July 13 over 6 ½f, slow going 5 len behind Panelli with 123lbs at $5.50. Making headway. Has upside and expected to run very well.
11	Most recently 8th of 12 at Grafton Super Mdn-Sw on July 15 over 1 ¹/16m, 3 len behind Aurora Effect carrying 126lbs at $18. The race before that 4th of 8 at Hawkesbury Super Mdn-Sw on June 23 over 7 ½f, slow going 2.5 len behind Blessed Express carrying 121lbs at $21. Can turn things around with blinkers on for the first time. 3rd Pick 11 Grey Belief Jockey: Clayton Gallagher Trainer: Terry Croft J: Clayton Gallagher T: Terry Croft	116	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Most recently 8th of 12 at Grafton Super Mdn-Sw on July 15 over 1 ¹/16m, 3 len behind Aurora Effect carrying 126lbs at $18. The race before that 4th of 8 at Hawkesbury Super Mdn-Sw on June 23 over 7 ½f, slow going 2.5 len behind Blessed Express carrying 121lbs at $21. Can turn things around with blinkers on for the first time.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.