AU - Emerald - Race 5

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Class 6

Turf

GOOD 4

10.6K

VIEW

Verdict

Have to take a couple of these on faith. CONTEMPORARY (1) is a former Victorian who has run the gambit of all the feature Victorian sprint races over winter before tackling a quality sprint at Flemington. Huge class drop as he heads north to the new yard and anything like best form goes close here. Two years since a win and generally races over a little further but senior rider on from a low draw and class will go a long way. Similarly ASTAPOR (8) comes off city Brisbane form and has first start for the new barn. Goes well fresh and weighted to feature if anywhere near best. KRACKACAN (5) is a speedy type with a strong third-up record and gets chance. GOOD LIEUTENANT (2) is an honest type fitter for a good return and has to be included. DIDDLEY SQUAT (3) has been freshened since a poor run last time but did place here the start prior.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Returns from a 58-day let-up. At the latest run ran second last of 12 at Flemington on June 20 over 5 ½f, slow going 7 len behind De Bergerac carrying 119lbs at $61. The race before that 6th of 11 at Swan Hill on June 5 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Cripps with 121lbs at $13. Former Victorian who rates to win. 1st Pick 1 Contemporary Jockey: Adam Sewell Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann J: Adam Sewell T: Lachie Manzelmann	168	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Returns from a 58-day let-up. At the latest run ran second last of 12 at Flemington on June 20 over 5 ½f, slow going 7 len behind De Bergerac carrying 119lbs at $61. The race before that 6th of 11 at Swan Hill on June 5 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Cripps with 121lbs at $13. Former Victorian who rates to win.
8	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign when last of 11 at Eagle Farm Cg&E Cl6 March 7 over 6f, soft track, 9 len behind Bundella with 116lbs at $21. First up last campaign second last in a small field at Eagle Farm Cl3-Sw January 7 over 5f, 4 len behind Yoyo Yeezy with 132lbs at $9. This far easier and with the light weight will go close fresh. 2nd Pick 8 Astapor Jockey: Kayla Barker Trainer: Rodney Hay J: Kayla Barker T: Rodney Hay	112	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign when last of 11 at Eagle Farm Cg&E Cl6 March 7 over 6f, soft track, 9 len behind Bundella with 116lbs at $21. First up last campaign second last in a small field at Eagle Farm Cl3-Sw January 7 over 5f, 4 len behind Yoyo Yeezy with 132lbs at $9. This far easier and with the light weight will go close fresh.
5	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up faded in the straight ran second last of 7 at Rockhampton on July 9 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind King's Duty carrying 132lbs at $7. Last start ran last in a small field at Rockhampton on July 31 over 5 ¼f, 1.1 len behind Italian Dancer with 125lbs at $3.70. Speedy type with a strong third-up record and gets chance. 3rd Pick 5 Krackacan Jockey: Natalea Summers Trainer: Darryl Johnston J: Natalea Summers T: Darryl Johnston	184	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up faded in the straight ran second last of 7 at Rockhampton on July 9 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind King's Duty carrying 132lbs at $7. Last start ran last in a small field at Rockhampton on July 31 over 5 ¼f, 1.1 len behind Italian Dancer with 125lbs at $3.70. Speedy type with a strong third-up record and gets chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.