AU - Emerald - Race 3

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

8.1f

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

10.6K

VIEW

Verdict

Small field but several chances. NEW LEVEL (5) has been no match for Zipitalist last two but like him back to the mile and the winning, senior rider goes back aboard. Still better off at the weights and last time he was here he just missed in a similar race. Gets chance to atone. Hard to line up JUNE (2). No match in the rich Mackay Cup last time but was a BM78 winner at Eagle Farm the start prior. The rating from that win tops these. Much more weight here but hard to beat on best. TAPA KICK (6) was disappointing in tougher company last time but was a winner in a similar race to this the start prior. Can bounce back. ACEDROD (4) was a big winner last time at Blackall and will take catching in the small line-up. Then there's ZIPITALIST (1), who has won three of last four. Only query is having first try at the mile.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	At the latest run 6th of 9 at Middlemount on July 25 over 7f, 18 len behind Zipitalist carrying 115lbs at $3.40. Before that 2nd in a small field at Bluff on July 4 over 6 ½f, long-neck behind Zipitalist with 129lbs at $2.40. Just missed in a similar race last time he was here and expected to go close. 1st Pick 5 New Level Jockey: Warwick Satherley Trainer: Glenda Bell J: Warwick Satherley T: Glenda Bell	150	-	-	-	34%
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 9 at Middlemount on July 25 over 7f, 18 len behind Zipitalist carrying 115lbs at $3.40. Before that 2nd in a small field at Bluff on July 4 over 6 ½f, long-neck behind Zipitalist with 129lbs at $2.40. Just missed in a similar race last time he was here and expected to go close.
2	At the latest run ran second last of 14 in the Mackay Cup Qlty on July 25 over 1 ¼m, 8 len behind Journalism with 119lbs at $41. The run before that won by a head at Eagle Farm on July 1 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating High Dandy carrying 118lbs at $3.10. Huge class drop and did win at Eagle Farm the start prior so should go close this level. 2nd Pick 2 June Jockey: Gabrielle Semmens Trainer: Raymond Williams J: Gabrielle Semmens T: Raymond Williams	268	-	-	-	34%
Analysis At the latest run ran second last of 14 in the Mackay Cup Qlty on July 25 over 1 ¼m, 8 len behind Journalism with 119lbs at $41. The run before that won by a head at Eagle Farm on July 1 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating High Dandy carrying 118lbs at $3.10. Huge class drop and did win at Eagle Farm the start prior so should go close this level.
6	Last start ran last in a small field at Rockhampton on July 21 over 1m, 6 len behind Settat with 132lbs at $18. The race before that won by 1.0 len at Barcaldine on July 6 over 1m defeating Desert Star carrying 140lbs at $11. Honest record this trip and well worth another try. 3rd Pick 6 Tapa Kick Jockey: Chris Whiteley Trainer: Mark Oates J: Chris Whiteley T: Mark Oates	140	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Last start ran last in a small field at Rockhampton on July 21 over 1m, 6 len behind Settat with 132lbs at $18. The race before that won by 1.0 len at Barcaldine on July 6 over 1m defeating Desert Star carrying 140lbs at $11. Honest record this trip and well worth another try.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.