AU - Eagle Farm - Race 8

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

6.5f

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

132.3K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

The $200,000 Listed Lough Neagh Stakes. ACCREDITED (6) has been right there in all three NSW runs this preparation and looks to be working up to another win. Drawn to get a gun run from the inside alley and looks very well placed here by astute conditioner Joe Pride. Sure to be right there at the business end. Old boy ROTHFIRE (1) was a touch disappointing at the latest effort but go on the strong win in the Sydney Stakes two back. Has a bit of class on these and can feature prominently if he brings his A-game. ROCKRIBBED (2) is yet to miss a drum in four spins around this circuit and will be high on confidence following that last-start Doomben victory. Can go back-to-back. TAVS (4) has won four from five here and is more than capable enough on his day. Include in calculations. OUGHTON (3) will be rock-hard fit now and may make his presence felt.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 16 at Rosehill in the G3 Festival on November 29 over 7 ½f, 1.4 len behind Yorkshire with 123lbs at $6.50. The run before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 16 at Newcastle in the G2 The Hunter on November 15 over 6 ½f, 0.7 len behind Coal Crusher with 120lbs at $11. Expected to go well again. 1st Pick 6 Accredited Jockey: Daniel Moor Trainer: Joseph Pride J: Daniel Moor T: Joseph Pride	205	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 16 at Rosehill in the G3 Festival on November 29 over 7 ½f, 1.4 len behind Yorkshire with 123lbs at $6.50. The run before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 16 at Newcastle in the G2 The Hunter on November 15 over 6 ½f, 0.7 len behind Coal Crusher with 120lbs at $11. Expected to go well again.
1	Comes here off a 49-day let-up. Most recently second last of 15 at Randwick Russell Balding on November 1 over 6 ½f, slow going 11 len behind Jimmysstar carrying 127lbs at $26. The run before that won by a neck at Randwick G3 Sydney Stks October 18 over 6f defeating Iowna Merc carrying 129lbs at $13. Well placed here and gets his chance to atone. 2nd Pick 1 Rothfire Jockey: Damien Thornton Trainer: Robert Heathcote J: Damien Thornton T: Robert Heathcote	128	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Comes here off a 49-day let-up. Most recently second last of 15 at Randwick Russell Balding on November 1 over 6 ½f, slow going 11 len behind Jimmysstar carrying 127lbs at $26. The run before that won by a neck at Randwick G3 Sydney Stks October 18 over 6f defeating Iowna Merc carrying 129lbs at $13. Well placed here and gets his chance to atone.
2	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 9th of 14 at Doomben in the LR Keith Noud on November 15 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Epic Proportions carrying 128lbs at $9. Second run from a spell won by a nose at Doomben LR Tatts Recognit November 29 over 6 ¾f on a soft track defeating Boomtown Boss with 126lbs at $7.50. Huge chance on best form. 3rd Pick 2 Rockribbed Jockey: Ryan Maloney Trainer: Tony Gollan J: Ryan Maloney T: Tony Gollan	166	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 9th of 14 at Doomben in the LR Keith Noud on November 15 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Epic Proportions carrying 128lbs at $9. Second run from a spell won by a nose at Doomben LR Tatts Recognit November 29 over 6 ¾f on a soft track defeating Boomtown Boss with 126lbs at $7.50. Huge chance on best form.

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