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5:56 AM

AU - Eagle Farm - Race 8

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
5f
Class 6
Turf
HEAVY 9
59.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

STREET CHASE (3) is the one to beat after missing narrowly first-up at Doomben, where he sat prominent but just lacked the fitness edge to grab the leader. Has proven effective on testing ground and the drop in trip shouldn't bother him. MERCIAN (12) brings winning form after fending them off here last time. Tougher this time but he gets in light and can give another bold sight if them reemploy the positive tactics. LEAD ME ON (4) is worth a market watch off a long break, having ended last campaign with wins at Doomben and this venue. His two recent trials suggest he can play a role fresh. FLEETWOOD (1) is knocking on the door and has been holding his own in tougher company. The 7lbs claim helps, though the draw is sticky.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Street Chase silk

Placed first-up at Doomben, beaten just under a length in a Class 3 after settling prominently and being pipped late. He was well found near the top of an open market and should take benefit from that run. The 5f is a small query, but his wet form and overall profile make him the one to beat.

1st Pick
3

Street Chase

Jockey: Taylor Marshall

Trainer: Jack Bruce

J: Taylor Marshall

T: Jack Bruce

162---25%3/1

Analysis

Placed first-up at Doomben, beaten just under a length in a Class 3 after settling prominently and being pipped late. He was well found near the top of an open market and should take benefit from that run. The 5f is a small query, but his wet form and overall profile make him the one to beat.

12
Mercian silk

Comes off a determined win at this track in a BM70, leading and holding off Strada Varenna by a nose on soft ground. That followed a solid fourth at Gold Coast when unwanted in the market but beaten only a length and a half. Wet record is another strong pointer.

2nd Pick
12

Mercian

Jockey: Cejay Graham

Trainer: Lindsay Gough

J: Cejay Graham

T: Lindsay Gough

98---12%15/2

Analysis

Comes off a determined win at this track in a BM70, leading and holding off Strada Varenna by a nose on soft ground. That followed a solid fourth at Gold Coast when unwanted in the market but beaten only a length and a half. Wet record is another strong pointer.

13
Stiktodascrypt silk

Resumes after eight months off having ended last campaign with a narrow BM68 third at Doomben, beaten just over half a length after leading and being caught late. The run prior was a decisive BM65 win at Sunshine Coast on heavy ground, beating Ave Cantare by three and a half lengths. Light weight gives him a strong winning case.

3rd Pick
13

Stiktodascrypt

Jockey: Angela Jones

Trainer: Debi O'toole

J: Angela Jones

T: Debi O'toole

80---16%11/2

Analysis

Resumes after eight months off having ended last campaign with a narrow BM68 third at Doomben, beaten just over half a length after leading and being caught late. The run prior was a decisive BM65 win at Sunshine Coast on heavy ground, beating Ave Cantare by three and a half lengths. Light weight gives him a strong winning case.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.