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16 Min Till Start

AU - Eagle Farm - Race 7

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
7f
Class 6
Turf
SOFT 5
61.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SHELSTEIN (9) gets in well at the weights with the 4lbs claim and will be high on confidence following that last-start Doomben victory. Will appreciate a couple of key scratchings here and can go back-to-back without surprising. FUKUBANA (1) has a handy record around this circuit with a win and two placings from four spins and will strip fitter second-up from the spell. Can feature with natural improvement. GORBACHEV (6) was a touch disappointing last time out but go on the solid win over this course and distance two back. Worth another chance. MISTER BIANCO (4) best of the rest. He has lost his way a bit but we know tha the talent is in there!
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Shelstein silk

Last start favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a nose at Doomben on August 22 over 6f in soft going defeating Mean Approach carrying 119lbs at $3.50. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 in a Cl3 at Doomben on August 5 over 6 ¾f, 0.7 len behind Land Bank with 130lbs at $7.50. Ideally placed to make it two on the trot.

1st Pick
9

Shelstein

Jockey: Ryan Houston

Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald

J: Ryan Houston

T: Annabel & Rob Archibald

93---25%3/1

Analysis

Last start favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a nose at Doomben on August 22 over 6f in soft going defeating Mean Approach carrying 119lbs at $3.50. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 in a Cl3 at Doomben on August 5 over 6 ¾f, 0.7 len behind Land Bank with 130lbs at $7.50. Ideally placed to make it two on the trot.

1
Fukubana silk

Second-up. First-up after 10 months ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 8 in a Cl6-Sw at Doomben on August 22 over 5 ½f, 1.3 len behind Let'sfacethemusic carrying 126lbs at $13. Previously second-up 9th of 11 in the LR Five Diamonds Prelude at Randwick on October 25 over 7 ½f, 5 len behind Transatlantic with 123lbs at $26. Further improvement in store.

2nd Pick
1

Fukubana

Jockey: Anna Roper

Trainer: Matthew Dunn

J: Anna Roper

T: Matthew Dunn

136---56%4/5

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after 10 months ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 8 in a Cl6-Sw at Doomben on August 22 over 5 ½f, 1.3 len behind Let'sfacethemusic carrying 126lbs at $13. Previously second-up 9th of 11 in the LR Five Diamonds Prelude at Randwick on October 25 over 7 ½f, 5 len behind Transatlantic with 123lbs at $26. Further improvement in store.

6
Gorbachev silk

At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 in a Cl5 at Doomben on August 26 over 1 m, 2.25 len behind Rock Hard Love carrying 130lbs at $2.60. The race before that favourite, won by a nose at this track on August 12 over 7f defeating Too Many Thoughts with 129lbs at $11. Strong top-three chance.

3rd Pick
6

Gorbachev

Jockey: Chelsea Baker

Trainer: Michael Freedman

J: Chelsea Baker

T: Michael Freedman

116---19%9/2

Analysis

At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 in a Cl5 at Doomben on August 26 over 1 m, 2.25 len behind Rock Hard Love carrying 130lbs at $2.60. The race before that favourite, won by a nose at this track on August 12 over 7f defeating Too Many Thoughts with 129lbs at $11. Strong top-three chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.