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6:28 AM

AU - Eagle Farm - Race 6

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 8
26.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ABENDER (2) tackles an easier assignment and should be hitting his straps fourth-up over a trip he relishes. The form around him reads favourably and the low draw should give him a great look. KEEP IT REAL (8) brings a different profile. He was held up when beaten a nose two back, then had late interference at Gold Coast. First-time blinkers could give him a genuine spark third-up. SHORTCUT (10) took on tougher company last campaign, so she should get a pleasant surprise when walking around the mounting yard. Has been fitted with two trials and can play a major role fresh. DISCREET POINT (9) was okay when a beaten fav at Ballina. Expecting more second-up.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Abender silk

Worked into the right spot in a Doomben Class 3 last start and was sound rather than sharp when fourth, beaten just over two lengths by Spiethtacular. That followed another fourth in a CG BM78, so he brings the strongest grade reference into this BM68. Proven at 6f and suited fourth-up, he looks the one to beat.

1st Pick
2

Abender

Jockey: Cejay Graham

Trainer: Tony Gollan

J: Cejay Graham

T: Tony Gollan

143---23%7/2

Analysis

Worked into the right spot in a Doomben Class 3 last start and was sound rather than sharp when fourth, beaten just over two lengths by Spiethtacular. That followed another fourth in a CG BM78, so he brings the strongest grade reference into this BM68. Proven at 6f and suited fourth-up, he looks the one to beat.

1
Stormland silk

Had every chance in a Class 3 at Doomben last start and dropped out to finish last, beaten just over seven lengths by Spiethtacular. His previous fifth at this track was better, as he jumped awkwardly on soft ground and was still sent out favourite. Claim and wet form keep him in play.

2nd Pick
1

Stormland

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Non Runner

T: Ciaron Maher

145---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Had every chance in a Class 3 at Doomben last start and dropped out to finish last, beaten just over seven lengths by Spiethtacular. His previous fifth at this track was better, as he jumped awkwardly on soft ground and was still sent out favourite. Claim and wet form keep him in play.

8
Keep It Real silk

Was beaten just under three lengths in a Gold Coast BM62 last start, and late interference adds some context to that fifth. Two back he was held up on the home turn before going under by a nose in a CG Class 1 as short odds-on favourite. First-time blinkers make him a live threat.

3rd Pick
8

Keep It Real

Jockey: Michael Rodd

Trainer: James Healy

J: Michael Rodd

T: James Healy

147---17%5/1

Analysis

Was beaten just under three lengths in a Gold Coast BM62 last start, and late interference adds some context to that fifth. Two back he was held up on the home turn before going under by a nose in a CG Class 1 as short odds-on favourite. First-time blinkers make him a live threat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.