AU - Eagle Farm - Race 5

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

49.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

ESJAY (3) has hit a purple patch of form putting back-to-back wins together with hoop Franklin being in the saddle on both occasions. Again gets the benefit of his 7lbs claim and can easily bring up the hat-trick without surprising. The well-related SILVER WEDDING (12) (full to G1 winner Schwarz) returned to the winners' stall last time out and will have derived a stack of confidence from that breakthrough victory. Can go right on with the job now. HELLA FAST (5) saves his best form for his home circuit here and is better than recent efforts suggest. Watch for sharp improvement. RUINS OF ROME (11) is drawn to get a cosy run in transit from the inside alley and rates a genuine top-three candidate. KODIAK (4) rounds out the selections in a race with a few chances.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	At the latest run won by a neck at this track Bm70 December 13 over 7f in soft going defeating Diamond Epic carrying 127lbs at $6.50. The run before that won by 5 len at Ipswich Bm65 November 26 over 6 ¾f on a soft track defeating Ivy Dexstress with 128lbs at $5.50. Well placed. Rates the testing material. 1st Pick 3 Esjay Jockey: Jasper Franklin Trainer: Pat Webster J: Jasper Franklin T: Pat Webster	167	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis At the latest run won by a neck at this track Bm70 December 13 over 7f in soft going defeating Diamond Epic carrying 127lbs at $6.50. The run before that won by 5 len at Ipswich Bm65 November 26 over 6 ¾f on a soft track defeating Ivy Dexstress with 128lbs at $5.50. Well placed. Rates the testing material.
12	Full-sister to Group 1 winner Schwarz. At the latest run favourite, came from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Doomben Cl1-Sw November 29 over 6 ¾f in soft going defeating Creativity Miss carrying 128lbs at $1.90. The run before that 6th of 9 at Rosehill F&M Bm78 on November 8 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Weeping Woman carrying 122lbs at $8. Sure to measure up here. 2nd Pick 12 Silver Wedding Jockey: Angela Jones Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Angela Jones T: Ciaron Maher	129	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Full-sister to Group 1 winner Schwarz. At the latest run favourite, came from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Doomben Cl1-Sw November 29 over 6 ¾f in soft going defeating Creativity Miss carrying 128lbs at $1.90. The run before that 6th of 9 at Rosehill F&M Bm78 on November 8 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Weeping Woman carrying 122lbs at $8. Sure to measure up here.
5	Last start 9th of 13 at Doomben Bm78 on December 6 over 6 ¾f, 4.5 len behind Ready To Schipp with 127lbs at $14. The run before that 9th of 13 at Sunshine Coast Bm78 on November 22 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Poster Girl carrying 128lbs at $26. Ready to peak after three runs back and is sure to run well. 3rd Pick 5 Hella Fast Jockey: Daniel Moor Trainer: Kelly Schweida J: Daniel Moor T: Kelly Schweida	105	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Last start 9th of 13 at Doomben Bm78 on December 6 over 6 ¾f, 4.5 len behind Ready To Schipp with 127lbs at $14. The run before that 9th of 13 at Sunshine Coast Bm78 on November 22 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Poster Girl carrying 128lbs at $26. Ready to peak after three runs back and is sure to run well.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.