AU - Eagle Farm - Race 3

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

11.9f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 7

142.6K

VIEW

Verdict

The Waterhouse/Bott mares should be peaking for this. Leaning to BELLA MONTAGNA (13) who is probably the one with more upside. Made up a lot of ground to finish second last start over 1 5/16m at Gosford (metro). Won under 57kgs on a heavy track over this trip at Rosehill last prep. Biggest test to date but on the limit she is worth the gamble. ALALCANCE (3) tired late after a mid-race move last time out in the 1 ¼m Chairman's at Doomben. That was her first outing since the Group 1 Ranvet eight weeks earlier. Likes it wet so watch for a far more resilient effort here. Class runner MIDDLE EARTH (1) charged home from near the tail to take out the G3 Chairman's at Doomben recently. Good weight carrier who will have no issue with the extra 2f. ROYAL SUPREMACY (2) won the Metrop over this distance in the Spring and showed he was getting back to that form when third to Middle Earth last start. THEBUDGIESMUGLA (14) faces a big step up in grade but is progressing in good fashion.

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	3rd Pick 1 Middle Earth Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Non Runner T: Ciaron Maher	164	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
2	2 Royal Supremacy Jockey: Mark Zahra Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Mark Zahra T: Ciaron Maher	131	-	-	-	23%	7/2
3	2nd Pick 3 Alalcance Jockey: Tim Clark Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Tim Clark T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	127	-	-	-	10%	9/1
4	4 Etna Rosso Jockey: Ben Melham Trainer: Chris Waller J: Ben Melham T: Chris Waller	144	-	-	-	7%	15/1
5	5 Newlook Jockey: Kerrin Mcevoy Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Kerrin Mcevoy T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	82	-	-	-	7%	15/1
6	6 Athabascan Jockey: Tommy Berry Trainer: Tom Charlton J: Tommy Berry T: Tom Charlton	109	-	-	-	12%	8/1
7	7 Bozo Jockey: Taylor Marshall Trainer: Kelly Schweida J: Taylor Marshall T: Kelly Schweida	55	-	-	-	3%	33/1
8	8 Walsh Bay Jockey: Jason Collett Trainer: Chris & Corey Munce J: Jason Collett T: Chris & Corey Munce	109	-	-	-	7%	15/1
9	9 Highland Bling Jockey: Ben Thompson Trainer: Phillip Stokes J: Ben Thompson T: Phillip Stokes	102	-	-	-	15%	6/1
10	10 Sunset Park Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Brad Widdup J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Brad Widdup	104	-	-	-	5%	20/1
11	11 Sun Worshipper Jockey: Mark Du Plessis Trainer: Matt Kropp J: Mark Du Plessis T: Matt Kropp	81	-	-	-	5%	20/1
12	12 So You Are Jockey: Cejay Graham Trainer: Stirling Osland J: Cejay Graham T: Stirling Osland	102	-	-	-	8%	12/1
13	1st Pick 13 Bella Montagna Jockey: Rachel King Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Rachel King T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	115	-	-	-	19%	9/2
14	14 Thebudgiesmugla Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Non Runner T: Bjorn Baker	112	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
15	15 Wealdstone Jockey: Tom Sherry Trainer: Cliff Brown J: Tom Sherry T: Cliff Brown	62	-	-	-	3%	33/1
16	16 Punjabi Landing Jockey: Jamie Melham Trainer: Paul Shailer J: Jamie Melham T: Paul Shailer	82	-	-	-	4%	25/1