AU - Dubbo - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

6.5f

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

21.1K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

TIGLETTA (2) jumped sharply in grade first up with an even fifth in the small field over 6f at Kembla Grange. Back in his right class and ticks plenty of boxes from the draw. MIDNIGHT IN MINORI (9) holding her form and looks up to this stronger race after finishing second over 7f at Geurie. Well drawn with the key jockey change. WOOTTEN IT BE NICE (1) finds an easier race today after tiring late when fifth over 6 ?f at Muswellbrook in BM66 class. Now in the Todd Smith stable and can overcome the poor draw. SILVER AGENT (12) better effort last start when he finished third over 5 ½f at Wellington on September 15 and has minor place prospects.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Second run back. First-up after five months from last on the turn 5th of 7 in a F&M Bm64 at Kembla Grange on September 12 over 6f, 3 len behind Temptation with 129lbs at $81. Previously second-up 3rd in a small field in a 3yo Mdn at Wyong on February 21 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Premium carrying 126lbs at $3. Outclassed on resumption and finds a weaker race today. 1st Pick 2 Tigletta Jockey: Ashley Morgan Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Ashley Morgan T: Bjorn Baker	148	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months from last on the turn 5th of 7 in a F&M Bm64 at Kembla Grange on September 12 over 6f, 3 len behind Temptation with 129lbs at $81. Previously second-up 3rd in a small field in a 3yo Mdn at Wyong on February 21 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Premium carrying 126lbs at $3. Outclassed on resumption and finds a weaker race today.
3	Most recently ran last of 15 in a Bm55 at Canberra on September 4 over 7f, slow going 5.5 len behind Deeply with 130lbs at $11. The race before that led but faded 2nd of 7 in a Ctry Bm58 at Albury on August 18 over 7 ½f, on rain affected going, 1.1 len behind Desert Opal carrying 126lbs at $11. Capable of sharp improvement. 2nd Pick 3 Seguro Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Garry Kirkup J: Non Runner T: Garry Kirkup	115	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently ran last of 15 in a Bm55 at Canberra on September 4 over 7f, slow going 5.5 len behind Deeply with 130lbs at $11. The race before that led but faded 2nd of 7 in a Ctry Bm58 at Albury on August 18 over 7 ½f, on rain affected going, 1.1 len behind Desert Opal carrying 126lbs at $11. Capable of sharp improvement.
9	Last start 2nd in a small field in a Cond Pic Hcp at Geurie on September 12 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Noble One carrying 151lbs at $1.60. The run before that 5th of 12 in a Ctry Cl1 at Moree on September 6 over 6f, 4 len behind Lucky Ozzie carrying 121lbs at $3.70. Working up to a win. Has ability and is among the leading hopes. 3rd Pick 9 Midnight In Minori Jockey: Donovan Dillon Trainer: Connie Greig J: Donovan Dillon T: Connie Greig	88	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Last start 2nd in a small field in a Cond Pic Hcp at Geurie on September 12 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Noble One carrying 151lbs at $1.60. The run before that 5th of 12 in a Ctry Cl1 at Moree on September 6 over 6f, 4 len behind Lucky Ozzie carrying 121lbs at $3.70. Working up to a win. Has ability and is among the leading hopes.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.