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6:13 AM

AU - Doomben - Race 9

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
5.5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
24.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Former Victorian ARALETTA (13) is having her first run for the new stable but should find this assignment easier than what she has been facing down south. Tuned up for this with a recent trial placing and is drawn to get a cosy run in transit from gate two. Should prove very hard to toss. ELLIBABY (11) is another resuming but has won two from three when fresh and trust that Vandyke has her ready to go. Likely to push forward and will give backers a sight. KEEP SAFE (6) hails from the astute Heathcote barn and showed enough when last in work to warrant consideration in a race like this. Has to be respected. GREYZOUS (12) gets in well at the weights with the claim and will strip fitter second-up from the spell. In the mix. CERTAINLYCAN (5) next best in a competitive contest to close out the card.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
13
Araletta silk

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation seventh of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside F&M Bm70 February 5 over 6f, 2 len behind Written Bligh with 123lbs at $8.50. Previous preparation first-up won by head Cranbourne Mdn-Sw December 13 over 6f defeating Etoile Filante with 127lbs at $2.60. Expected to feature.

1st Pick
13

Araletta

Jockey: Andrew Mallyon

Trainer: Matthew Hoysted

J: Andrew Mallyon

T: Matthew Hoysted

84---13%7/1

Analysis

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation seventh of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside F&M Bm70 February 5 over 6f, 2 len behind Written Bligh with 123lbs at $8.50. Previous preparation first-up won by head Cranbourne Mdn-Sw December 13 over 6f defeating Etoile Filante with 127lbs at $2.60. Expected to feature.

11
Ellibaby silk

Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first-up. Finished off last preparation fifth of 9 at this track Cl3-Sw October 26 over 6 ¾f, 3 len behind Navyonthehighway carrying 125lbs at $13. First-up last campaign fourth of 10 at Sunshine Coast Bm68 September 4 over 6f, 2.5 len behind I Am Artie with 126lbs at $4. Expected to feature.

2nd Pick
11

Ellibaby

Jockey: Jag Guthmann-Chester

Trainer: David Vandyke

J: Jag Guthmann-Chester

T: David Vandyke

117---23%7/2

Analysis

Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first-up. Finished off last preparation fifth of 9 at this track Cl3-Sw October 26 over 6 ¾f, 3 len behind Navyonthehighway carrying 125lbs at $13. First-up last campaign fourth of 10 at Sunshine Coast Bm68 September 4 over 6f, 2.5 len behind I Am Artie with 126lbs at $4. Expected to feature.

6
Keep Safe silk

Gelding back from a spell of three-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first-up from a break. Finished off last campaign fifth of 9 at this track Cl3 March 19 over 6f, 2 len behind Certainlycan with 130lbs at $11. First up last campaign second of 13 at Sunshine Coast Mdn November 29 over 6f, soft track, 1.75 len behind Provance carrying 129lbs at $3.50. Expecting a bright start to the campaign.

3rd Pick
6

Keep Safe

Jockey: Taylor Marshall

Trainer: Robert Heathcote

J: Taylor Marshall

T: Robert Heathcote

68---8%13/1

Analysis

Gelding back from a spell of three-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first-up from a break. Finished off last campaign fifth of 9 at this track Cl3 March 19 over 6f, 2 len behind Certainlycan with 130lbs at $11. First up last campaign second of 13 at Sunshine Coast Mdn November 29 over 6f, soft track, 1.75 len behind Provance carrying 129lbs at $3.50. Expecting a bright start to the campaign.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.