AU - Doomben - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

6.7f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

28.0K

VIEW

Verdict

OUR MATE LOCKY (8) is improving with racing this time in work and looks to be building up to a maiden victory. Ready to peak now third-up from the break and should get a cosy run in transit from gate two. Rates the testing material. DON'T DOUBT MISSY (9) just ran into one better at the latest effort and must be respected out of the Heathcote yard. Only needs some luck navigating from the sticky draw to be playing a role in the outcome. GEITZ (10) has been right there in all four runs this campaign and gets in light with the 4lbs claim. Top-three candidate. FIDARDO (3) is facing the starter for the first time but has shown ability at the trials and won't need to be a superstar to be competitive against this lot. Watch for any market confidence. LUKE SKYWALKER (7) next best out of the Gollan camp.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
8	Third-up today. First-up from last on the turn 6th of 12 at Eagle Farm 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 4 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Quickzou carrying 121lbs at $51. Second run from a spell 2nd of 8 at Ipswich 3yo Mdn on February 26 over 6 ¾f, head behind Bent Bridge carrying 130lbs at $2.90. Well placed. Ready to break through. 1st Pick 8 Our Mate Locky Jockey: Jake Bayliss Trainer: Jamie Bayliss J: Jake Bayliss T: Jamie Bayliss	182	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up from last on the turn 6th of 12 at Eagle Farm 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 4 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Quickzou carrying 121lbs at $51. Second run from a spell 2nd of 8 at Ipswich 3yo Mdn on February 26 over 6 ¾f, head behind Bent Bridge carrying 130lbs at $2.90. Well placed. Ready to break through.
9	Lining up for just third start. At long odds at debut, 4th of 10 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 25 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Strike Weapon with 119lbs at $31. Second-up 2nd of 9 at Gold Coast 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 7 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Boss Mode with 123lbs at $8. Has plenty of upside and can take this out. 2nd Pick 9 Don't Doubt Missy Jockey: Daniel Moor Trainer: Robert Heathcote J: Daniel Moor T: Robert Heathcote	99	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Lining up for just third start. At long odds at debut, 4th of 10 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 25 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Strike Weapon with 119lbs at $31. Second-up 2nd of 9 at Gold Coast 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 7 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Boss Mode with 123lbs at $8. Has plenty of upside and can take this out.
10	Most recently 2nd of 14 at Gold Coast 3yo F Mdn on February 21 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Cool Moon carrying 127lbs at $13. The race before that 4th of 13 at Sunshine Coast 3yo Mdn on February 8 over 5f, 5 len behind Point Vega carrying 126lbs at $4.80. Working up to a win. Top chance. 3rd Pick 10 Geitz Jockey: Jace Mcmurray Trainer: Tony & Maddysen Sears J: Jace Mcmurray T: Tony & Maddysen Sears	137	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Most recently 2nd of 14 at Gold Coast 3yo F Mdn on February 21 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Cool Moon carrying 127lbs at $13. The race before that 4th of 13 at Sunshine Coast 3yo Mdn on February 8 over 5f, 5 len behind Point Vega carrying 126lbs at $4.80. Working up to a win. Top chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.