AU - Devonport - Race 8

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

9.3f

OPEN

Synthetic

GOOD

32.4K

VIEW

Verdict

Tough race. MERLIN BEACH (8) ran on well to score over 1 ½m last time at Hobart and beat a few of these. Back in trip but placed only try course and distance and also yet to win but has placed 3/4 this circuit. Nice weight and will be tough to stop. THE LONGEST YARD (2) came from last and scored here over 1 m last time. Rises sharply in weights but is drawn the inside and will stalk the pace throughout. Expected to be tough to stop with a repeat of that effort. AZONTO (7) is in form and is a solid top-three hope. DON'T GIVE UP (6) is better than last run when beaten 5 lengths into eighth over 1 ½m at Hobart and gets a chance to atone.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Last start ran second last in a small field in a Hcp at this track on September 2 over 1 m, 3.5 len behind The Longest Yard with 120lbs at $2.50. The start before that favourite, won by 1.3 len at Hobart on August 19 over 1m in soft going defeating Stardarmus with 129lbs at $5.50. Below best last time but fitter and capable of sharp improvement. 1st Pick 1 Coal River Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Angela Brakey J: Non Runner T: Angela Brakey	207	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Last start ran second last in a small field in a Hcp at this track on September 2 over 1 m, 3.5 len behind The Longest Yard with 120lbs at $2.50. The start before that favourite, won by 1.3 len at Hobart on August 19 over 1m in soft going defeating Stardarmus with 129lbs at $5.50. Below best last time but fitter and capable of sharp improvement.
8	Racing well recently. At the latest run came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Hobart on August 19 over 1 ½m in soft going defeating Native Clan with 125lbs at $3.40. The run before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 7 in a Bm66 at Hobart on August 5 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Native Clan carrying 125lbs at $3.10. Tough to beat again with the light weight. 2nd Pick 8 Merlin Beach Jockey: Troy Baker Trainer: Glenn Stevenson J: Troy Baker T: Glenn Stevenson	110	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Hobart on August 19 over 1 ½m in soft going defeating Native Clan with 125lbs at $3.40. The run before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 7 in a Bm66 at Hobart on August 5 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Native Clan carrying 125lbs at $3.10. Tough to beat again with the light weight.
2	Recent form sound. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn and won by 0.8 len at this track on September 2 over 1 m defeating Garcon D'espoir with 119lbs at $4.80. The start before that 4th of 7 in a Hcp at this track on August 26 over 6 ¾f, 2.5 len behind Tuskegee with 123lbs at $8. More weight but will be winding up strongly again. 3rd Pick 2 The Longest Yard Jockey: Daniel Ganderton Trainer: Glenn Stevenson J: Daniel Ganderton T: Glenn Stevenson	154	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn and won by 0.8 len at this track on September 2 over 1 m defeating Garcon D'espoir with 119lbs at $4.80. The start before that 4th of 7 in a Hcp at this track on August 26 over 6 ¾f, 2.5 len behind Tuskegee with 123lbs at $8. More weight but will be winding up strongly again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.