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6:20 AM

AU - Canterbury - Race 7

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
7.7f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
42.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LET'S FLY (6) convincingly won a BM64 here at this distance two runs ago. Tackled Saturday company last start and did a fine job to hang on for third after leading the field for the judge over the Randwick mile. Gets all the favours from gate one and back in midweek company appeals as the one to beat. DORADUS (12) led and tried bravely but found one better when resuming over 6 ¾f at Wyong last time out. Ran some nice races in town last prep so this class rise is not a concern. Fitter and can play a key role out to this more suitable distance. TENDERIZE (5) dashed clear and looked home only to be nailed on the line in a comparable race to this here a fortnight ago. Consistent veteran who will give a good account again. SISTER DAAE (11) is in a rut of finding the line with gusto without winning, extended last time out when a slashing third over a mile at the Farm. A must for trifectas and first fours. STANDARD DEVIATION (7) first-up with JMac to pilot cannot be left out.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Let's Fly silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 3rd of 12 at Randwick Midway Bm72 on July 25 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind The Mona Lisa carrying 121lbs at $13. The race before that came from midfield and won by 1.75 len at this track Bm64 July 8 over 7 ¾f in the wet defeating John Dory with 127lbs at $9. In fine form and from the inside alley makes plenty of appeal.

1st Pick
6

Let's Fly

Jockey: Chad Schofield

Trainer: Richard & Will Freedman

J: Chad Schofield

T: Richard & Will Freedman

155---20%4/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 3rd of 12 at Randwick Midway Bm72 on July 25 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind The Mona Lisa carrying 121lbs at $13. The race before that came from midfield and won by 1.75 len at this track Bm64 July 8 over 7 ¾f in the wet defeating John Dory with 127lbs at $9. In fine form and from the inside alley makes plenty of appeal.

12
Doradus silk

Second run back. First-up after four months held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Wyong Cond Bm68 on July 23 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Sponars with 125lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up 3rd of 12 at Newcastle Cl1 on October 2 over 7 ½f, 6 len behind Champagne Hero carrying 129lbs at $11. Fitter and worth following up despite the rise in class.

2nd Pick
12

Doradus

Jockey: Zac Lloyd

Trainer: John P Thompson

J: Zac Lloyd

T: John P Thompson

104---16%11/2

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after four months held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Wyong Cond Bm68 on July 23 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Sponars with 125lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up 3rd of 12 at Newcastle Cl1 on October 2 over 7 ½f, 6 len behind Champagne Hero carrying 129lbs at $11. Fitter and worth following up despite the rise in class.

5
Tenderize silk

Last start ran on from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track Bm72 on July 22 over 1m, slow going nose behind Scalextrics carrying 128lbs at $12. The race before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Randwick Kensington Bm72 on July 1 over 7 ¾f, on rain affected going, long-neck behind Kenmare Bay carrying 127lbs at $18. In fine form and is well and truly overdue.

3rd Pick
5

Tenderize

Jockey: Braith Nock

Trainer: Gary Portelli

J: Braith Nock

T: Gary Portelli

138---8%12/1

Analysis

Last start ran on from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track Bm72 on July 22 over 1m, slow going nose behind Scalextrics carrying 128lbs at $12. The race before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Randwick Kensington Bm72 on July 1 over 7 ¾f, on rain affected going, long-neck behind Kenmare Bay carrying 127lbs at $18. In fine form and is well and truly overdue.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.