AU - Canterbury - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

9.4f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

42.0K

VIEW

Verdict

AETHELWULF (6) is an exciting prospect and possibly the most interesting runner on the card. Has recorded two massive wins at the provincials this prep, with a flop at $1.28 in between - that was on a heavy track so he can be forgiven. Goes from 1m to 1 ³/16m which can only help. Ready to take on these better horses now. MICHELANGELO (8) finished midfield in the Queensland Derby two back then had an eight-week break before a fair effort over 1 ?m at Randwick last time. Fitter for that run and is a threat to the top pick. CASTAGNOLA (7) led for home but couldn't quite hang on at his latest appearance over 7 ½f at Hawkesbury. Lightly raced and gets beyond a mile for the first time. Likely improver. COVERT THINKING (10) relished the step up in distance when a game second in a similar race here a fortnight ago. Sure to give a good account again. DUBAI WARRIOR (5) has raced well all prep at the provincials and still has more to offer at just the fourth run of the campaign.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	At the latest run favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 6 len at Kembla Grange Cl1 July 16 over 1m defeating Arizona Loner with 132lbs at $1.55. The start before that 5th of 7 at Newcastle Cl1 on June 27 over 7f, in the wet, 1.5 len behind Free And Fast carrying 132lbs at $1.28. Promising stayer who is ready to take this next step. 1st Pick 6 Aethelwulf Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: Matthew Smith J: Zac Lloyd T: Matthew Smith	208	-	-	-	66%	8/15
Analysis At the latest run favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 6 len at Kembla Grange Cl1 July 16 over 1m defeating Arizona Loner with 132lbs at $1.55. The start before that 5th of 7 at Newcastle Cl1 on June 27 over 7f, in the wet, 1.5 len behind Free And Fast carrying 132lbs at $1.28. Promising stayer who is ready to take this next step.
8	At the latest run 5th of 11 at Randwick H'way Cl3sw on July 25 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Leovanni with 123lbs at $5. The run before that 7th of 18 at Eagle Farm in the G1 Qld Derby on May 30 over 1 ½m, slow going 7 len behind Providence with 126lbs at $51. Well placed to find winning form again. 2nd Pick 8 Michelangelo Jockey: Reece Jones Trainer: Dean Mirfin J: Reece Jones T: Dean Mirfin	115	-	-	-	6%	16/1
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 11 at Randwick H'way Cl3sw on July 25 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Leovanni with 123lbs at $5. The run before that 7th of 18 at Eagle Farm in the G1 Qld Derby on May 30 over 1 ½m, slow going 7 len behind Providence with 126lbs at $51. Well placed to find winning form again.
7	Third-up today. First-up from last on the turn 5th of 9 at Wyong Bm64 on July 4 over 6 ¾f, slow going 1.5 len behind Rimbaud with 134lbs at $9. Last start 4th of 7 at Hawkesbury Bm64 on July 19 over 7 ½f, slow going 0.5 len behind Flying From Above with 134lbs at $4. Fitter now and looks a leading prospect. 3rd Pick 7 Castagnola Jockey: Dylan Gibbons Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Dylan Gibbons T: Bjorn Baker	118	-	-	-	6%	18/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up from last on the turn 5th of 9 at Wyong Bm64 on July 4 over 6 ¾f, slow going 1.5 len behind Rimbaud with 134lbs at $9. Last start 4th of 7 at Hawkesbury Bm64 on July 19 over 7 ½f, slow going 0.5 len behind Flying From Above with 134lbs at $4. Fitter now and looks a leading prospect.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.