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4:35 AM

AU - Canterbury - Race 3

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
7.7f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
39.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BLUEPINOT (1) went to the lead in a new role for him last start at Geelong and he responded by registering a second career win. Steps up ¾f in trip which is to his advantage. Won't find this any tougher so he presents as a winning chance again. SARRISMO (2) made it five podium finished from as many career runs when runner-up after leading over 1m at Wyong last time out. Not drawn the best but if he slots in with cover he poses a serious threat. AUTOMNE TREE (3) started favourite but after copping some interference at the beginning of the run home he missed the placings last Wednesday over 7 ½f at Rosehill. Fitter for two runs back from a spell and he won his only race over this course and distance when third-up. BIG TIGER (4) backs up seven days after a tough all-the-way maiden win over 7f at Rosehill. Has only raced twice so there is plenty of upside to this Waterhouse/Bott colt. VIKTOR (5) caught the eye first-up and win appreciate a little more ground today.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Bluepinot silk

Form hard to fault. Last start won by 0.8 len at Geelong Bm66 October 23 over 7f on a soft track defeating First Chorus with 126lbs at $3.60. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Sale Bm66 on October 8 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Fridge Monster with 126lbs at $5. Should enjoy a nice run on the pace and this isn't a huge step up in class.

1st Pick
1

Bluepinot

Jockey: Adam Hyeronimus

Trainer: Chris Waller

J: Adam Hyeronimus

T: Chris Waller

155---15%6/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start won by 0.8 len at Geelong Bm66 October 23 over 7f on a soft track defeating First Chorus with 126lbs at $3.60. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Sale Bm66 on October 8 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Fridge Monster with 126lbs at $5. Should enjoy a nice run on the pace and this isn't a huge step up in class.

2
Sarrismo silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run set the pace for much of the race 2nd in a small field at Wyong Bm64 on October 30 over 1m, 0.7 len behind Green Spaces with 131lbs at $1.45. The run before that 2nd of 8 at Rosehill Bm72 on October 1 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Mawjood with 126lbs at $2.20. Genuine gelding who is one of the leading chances.

2nd Pick
2

Sarrismo

Jockey: Dylan Gibbons

Trainer: John O'shea & Tom Charlton

J: Dylan Gibbons

T: John O'shea & Tom Charlton

177---27%11/4

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run set the pace for much of the race 2nd in a small field at Wyong Bm64 on October 30 over 1m, 0.7 len behind Green Spaces with 131lbs at $1.45. The run before that 2nd of 8 at Rosehill Bm72 on October 1 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Mawjood with 126lbs at $2.20. Genuine gelding who is one of the leading chances.

3
Automne Tree silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 3rd of 9 at Hawkesbury Cg&E Bm64 on October 28 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Tong Ho carrying 132lbs at $2.70. Second-up 4th of 10 at Rosehill Bm72 on November 12 over 7 ½f, 2 len behind Ivan's Hero carrying 123lbs at $2.90. Fitter for two runs back and this looks a nice race.

3rd Pick
3

Automne Tree

Jockey: Tommy Berry

Trainer: Chris Waller

J: Tommy Berry

T: Chris Waller

144---20%4/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 3rd of 9 at Hawkesbury Cg&E Bm64 on October 28 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Tong Ho carrying 132lbs at $2.70. Second-up 4th of 10 at Rosehill Bm72 on November 12 over 7 ½f, 2 len behind Ivan's Hero carrying 123lbs at $2.90. Fitter for two runs back and this looks a nice race.

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