AU - Canterbury - Race 2

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

7.7f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

42.0K

VIEW

Verdict

NAMASTE (1) gave away a big start on the bend then closed in good style to be beaten under two lengths over 7 ½f at Kembla last start. Competitive in Sydney Saturday company last prep so this type of race is well within reach. Blinkers back on a strong sign from the Baker camp that he is ready to fire. THREE ARROWS (2) continues to race well deep into his prep. Travelled handy then boxed on well for a close second over 7f at the Illawarra circuit last Thursday. Big chance over the extra ¾f today. BLENHEIM GIRL (6) heads a strong Waller contingent. Came with a sustained run to get the cash first-up over 6f here a fortnight ago. Lightly raced mare with more to offer getting out in distance. VIVA MAURICIO (5) failed on a heavy track at Rosehill recently after a strong first-up win at Hawkesbury. Can bounce back on firmer footing. GLISSANDO (7) dominated at Kembla last start at just her second appearance. Must be respected with J Mac in the irons.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 4th of 9 at Rosehill 3&4yo Bm72 on June 27 over 7f, slow going 3.5 len behind Tarzing with 123lbs at $41. Second run from a spell from last on the turn 6th of 8 at Kembla Grange Cl1 on July 25 over 7 ½f, 2 len behind So Rebellious with 136lbs at $1.90. Rates highly. Big chance. 1st Pick 1 Namaste Jockey: Kerrin Mcevoy Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Kerrin Mcevoy T: Bjorn Baker	170	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 4th of 9 at Rosehill 3&4yo Bm72 on June 27 over 7f, slow going 3.5 len behind Tarzing with 123lbs at $41. Second run from a spell from last on the turn 6th of 8 at Kembla Grange Cl1 on July 25 over 7 ½f, 2 len behind So Rebellious with 136lbs at $1.90. Rates highly. Big chance.
2	Racing well recently. Most recently sat on the pace when 2nd of 15 at Illawarra Grange Bm64 on July 30 over 7f, neck behind Stallone carrying 133lbs at $2.90. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Newcastle Cond Bm68 on July 11 over 7f, slow going 4.5 len behind Spiv carrying 130lbs at $3.70. Further improvement is anticipated. 2nd Pick 2 Three Arrows Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: John O'shea & Tom Charlton J: Non Runner T: John O'shea & Tom Charlton	201	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently sat on the pace when 2nd of 15 at Illawarra Grange Bm64 on July 30 over 7f, neck behind Stallone carrying 133lbs at $2.90. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Newcastle Cond Bm68 on July 11 over 7f, slow going 4.5 len behind Spiv carrying 130lbs at $3.70. Further improvement is anticipated.
6	Second-up. First-up after seven months won by a long-neck at this track F&M Bm64 July 22 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating You're The Choice with 126lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up came from midfield and won by 1.2 len at Gold Coast Mdn-Sw December 27 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Peak Miss carrying 121lbs at $4. Strips fitter and is an excellent winning chance. 3rd Pick 6 Blenheim Girl Jockey: Tommy Berry Trainer: Chris Waller J: Tommy Berry T: Chris Waller	158	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after seven months won by a long-neck at this track F&M Bm64 July 22 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating You're The Choice with 126lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up came from midfield and won by 1.2 len at Gold Coast Mdn-Sw December 27 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Peak Miss carrying 121lbs at $4. Strips fitter and is an excellent winning chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.