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2:50 AM

AU - Canterbury - Race 1

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
70.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Waller runners dominate this race. Lloyd goes aboard LEONESSA (9) who gets the nod on the strength of good Saturday form, that being a close fourth over this trip at Rosehill when fresh from a spell last start. Drawn to enjoy the perfect run and when presented can quicken over the top of these. QUEEN'S GAMBLE (8) is the best chance to upset the premier trainer's grip on the race. Made up a stack of ground to finish second over today's journey when fresh from a spell here last time out. Didn't have the best of luck that day and is nicely placed to put the record straight. YOSHIDA (1) debuted over this course and distance on the same day as Queen's Gamble's last run and finished second, running a slightly slower time. Plenty of scope for improvement so don't rule him out. PHANTOM MAJOR (2) just missed on debut at Newcastle recently. McDonald goes aboard so it is the stable's preference. Betting watch on GAULTIER (3) lining up for the first time since May 2025.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Leonessa silk

Second-up. First-up after four months 4th of 9 at Rosehill 2yo Hcp on July 18 over 6f, on rain affected going, 1.3 len behind Joint Venture carrying 115lbs at $9. Previously second-up 4th of 7 at Randwick Kensington 2yo F Osc on March 25 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Reachin' Out with 122lbs at $11. Will come on from that run and is the one they have to beat.

1st Pick
9

Leonessa

Jockey: Zac Lloyd

Trainer: Chris Waller

J: Zac Lloyd

T: Chris Waller

141---10%10/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after four months 4th of 9 at Rosehill 2yo Hcp on July 18 over 6f, on rain affected going, 1.3 len behind Joint Venture carrying 115lbs at $9. Previously second-up 4th of 7 at Randwick Kensington 2yo F Osc on March 25 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Reachin' Out with 122lbs at $11. Will come on from that run and is the one they have to beat.

8
Queen's Gamble silk

Third race start. Promising on debut 3rd of 9 at Newcastle Bm64 on January 31 over 4 ½f, 1.5 len behind Play My Song carrying 121lbs at $16. Returned from break 2nd of 8 at this track 2&3yo F Mdn on July 22 over 6f, slow going 1.2 len behind Krasina carrying 125lbs at $5.50. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

2nd Pick
8

Queen's Gamble

Jockey: Tommy Berry

Trainer: Matthew Smith

J: Tommy Berry

T: Matthew Smith

127---31%9/4

Analysis

Third race start. Promising on debut 3rd of 9 at Newcastle Bm64 on January 31 over 4 ½f, 1.5 len behind Play My Song carrying 121lbs at $16. Returned from break 2nd of 8 at this track 2&3yo F Mdn on July 22 over 6f, slow going 1.2 len behind Krasina carrying 125lbs at $5.50. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

1
Yoshida silk

Was well in the market at debut, held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at this track 2&3yo C&G Mdn on July 22 over 6f, slow going long-neck behind Persian Wonder carrying 130lbs at $4.60. Promising four-year-old ready to break through this time.

3rd Pick
1

Yoshida

Jockey: Reece Jones

Trainer: Jim & Greg Lee

J: Reece Jones

T: Jim & Greg Lee

116---10%10/1

Analysis

Was well in the market at debut, held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at this track 2&3yo C&G Mdn on July 22 over 6f, slow going long-neck behind Persian Wonder carrying 130lbs at $4.60. Promising four-year-old ready to break through this time.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.