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6:03 AM

AU - Canberra - Race 7

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
8f
OPEN
Turf
GOOD 4
24.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CANNY QUEEN (4) has the right profile to take this out after holding fourth in FM BM72 company at Warwick Farm, where she beat Mighty Myrtle and now gets meaningful weight relief. Her previous Warwick Farm run included interference, so she's trending the right way. Guymer rides and she profiles nicely for this feature. MIGHTY MYRTLE (8) is the main danger on overall consistency, with her strong record at this track and the held-up second to Feazabeel two starts back giving her a genuine winning platform despite a plain latest run. Hasn't won for a while, but continues to threaten and looks to get every chance. STORMBRINGER (10) is racing well without winning, missing by 2.8L in the Cootamundra Cup last time. Has speed to offset the draw and won't be far away. DUE CALZINI (5) can feature third-up with Boudvillain on board. CANDO ATTITUDE (7) can improve out to the mile for the first time.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Canny Queen silk

Comes out of stronger metro mares grade after finishing fourth in a FM BM72 at Warwick Farm, beaten five and a half lengths, and she is much better suited with clear weight relief. Her previous FM BM78 run had genuine interference near the 1f, so there is more merit in the profile than the form figures suggest. Well suited back to this level on her recent form and she can get back to winning ways.

1st Pick
4

Canny Queen

Jockey: Shaun Guymer

Trainer: Danielle Seib

J: Shaun Guymer

T: Danielle Seib

109---12%8/1

Analysis

Comes out of stronger metro mares grade after finishing fourth in a FM BM72 at Warwick Farm, beaten five and a half lengths, and she is much better suited with clear weight relief. Her previous FM BM78 run had genuine interference near the 1f, so there is more merit in the profile than the form figures suggest. Well suited back to this level on her recent form and she can get back to winning ways.

8
Mighty Myrtle silk

Was safely held when fifth in a FM BM72 at Warwick Farm last start, beaten just over six lengths after settling back and failing to close off. Her run prior is the stronger guide, finishing second at this track in a BM75 after being held up until the ½f and still making ground. Draws to get every chance and while she hasn't won in a while, she continues to threaten.

2nd Pick
8

Mighty Myrtle

Jockey: Alysha Collett

Trainer: Keith Dryden & Libby Snowden

J: Alysha Collett

T: Keith Dryden & Libby Snowden

129---31%9/4

Analysis

Was safely held when fifth in a FM BM72 at Warwick Farm last start, beaten just over six lengths after settling back and failing to close off. Her run prior is the stronger guide, finishing second at this track in a BM75 after being held up until the ½f and still making ground. Draws to get every chance and while she hasn't won in a while, she continues to threaten.

10
Stormbringer silk

Had a genuine excuse when fourth at Cootamundra last start, held up in the straight before finishing just under three lengths from Belleistic Kids. That followed a good second in a BM66 at Nowra, where he picked up strongly to be beaten just under two lengths. Racing well and can feature despite the tricky barrier.

3rd Pick
10

Stormbringer

Jockey: Tom Sherry

Trainer: Matthew Dale

J: Tom Sherry

T: Matthew Dale

108---9%11/1

Analysis

Had a genuine excuse when fourth at Cootamundra last start, held up in the straight before finishing just under three lengths from Belleistic Kids. That followed a good second in a BM66 at Nowra, where he picked up strongly to be beaten just under two lengths. Racing well and can feature despite the tricky barrier.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.