AU - Cairns - Race 5

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

6.2f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

14.5K

VIEW

Verdict

ALABAMA MOONLIGHT (3) went close at Townsville and again following this track/distance. Finds a touch easier, and he keeps improving. Deserves another win and can go one with average luck in the run. SKOGAFOSS (5) settled back then found the line strongly to finish 0.7 lengths adrift over 4 ¾f at this track, in Open grade. Has won 2/4 here over this longer trip, and the in-form Holt replaces the apprentice. He has decent claims. SWATOW (1) resumes and brings strong form from tougher races over 7 ½f/1m. Keeps Cormack and races well this course/distance. Has to lug a big weight but can fight the finish if presented on song. THIRTEEN UNDER (6) has won his last two at the track and stormed home to win comfortably last time over 6 ¼f. This looks a bit tougher, but he has to be considered. GOLDEN OCTAVIAN (4) can show more stepping up in trip, and Wiggins is a positive engagement.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Form hard to fault. Most recently 2nd of 8 at this track Cl3-Sw on March 26 over 6 ¼f, on a wet track, 0.7 len behind Colours Of Autumn carrying 126lbs at $14. Before that 3rd of 11 at Townsville Bm60 on March 5 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind March Madness carrying 131lbs at $21. Wasn't too far off the mark last time. Deserves another chance. 1st Pick 3 Alabama Moonlight Jockey: Krysten Swaffer Trainer: Trevor & Peter Rowe J: Krysten Swaffer T: Trevor & Peter Rowe	125	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently 2nd of 8 at this track Cl3-Sw on March 26 over 6 ¼f, on a wet track, 0.7 len behind Colours Of Autumn carrying 126lbs at $14. Before that 3rd of 11 at Townsville Bm60 on March 5 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind March Madness carrying 131lbs at $21. Wasn't too far off the mark last time. Deserves another chance.
5	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 6th of 10 at this track Bm65 on February 16 over 4 ¾f, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Injada with 127lbs at $11. Second run from a spell 4th of 8 at this track Hcp on March 12 over 4 ¾f, on rain affected going, 0.7 len behind Valenki carrying 115lbs at $11. Fitter and rates a key contender. 2nd Pick 5 Skogafoss Jockey: Aidan Holt Trainer: Dean Piccolo J: Aidan Holt T: Dean Piccolo	192	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 6th of 10 at this track Bm65 on February 16 over 4 ¾f, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Injada with 127lbs at $11. Second run from a spell 4th of 8 at this track Hcp on March 12 over 4 ¾f, on rain affected going, 0.7 len behind Valenki carrying 115lbs at $11. Fitter and rates a key contender.
1	Gelding back from a spell of eight months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation by 0.5 len this track Daintree 4yo Hcp August 23 over 7 ½f defeating Obligated with 120lbs at $2.80. When resuming last campaign fifth of 8 at this track Mdn May 15 over 4 ¾f, soft track, 5.5 len behind The Kamikaze carrying 132lbs at $6.50. Can run a bold race. 3rd Pick 1 Swatow Jockey: Sean Cormack Trainer: Fred Wieland J: Sean Cormack T: Fred Wieland	130	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Gelding back from a spell of eight months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation by 0.5 len this track Daintree 4yo Hcp August 23 over 7 ½f defeating Obligated with 120lbs at $2.80. When resuming last campaign fifth of 8 at this track Mdn May 15 over 4 ¾f, soft track, 5.5 len behind The Kamikaze carrying 132lbs at $6.50. Can run a bold race.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.