AU - Cairns - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

6.2f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

14.7K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

DIAMOND LUCY (8) staged a form reversal last start to get the money at massive odds in a Class 1 over 6f at Townsville. Drops 3kgs on that run so although her strike rate is not enviable another big run looks on the cards. ELLIE'S DREAM (1) settled close to the pace then boxed on well for second over 6f at Laura last time out. In the money nine times from 14 runs here at this trip. Sound each-way prospects again. VOUCHERS (3) is back after an 18-week spell. Sure to improve on whatever he does today but he does like racing here so a brighter first-up run than usual will not surprise. FLOURISH (7) is back after a three-month absence. Goes Vell at this circuit and from gate one with a light weight comes right under notice. LA MANO (6) has been freshened up since a disappointing run at Atherton on 13 June. Each-way hope if anywhere near her best.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
8	At the latest run won by 0.6 len at Townsville Cl1-Sw July 14 over 6f defeating Aye Vee Aitch with 128lbs at $41. The start before that 6th of 13 at Townsville 0 - 55 on July 5 over 5f, 3 len behind Extra Free carrying 121lbs at $31. Big chance to go back-to-back. 1st Pick 8 Diamond Lucy Jockey: Olivia Kendal Trainer: Troy Clive J: Olivia Kendal T: Troy Clive	114	-	-	-	20%
Analysis At the latest run won by 0.6 len at Townsville Cl1-Sw July 14 over 6f defeating Aye Vee Aitch with 128lbs at $41. The start before that 6th of 13 at Townsville 0 - 55 on July 5 over 5f, 3 len behind Extra Free carrying 121lbs at $31. Big chance to go back-to-back.
1	Last start 2nd in a small field at Laura-Qld Bm60 on June 27 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Bella Bianca with 130lbs at $2.10. The race before that 5th of 9 at this track Hcp on May 29 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Desert Grit with 121lbs at $6.50. Made headway last time. Looks very tough to beat again. 2nd Pick 1 Ellie's Dream Jockey: Sean Cormack Trainer: Fred Wieland J: Sean Cormack T: Fred Wieland	127	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Last start 2nd in a small field at Laura-Qld Bm60 on June 27 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Bella Bianca with 130lbs at $2.10. The race before that 5th of 9 at this track Hcp on May 29 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Desert Grit with 121lbs at $6.50. Made headway last time. Looks very tough to beat again.
3	Resuming after four-and-a-half months in the paddock. Finished off last preparation fifth of 9 at Mackay Bm55 March 19 over 7 ¾f, soft track, 3 len behind Replace The Ace with 131lbs at $3.20. First up last campaign fifth of 11 at Townsville 3yo Mdn-Sw January 24 over 6f, soft track, 2.25 len behind Lady Willpower carrying 128lbs at $7. Races well here so worth considering. 3rd Pick 3 Vouchers Jockey: Dan Mcgillivray Trainer: Steven Royes J: Dan Mcgillivray T: Steven Royes	168	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Resuming after four-and-a-half months in the paddock. Finished off last preparation fifth of 9 at Mackay Bm55 March 19 over 7 ¾f, soft track, 3 len behind Replace The Ace with 131lbs at $3.20. First up last campaign fifth of 11 at Townsville 3yo Mdn-Sw January 24 over 6f, soft track, 2.25 len behind Lady Willpower carrying 128lbs at $7. Races well here so worth considering.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.