AU - Bunbury - Race 7

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Class 5

Turf

SOFT 6

21.1K

VIEW

Verdict

Big field and plenty of pressure up front. For that reason POND MASTER (1) can swoop over the top late. On the seven-day back-up and back in trip so expected to be beaten for pace early but has a big finish and Pike aboard. Watch out late. SHOWLAS (6) on the other hand will be up front leading the way. Racing well and can give a big sight. SALTY MISS (8) has some really good figures for this from last campaign and returns after a long break. Will relish the early pressure and fly late. CHERYL'S SHOUT (7) finished 4 lengths back in 12th over 7f at Belmont Park last time out after a gutsy win two runs back. Meets easier opposition this time. In the mix. PLAYING QUEST (9) draws well and another big run is in store.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	At the latest run 8th of 14 at Pinjarra Scarpside Cl5 on June 4 over 7f, 4 len behind Linchpin carrying 130lbs at $4.80. The race before that 11th of 15 at Belmont Park Rtg 66+ on May 23 over 1m, 5 len behind Sixinch Heels carrying 130lbs at $16. Quick back-up and will be winding up strongly this sharper trip. 1st Pick 1 Pond Master Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Takahide Ikenushi J: William Pike T: Takahide Ikenushi	182	-	-	-	36%	9/5
Analysis At the latest run 8th of 14 at Pinjarra Scarpside Cl5 on June 4 over 7f, 4 len behind Linchpin carrying 130lbs at $4.80. The race before that 11th of 15 at Belmont Park Rtg 66+ on May 23 over 1m, 5 len behind Sixinch Heels carrying 130lbs at $16. Quick back-up and will be winding up strongly this sharper trip.
6	Most recently faded in the straight 6th of 11 at Belmont Park Cl3 on May 20 over 7f, 4 len behind Herault with 132lbs at $5.50. Before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 12 at Ascot Grad Hcp 60+ on April 11 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Fifth Essence with 126lbs at $12. Speedy galloper who will take running down. 2nd Pick 6 Showlas Jockey: Jarrad Noske Trainer: David Catarino J: Jarrad Noske T: David Catarino	92	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Most recently faded in the straight 6th of 11 at Belmont Park Cl3 on May 20 over 7f, 4 len behind Herault with 132lbs at $5.50. Before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 12 at Ascot Grad Hcp 60+ on April 11 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Fifth Essence with 126lbs at $12. Speedy galloper who will take running down.
8	Is first-up after a break of six months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign by 2 len Ascot Grad Hcp 60+ December 13 over 6f defeating Magnique with 119lbs at $18. When resuming last campaign second of 9 at Northam Mdn October 5 over 5 ½f, soft track, 0.5 len behind Pygmalion with 123lbs at $10. Will be winding up late. 3rd Pick 8 Salty Miss Jockey: Troy Turner Trainer: Tiarnna Noske J: Troy Turner T: Tiarnna Noske	102	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Is first-up after a break of six months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign by 2 len Ascot Grad Hcp 60+ December 13 over 6f defeating Magnique with 119lbs at $18. When resuming last campaign second of 9 at Northam Mdn October 5 over 5 ½f, soft track, 0.5 len behind Pygmalion with 123lbs at $10. Will be winding up late.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.