AU - Bunbury - Race 3

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

17.7K

VIEW

Verdict

JESA LUPA (6) stuck on well over this track and trip last time out and now gets Pike in the saddle replacing the apprentice hoop. He looks a gelding on the way up this campaign. He's ticking along nicely and this presents as a very suitable race on his recent figures. Can get the job done this time. YANKEE ACE (5) got well back here last time out and disappointed following a strong run two starts back. A better draw this time may see him closer in the run and he rates highly on the first two runs this campaign. Can make amends for a disappointing effort last time out. SOVEREIGN SALUTE (8) finished off nicely as a 30-1 pop here over 6f on debut. He showed some tactical speed there too which looks ideal as he stretches to 7f today. Faithfull sticks and he can be in the finish once again. LUNA BALLET (10) just missed when sitting on the speed here last time out and has to be included on the back of that effort. PROFOUND BENEFIT (1) is next best from an inside barrier.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Most recently 5th of 13 at this track Mdn on February 12 over 7f, 3 len behind Luna Ascending carrying 123lbs at $12. The race before that 5th of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on January 25 over 6f, 2 len behind Media Mogul carrying 123lbs at $21. Finds a suitable race here and can land the knockout blow. 1st Pick 6 Jesa Lupa Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Ryan Hill J: William Pike T: Ryan Hill	111	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Most recently 5th of 13 at this track Mdn on February 12 over 7f, 3 len behind Luna Ascending carrying 123lbs at $12. The race before that 5th of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on January 25 over 6f, 2 len behind Media Mogul carrying 123lbs at $21. Finds a suitable race here and can land the knockout blow.
5	At the latest run 8th of 12 at this track Mdn on February 12 over 7f, 7 len behind Safedeel with 128lbs at $6.50. The start before that made some head-way from midfield, 4th of 14 at this track Mdn on January 21 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Morf carrying 128lbs at $15. Can bounce back following a disappointing effort last time out. 2nd Pick 5 Yankee Ace Jockey: Steven Parnham Trainer: Stefan Vahala J: Steven Parnham T: Stefan Vahala	179	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis At the latest run 8th of 12 at this track Mdn on February 12 over 7f, 7 len behind Safedeel with 128lbs at $6.50. The start before that made some head-way from midfield, 4th of 14 at this track Mdn on January 21 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Morf carrying 128lbs at $15. Can bounce back following a disappointing effort last time out.
8	Jumped at long odds at debut, 4th of 14 at this track Mdn on February 12 over 6f, 4 len behind Desert Waves carrying 126lbs at $31. Solid on debut and looks primed stepping out in trip here. 3rd Pick 8 Sovereign Salute Jockey: Natasha Faithfull Trainer: Chris Stelmach J: Natasha Faithfull T: Chris Stelmach	78	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Jumped at long odds at debut, 4th of 14 at this track Mdn on February 12 over 6f, 4 len behind Desert Waves carrying 126lbs at $31. Solid on debut and looks primed stepping out in trip here.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).