AU - Bunbury - Race 1

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

5.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

17.7K

VIEW

Verdict

MAMMA SAYS SO (8) returned in good order off a short break, being 0.9L off the winner at Ascot last time out in a stronger race than this. Back to maiden company here looks a good move and Brad Parnham remains in the saddle. Can lob into a midfield position and land the knockout blow. MAYTHISBETHEONE (7) led them up but couldn't sustain the effort last time out over 6f here, finishing 1.9L off the winner. Back to 5 ½f here may hold the key and she has enough speed to roll across from the wide alley. Ticks a few boxes here and can get the job done without surprising. BUDERIM (1) is first-up here on the back of a trial win at Lark Hill. He was solid over 6f on debut here back in July and if he can return in similar fashion, he can make a statement. LONGTIMEBELIEVER (3) hasn't been far away in recent efforts and can be in the finish. CASSENITE (2) can sit much closer today as she finally draws a barrier and she can go close.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Second-up. Promising on debut 4th of 9 at this track 3yo Mdn on November 4 over 6f, 4 len behind Reconnaissance with 121lbs at $20. Returned from break 5th of 10 at Ascot Cl1 on February 4 over 5f, 0.9 len behind Cannykev carrying 123lbs at $8.50. Fitter now and can get the job done this time. 1st Pick 8 Mamma Says So Jockey: Brad Parnham Trainer: Joshua Krispyn J: Brad Parnham T: Joshua Krispyn	173	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Second-up. Promising on debut 4th of 9 at this track 3yo Mdn on November 4 over 6f, 4 len behind Reconnaissance with 121lbs at $20. Returned from break 5th of 10 at Ascot Cl1 on February 4 over 5f, 0.9 len behind Cannykev carrying 123lbs at $8.50. Fitter now and can get the job done this time.
7	Racing well recently. At the latest run rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 14 at this track Mdn on February 12 over 6f, 2 len behind Desert Waves with 121lbs at $4.20. The race before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 7 at this track 3yo Mdn on January 26 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Pariah's Thanks with 121lbs at $2.70. Racing in good order and can make her presence felt again. 2nd Pick 7 Maythisbetheone Jockey: Holly Watson Trainer: David Harrison J: Holly Watson T: David Harrison	152	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 14 at this track Mdn on February 12 over 6f, 2 len behind Desert Waves with 121lbs at $4.20. The race before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 7 at this track 3yo Mdn on January 26 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Pariah's Thanks with 121lbs at $2.70. Racing in good order and can make her presence felt again.
1	Resuming after a six months break. Finished off last campaign 11th of 16 at Belmont Park Mdn September 3 over 6f, soft track, 6 len behind Hedawood carrying 128lbs at $12. On debut third of 9 at this track 3yo Mdn July 6 over 6f, soft track, 1.4 len behind Scenic Wings with 126lbs at $2.50. Can fire a shot on resumption. 3rd Pick 1 Buderim Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Brandon Fiore J: Lucy Fiore T: Brandon Fiore	85	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Resuming after a six months break. Finished off last campaign 11th of 16 at Belmont Park Mdn September 3 over 6f, soft track, 6 len behind Hedawood carrying 128lbs at $12. On debut third of 9 at this track 3yo Mdn July 6 over 6f, soft track, 1.4 len behind Scenic Wings with 126lbs at $2.50. Can fire a shot on resumption.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.