AU - Broome - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Dirt

GOOD

13.9K

VIEW

Verdict

OCEAN OUTLAW (2) caught the eye last start over 5 ½f at this track, coming from the tail and running on strongly to score by a neck. Comes here in the right frame of mind so he should be in the finish again. DUST ASIDE (3) held on well to finish second last start over 5 ½f at this track, beaten 1.3 lengths as favourite. Well placed and there is no reason he cannot take this out. SANCTIONS (7) finished out of the money two starts back then was beaten 3 lengths when fifth in a 6f contest at this track eight days ago. Nicely placed to get the prize. FIRE THE GUARD (1) will strip fitter for this after running below expectations first-up at this track, finishing fifth and beaten 5 lengths over 5 ½f. Suitably placed so expecting a better run this time. IMA WILD GIRL (4) has disappointed her past couple but can fire a shot here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	At the latest run won by a neck at this track Rtg 58+ July 24 over 5 ½f defeating Delicate Ruler carrying 114lbs at $4.80. The start before that 6th of 13 at this track Rtg 50+ on July 11 over 6 ½f, 5.5 len behind Shasfa carrying 127lbs at $7. Hard to beat again. 1st Pick 2 Ocean Outlaw Jockey: Jefferson Tsang Trainer: Jody Mc Laughlin J: Jefferson Tsang T: Jody Mc Laughlin	159	-	-	-	36%
Analysis At the latest run won by a neck at this track Rtg 58+ July 24 over 5 ½f defeating Delicate Ruler carrying 114lbs at $4.80. The start before that 6th of 13 at this track Rtg 50+ on July 11 over 6 ½f, 5.5 len behind Shasfa carrying 127lbs at $7. Hard to beat again.
3	Form hard to fault. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at this track Cl2 on July 11 over 5 ½f, 1.3 len behind What's The Point carrying 130lbs at $1.70. The run before that favourite, won by 6 len at this track Mdn June 28 over 6f defeating Viva Marconi with 128lbs at $4. Certainly worth another chance. 2nd Pick 3 Dust Aside Jockey: Kyra Yuill Trainer: Jody Mc Laughlin J: Kyra Yuill T: Jody Mc Laughlin	178	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at this track Cl2 on July 11 over 5 ½f, 1.3 len behind What's The Point carrying 130lbs at $1.70. The run before that favourite, won by 6 len at this track Mdn June 28 over 6f defeating Viva Marconi with 128lbs at $4. Certainly worth another chance.
7	Most recently 5th of 9 at this track Cl2 on July 24 over 6f, 3 len behind What's The Point carrying 123lbs at $16. The run before that 5th of 8 at this track Cl2 on July 11 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind What's The Point carrying 125lbs at $41. Has ability and can run a forward race. 3rd Pick 7 Sanctions Jockey: Ebony Johnson Trainer: Casey Hunter J: Ebony Johnson T: Casey Hunter	147	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Most recently 5th of 9 at this track Cl2 on July 24 over 6f, 3 len behind What's The Point carrying 123lbs at $16. The run before that 5th of 8 at this track Cl2 on July 11 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind What's The Point carrying 125lbs at $41. Has ability and can run a forward race.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.