AU - Belmont Park - Race 8

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

42.4K

VIEW

Verdict

HUBBLE'S DRAGON (5) was solid on resumption over this track and trip, racing in tougher company and only finishing 1.4L off the winner. Should be better for that effort and Fiore replaces the apprentice hoop. Won second-up last prep before placing in the Magic Millions. He ticks plenty of boxes. TRUE FICTION (4) scored in a photo last time out in easier company, flying late to score as the race favourite. Harvey remains on board and this shapes similarly. In good touch and can repeat the dose. FLASH DANCER (6) is looking for the hat-trick as he tackles Saturday grade. He's building a handy record as he works through the grades, winning narrowly here on the quick turnaround last start. Maps to get every chance and can extend his winning run. LORD SHIVA (1) should give himself every chance up front as he steps out in trip and back in grade. SHERPA EXPRESS (2) can improve on the fresh effort where he disappointed as an odds-on pop in this grade.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Second run back. First-up after five months came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 7 at this track on August 1 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Sunny Honey with 116lbs at $8.50. Previously second-up won by a long-neck at Bunbury on February 1 over 6f defeating God's Cross carrying 130lbs at $2. Rates highly on the fresh run and he can raise the bar. 1st Pick 5 Hubble's Dragon Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Daniel Morton J: Lucy Fiore T: Daniel Morton	154	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 7 at this track on August 1 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Sunny Honey with 116lbs at $8.50. Previously second-up won by a long-neck at Bunbury on February 1 over 6f defeating God's Cross carrying 130lbs at $2. Rates highly on the fresh run and he can raise the bar.
4	Racing well recently. At the latest run favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a nose at this track on August 1 over 6f on a soft track defeating Mia Gusto with 130lbs at $3. Before that 3rd of 14 at Pinjarra on July 16 over 6f, slow going 1.75 len behind Swansee carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Confidence high and is a leading player again. 2nd Pick 4 True Fiction Jockey: Paul Harvey Trainer: David Harrison J: Paul Harvey T: David Harrison	105	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a nose at this track on August 1 over 6f on a soft track defeating Mia Gusto with 130lbs at $3. Before that 3rd of 14 at Pinjarra on July 16 over 6f, slow going 1.75 len behind Swansee carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Confidence high and is a leading player again.
6	Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run came from midfield and won by a nose at this track on July 29 over 6f defeating Sunset Session with 131lbs at $4.40. The race before that came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Northam on July 23 over 5 ½f defeating Great Promise with 132lbs at $2.70. An inside gate is a big advantage. Looking for the hat-trick and should get every chance. 3rd Pick 6 Flash Dancer Jockey: Brad Parnham Trainer: Neville Parnham J: Brad Parnham T: Neville Parnham	82	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run came from midfield and won by a nose at this track on July 29 over 6f defeating Sunset Session with 131lbs at $4.40. The race before that came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Northam on July 23 over 5 ½f defeating Great Promise with 132lbs at $2.70. An inside gate is a big advantage. Looking for the hat-trick and should get every chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.