AU - Belmont Park - Race 8

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 6

42.8K

VIEW

Verdict

SPELLBORN (12) flew home from the back of the pack last start to just miss behind a smart one over the 7f journey here last time out. Out to the mile now doesn't look an issue on what he did last start and Steve Parnham sticks with him. Can bounce back to winning ways. HERAULT (2) steps up in grade today following a strong win in a CL3 at this track last time out. He gets out to the mile again today and is a winner over 1 m last campaign. Needs some luck, but Pike rides again and he can continue to work through the grades. ANTIQUE QUEEN (7) was sound on resumption and should be better suited here second-up and getting out in distance. A better draw today can see her closer in the run and improvement is expected. QUEEN ARIA (11) is not to be discounted on her recent form. GIBRALTAR GOLD (15) draws the inside again out in trip today and can feature in the finish.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	Recent form sound. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 12 at this track 3yo Hcp 59+ on May 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Ladies Pro carrying 129lbs at $11. The run before that won by 0.5 len at Ascot 3yo Hcp 58+ April 25 over 7f defeating God's Rapture carrying 126lbs at $8. Flew home behind a smart one last time and can get bakc to winning ways. 1st Pick 12 Spellborn Jockey: Steven Parnham Trainer: Stefan Vahala J: Steven Parnham T: Stefan Vahala	135	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 12 at this track 3yo Hcp 59+ on May 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Ladies Pro carrying 129lbs at $11. The run before that won by 0.5 len at Ascot 3yo Hcp 58+ April 25 over 7f defeating God's Rapture carrying 126lbs at $8. Flew home behind a smart one last time and can get bakc to winning ways.
2	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming favourite, scored a big 4 len win at Northam Cl1 C&G May 3 over 6 ½f in soft going defeating Belaura Star with 132lbs at $1.90. Second run from a spell favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2 len at this track Cl3 May 20 over 7f defeating Strapping Prophet carrying 132lbs at $2.70. Continues to race the bar and a hat-trick is on the cards. 2nd Pick 2 Herault Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Jason Miller J: William Pike T: Jason Miller	210	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming favourite, scored a big 4 len win at Northam Cl1 C&G May 3 over 6 ½f in soft going defeating Belaura Star with 132lbs at $1.90. Second run from a spell favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2 len at this track Cl3 May 20 over 7f defeating Strapping Prophet carrying 132lbs at $2.70. Continues to race the bar and a hat-trick is on the cards.
7	Second-up. First-up after four months 6th of 16 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on May 23 over 7f, 4 len behind Snow God carrying 125lbs at $16. Previously second-up 6th of 12 at Ascot Grad Hcp 60+ on January 24 over 1m, 3 len behind Great Fortune carrying 125lbs at $6.50. Fitter and ready for sharp improvement. 3rd Pick 7 Antique Queen Jockey: Chris Parnham Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Chris Parnham T: Michael Grantham	134	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months 6th of 16 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on May 23 over 7f, 4 len behind Snow God carrying 125lbs at $16. Previously second-up 6th of 12 at Ascot Grad Hcp 60+ on January 24 over 1m, 3 len behind Great Fortune carrying 125lbs at $6.50. Fitter and ready for sharp improvement.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.