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8:55 AM

AU - Belmont Park - Race 8

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
6f
Unknown
Turf
SOFT 5
42.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HUBBLE'S DRAGON (5) was solid on resumption over this track and trip, racing in tougher company and only finishing 1.4L off the winner. Should be better for that effort and Fiore replaces the apprentice hoop. Won second-up last prep before placing in the Magic Millions. He ticks plenty of boxes. TRUE FICTION (4) scored in a photo last time out in easier company, flying late to score as the race favourite. Harvey remains on board and this shapes similarly. In good touch and can repeat the dose. FLASH DANCER (6) is looking for the hat-trick as he tackles Saturday grade. He's building a handy record as he works through the grades, winning narrowly here on the quick turnaround last start. Maps to get every chance and can extend his winning run. LORD SHIVA (1) should give himself every chance up front as he steps out in trip and back in grade. SHERPA EXPRESS (2) can improve on the fresh effort where he disappointed as an odds-on pop in this grade.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Hubble's Dragon silk

Second run back. First-up after five months came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 7 at this track on August 1 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Sunny Honey with 116lbs at $8.50. Previously second-up won by a long-neck at Bunbury on February 1 over 6f defeating God's Cross carrying 130lbs at $2. Rates highly on the fresh run and he can raise the bar.

1st Pick
5

Hubble's Dragon

Jockey: Lucy Fiore

Trainer: Daniel Morton

J: Lucy Fiore

T: Daniel Morton

154---31%9/4

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after five months came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 7 at this track on August 1 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Sunny Honey with 116lbs at $8.50. Previously second-up won by a long-neck at Bunbury on February 1 over 6f defeating God's Cross carrying 130lbs at $2. Rates highly on the fresh run and he can raise the bar.

4
True Fiction silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a nose at this track on August 1 over 6f on a soft track defeating Mia Gusto with 130lbs at $3. Before that 3rd of 14 at Pinjarra on July 16 over 6f, slow going 1.75 len behind Swansee carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Confidence high and is a leading player again.

2nd Pick
4

True Fiction

Jockey: Paul Harvey

Trainer: David Harrison

J: Paul Harvey

T: David Harrison

105---8%13/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a nose at this track on August 1 over 6f on a soft track defeating Mia Gusto with 130lbs at $3. Before that 3rd of 14 at Pinjarra on July 16 over 6f, slow going 1.75 len behind Swansee carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Confidence high and is a leading player again.

6
Flash Dancer silk

Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run came from midfield and won by a nose at this track on July 29 over 6f defeating Sunset Session with 131lbs at $4.40. The race before that came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Northam on July 23 over 5 ½f defeating Great Promise with 132lbs at $2.70. An inside gate is a big advantage. Looking for the hat-trick and should get every chance.

3rd Pick
6

Flash Dancer

Jockey: Brad Parnham

Trainer: Neville Parnham

J: Brad Parnham

T: Neville Parnham

82---10%10/1

Analysis

Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run came from midfield and won by a nose at this track on July 29 over 6f defeating Sunset Session with 131lbs at $4.40. The race before that came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Northam on July 23 over 5 ½f defeating Great Promise with 132lbs at $2.70. An inside gate is a big advantage. Looking for the hat-trick and should get every chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.