AU - Belmont Park - Race 7

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Class 3

Turf

GOOD 4

19.6K

VIEW

Verdict

TRUE BLUE BONDI (3) stuck on well fresh when the race favourite over this course and distance, beaten 2.2L. He'll be fitter for that effort and was a dominant winner when second-up last campaign. Pike will need some luck from the barrier, but if the breaks come he's good enough to knock this over. NINE BALL (5) bounced back off a freshen last start to be 0.5L off the winner over 6f. The slight rise in trip won't be an issue and she's proven adaptable with her racing pattern. Ear muffs going on is a query, but CJP rides again and a forward showing is anticipated. IMPRESSIVE JEWEL (8) held on to win fresh over 6 ½f here without a trial and further improvement is on the cards now. She has the tactical speed to sit handy from the draw and she's expected to put her best foot forward once again. ITZABEAST (4) is racing in good order and has to be included on what he's done recently. CHERYL'S SHOUT (7) was a good winner in easier company last start and is worth including.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Second-up. First-up after five months raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 14 at this track Cl3 C&G on November 19 over 6 ½f, 2.25 len behind Touretto carrying 129lbs at $2.60. Previously second-up favourite, scored a big 4 len win at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn April 9 over 7 ½f defeating Ginger And Tonic carrying 127lbs at $2.20. Missed as favourite fresh but the rating stacks up and improvement is anticipated. 1st Pick 3 True Blue Bondi Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Simon A Miller J: William Pike T: Simon A Miller	138	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 14 at this track Cl3 C&G on November 19 over 6 ½f, 2.25 len behind Touretto carrying 129lbs at $2.60. Previously second-up favourite, scored a big 4 len win at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn April 9 over 7 ½f defeating Ginger And Tonic carrying 127lbs at $2.20. Missed as favourite fresh but the rating stacks up and improvement is anticipated.
5	Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 10 at this track Cl3 on November 12 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Maalis Song carrying 129lbs at $2.90. The race before that 4th of 11 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on September 20 over 7f, slow going 3.5 len behind Be Bardot with 121lbs at $3. Racing well and ticks plenty of boxes. 2nd Pick 5 Nine Ball Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter Trainer: Simon A Miller J: Clint Johnston-Porter T: Simon A Miller	183	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 10 at this track Cl3 on November 12 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Maalis Song carrying 129lbs at $2.90. The race before that 4th of 11 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on September 20 over 7f, slow going 3.5 len behind Be Bardot with 121lbs at $3. Racing well and ticks plenty of boxes.
8	Second-up. First-up after three months ran on from midfield and won by a nose at this track Cl3 November 19 over 6 ½f defeating Belta Of A Song carrying 126lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up 2nd of 11 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on June 19 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, nose behind Romantic Ruler with 123lbs at $2.90. Won narrowly fresh and can build on that effort. 3rd Pick 8 Impressive Jewel Jockey: Natasha Faithfull Trainer: Ashley Maley J: Natasha Faithfull T: Ashley Maley	152	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after three months ran on from midfield and won by a nose at this track Cl3 November 19 over 6 ½f defeating Belta Of A Song carrying 126lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up 2nd of 11 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on June 19 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, nose behind Romantic Ruler with 123lbs at $2.90. Won narrowly fresh and can build on that effort.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.