AU - Belmont Park - Race 4

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

17.4K

VIEW

Verdict

LADY TORQUE (7) brings the strongest exposed form, having finished third in the G3 WA Sires Produce Stakes after keeping on in the G2 Karrakatta Plate, and her two trials, including a close second, suggest she is forward enough to run well fresh. MORIKAWA (4) has the sharp stakes reference from this campaign, finishing fifth in the Listed Max Simmonds Stakes at Ascot despite being unwanted in the market. Drawn awkwardly, though the rise in trip and drop in grade are big ticks. PROFIT MOTIVE (10) was slow away and steadied on debut at this track yet still made ground to be beaten just under two lengths. Has trialled strongly coming into this and the stable is flying at the moment. Keep safe. NO SHOW (6) was held up late when beaten just under a length on debut at Northam, so with that race experience he has a clear platform to improve into a winning threat. CRYPTO FORTUNE (13) won't be far away on debut.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Returns from a lengthy spell with the best exposed form in the race, having finished third in the G3 WA Sires Produce Stakes at Ascot, beaten just over two lengths after working home from the rear. She had also kept on in the G2 Karrakatta Plate on soft ground the start prior. Two trials since, including a close second at Belmont Park, point to a forward return and she looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 7 Lady Torque Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Daniel Morton J: Lucy Fiore T: Daniel Morton	185	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Returns from a lengthy spell with the best exposed form in the race, having finished third in the G3 WA Sires Produce Stakes at Ascot, beaten just over two lengths after working home from the rear. She had also kept on in the G2 Karrakatta Plate on soft ground the start prior. Two trials since, including a close second at Belmont Park, point to a forward return and she looks the one to beat.
4	Comes off a strong race reference, finishing fifth in the Listed Max Simmonds Stakes at Ascot over 5f, beaten two and a half lengths after settling rearward in Saturday company. That is a clear grade edge for a Mdn, even though he steps back to 6f where his previous record is unplaced. The market ignored him there, but the performance was good enough to make him a major player here. 2nd Pick 4 Morikawa Jockey: Lisa Staples Trainer: Paul Jordan J: Lisa Staples T: Paul Jordan	119	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Comes off a strong race reference, finishing fifth in the Listed Max Simmonds Stakes at Ascot over 5f, beaten two and a half lengths after settling rearward in Saturday company. That is a clear grade edge for a Mdn, even though he steps back to 6f where his previous record is unplaced. The market ignored him there, but the performance was good enough to make him a major player here.
10	Resumes after three months away from a debut fourth in a Mdn at this track, beaten just under two lengths after beginning slowly, racing keenly and being steadied approaching the 4f. She still made solid inroads from well back, so there was real merit in the effort. A Belmont Park trial win two weeks ago adds to the readiness, and she has enough upside to be a strong winning chance. 3rd Pick 10 Profit Motive Jockey: Holly Watson Trainer: Mitchell Pateman J: Holly Watson T: Mitchell Pateman	89	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Resumes after three months away from a debut fourth in a Mdn at this track, beaten just under two lengths after beginning slowly, racing keenly and being steadied approaching the 4f. She still made solid inroads from well back, so there was real merit in the effort. A Belmont Park trial win two weeks ago adds to the readiness, and she has enough upside to be a strong winning chance.

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