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6:09 AM

AU - Belmont Park - Race 1

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
7f
Unknown
Turf
GOOD 4
22.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

VIRESHA (4) has jumped favourite in her past couple, getting the job done in a photo finish over 6f here. Up to 7f now doesn't look an issue off her run at Northam two back and she maps for a beautiful run close to the speed. Doesn't look an overly strong race and can go back-to-back. CAWARRA (8) has been just fair in Maiden grade coming into this, but getting out to 7f now looks a big tick for her chances. Steve Parnham does hop on board now and the inside barrier can see her closer in the run. Can improve and make her presence felt. REFEMME NO ANGEL (3) has been a long way back from the draw in his first two runs back and now draws an inside draw out in trip. This looks a good opportunity for him to put his best foot forward and can put himself into the finish. CEDAR LEAF (5) is on debut for the Russell Stewart yard and finds a suitable race on debut. WILD THINGS (7) can improve out in trip.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Viresha silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, won by a nose at this track Mdn November 19 over 6f defeating Rock The Market with 119lbs at $3.40. The race before that 4th of 11 at Northam Mdn on November 6 over 6 ½f, 1.5 len behind Itzabeast with 119lbs at $2.50. Broke her maiden last start and she can go on with the job now.

1st Pick
4

Viresha

Jockey: Chris Parnham

Trainer: Daniel Morton

J: Chris Parnham

T: Daniel Morton

192---53%10/11

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, won by a nose at this track Mdn November 19 over 6f defeating Rock The Market with 119lbs at $3.40. The race before that 4th of 11 at Northam Mdn on November 6 over 6 ½f, 1.5 len behind Itzabeast with 119lbs at $2.50. Broke her maiden last start and she can go on with the job now.

8
Cawarra silk

Last start 8th of 11 at this track Mdn on November 12 over 6f, 4 len behind Miss Defies Me with 119lbs at $18. The start before that 6th of 11 at this track Mdn on October 29 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Maalis Song with 119lbs at $4.60. Looks well placed here as she steps up in distance.

2nd Pick
8

Cawarra

Jockey: Steven Parnham

Trainer: Neville Parnham

J: Steven Parnham

T: Neville Parnham

65---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start 8th of 11 at this track Mdn on November 12 over 6f, 4 len behind Miss Defies Me with 119lbs at $18. The start before that 6th of 11 at this track Mdn on October 29 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Maalis Song with 119lbs at $4.60. Looks well placed here as she steps up in distance.

3
Refemme No Angel silk

Third-up today. First-up 4th of 13 at this track Mdn on October 22 over 6f, slow going 7 len behind Ourgirlcanrun with 123lbs at $15. Second run from a spell 7th of 16 at this track 3yo Mdn on November 19 over 6 ½f, 4.5 len behind Ninetymilestraight with 126lbs at $7.50. Finally draws a gate and can turn in a much-improved effort.

3rd Pick
3

Refemme No Angel

Jockey: Brayden Gaerth

Trainer: Sean & Jake Casey

J: Brayden Gaerth

T: Sean & Jake Casey

102---15%6/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 4th of 13 at this track Mdn on October 22 over 6f, slow going 7 len behind Ourgirlcanrun with 123lbs at $15. Second run from a spell 7th of 16 at this track 3yo Mdn on November 19 over 6 ½f, 4.5 len behind Ninetymilestraight with 126lbs at $7.50. Finally draws a gate and can turn in a much-improved effort.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.