AU - Belmont Park - Race 9

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

57.2K

VIEW

Verdict

An open race to end the card. SOLDANELLE (3) missed in a photo two back before flying late to be 0.7L off the winner over this course and distance last week. A firmer deck this time around should suit her better and she rates highly on her latest form. Can fly home from the back. MISSISSIPPI DAWN (14) surprised with a good win first-up over 7f with the apprentice hoop on board. Now Pike rides and she's unbeaten when second-up previously. Draw is sticky, but she's back in good order and she can go on with the job. FIFTH ESSENCE (8) comes back to the mile today after two strong efforts over further recently. He'll be on the pace from a good draw and Fiore has two wins when riding him previously. Can give them something to catch. DECORATION (11) has enough speed to roll across from out wide and can turn in a bold effort. PRECIOUS GOD (15) was too good at Ascot last time out and can go on with the job with the aid of an inside alley.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	At the latest run 5th of 9 at this track Rtg 72+ on May 16 over 1m, slow going 0.7 len behind Major Mario with 126lbs at $12. The start before that 2nd of 8 at Ascot Rtg 66+ on April 25 over 1m, nose behind Noble Connection with 132lbs at $5.50. Encouraging effort last start. Should be flying late in the race. 1st Pick 3 Soldanelle Jockey: Chris Parnham Trainer: Stefan Vahala J: Chris Parnham T: Stefan Vahala	140	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 9 at this track Rtg 72+ on May 16 over 1m, slow going 0.7 len behind Major Mario with 126lbs at $12. The start before that 2nd of 8 at Ascot Rtg 66+ on April 25 over 1m, nose behind Noble Connection with 132lbs at $5.50. Encouraging effort last start. Should be flying late in the race.
14	Second-up. First-up after five months won by a neck at Ascot Grad Hcp 60+ May 9 over 7f defeating Karnup Queen with 117lbs at $31. Previously second-up ran on from midfield and won by a long-neck at Bunbury Cl1 September 18 over 7f on a soft track defeating Golden Kathleen with 128lbs at $5.50. Strong on resumption and there's no reason why she can't repeat the dose. 2nd Pick 14 Mississippi Dawn Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Michael Grantham J: William Pike T: Michael Grantham	165	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months won by a neck at Ascot Grad Hcp 60+ May 9 over 7f defeating Karnup Queen with 117lbs at $31. Previously second-up ran on from midfield and won by a long-neck at Bunbury Cl1 September 18 over 7f on a soft track defeating Golden Kathleen with 128lbs at $5.50. Strong on resumption and there's no reason why she can't repeat the dose.
8	Recent form sound. Last start led but faded 3rd of 10 at Ascot Rtg 66+ on May 9 over 1m, 2 len behind Westbound with 123lbs at $6.50. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Ascot Grad Hcp 60+ on April 25 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Uni Queen carrying 133lbs at $4.40. Back to the mile now and he can fire a shot. 3rd Pick 8 Fifth Essence Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Brett Pope J: Lucy Fiore T: Brett Pope	95	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start led but faded 3rd of 10 at Ascot Rtg 66+ on May 9 over 1m, 2 len behind Westbound with 123lbs at $6.50. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Ascot Grad Hcp 60+ on April 25 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Uni Queen carrying 133lbs at $4.40. Back to the mile now and he can fire a shot.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.